L2T Mid Season Streak Angles (May 16 -July 31))

Early Season Thread Single Plays = -$1260

Early Season Parlays mixed with Soccer/Baseball = Profitable in early thread (very profitable off thread/too many to post)

MLB Mid Season 

- ready to bet more single plays mostly around Streaks, but also some matchups

- will post soccer suggestions for you to combine with MLB that you like (I do 3 or 4 way parlays for  $5-$10)

MID-SEASON STREAK TEAMS - more Win Streaks I expect

 Blue Jays > both pitching and hitting will improve > if hitting goes up 15-20 pts, they will win a lot of games > team hitting is pretty good at .245 right now 

Detroit > hitting the ball well at .252 / bullpen is decent and just need starter consistency

K.C. > big improvements in bullpen performance in the past couple of weeks or so/ hitting is decent especially at home it is strong

Seattle > Top 3 bullpen, excellent starters and they are a strong 2nd half team traditionally

Phillies > have the makings of a great pitching season and finally ripping the ball at the plate, especially at home

Mets > the pitching is not the issue right now, it was brutal earlier / expect the hitting to kick in with way too much talent to hold down

Cubs > #2 best pitching staff overall right now and the hitting will blossom even more > legit threat to Dodgers!

Milwaukee > very much like the Blue Jays but with better pitching so far and it will kick in even more 

Pittsburgh > rank well for pitching and hitting (TOP 10) and are becoming winner believers 

------------------------------------------------------------

Teams that badly need to improve hitting and then streaks/contending will solidify:

Cleveland

San Diego 

** both are excellent fielding and pitching **

STREAK STATS IN FIRST 7 WEEKS NEXT .......

From my UPDATE on my spreadsheet including last night's games:

                         First 20-25 days         last 25 days             last 15 days / next 5 days
hit Win strk of 3 > 56 - 49 = 53.3% > (36 - 47 = 43.4% )    (29- 34) (0 - 0)
hit Win strk of 4 > 26 - 21 = 55.3% > (14 - 24 = 36.8% )    (12 - 21) (0 - 0 )
hit Win strk 5 - 10 > 27 - 26 = 50.9% > (27 - 16 = 62.8% )   (19 - 12) (0 - 0)
hit Lose strk of 3 > 53 - 39 = 57.6% > (39 - 38 = 50.6% )    (29 - 28) (0 - 0)
hit Lose strk of 4 > 28 - 25 = 52.8% > (23 - 17 = 57.5%)    (18 - 14) (0 - 0)
hit Lose strk 5 - 10 > 34 - 25 = 57.6% > (19 - 23 = 45.2%)  (15 - 17) (0 - 0)
hit Over strk of 3 > 62 - 42 = 59.6% > (38 - 27 = 58.5% )    (25 - 21) (0 - 0)
hit Over strk of 4 > 25 - 26 = 49.1% > (23 - 19 = 54.8% )    (20 - 10) (0 - 0)
hit Over strk 5-10 > 32 - 17 = 65.3% > (24 - 21 =53.3% )      (16 - 18) (0 - 0)
hit Under strk of 3 >40 - 64 = 38.5% > (51 - 31 = was 58.8% - now 62.2% ) > (41 - 24) (0 - 0)
hit Under strk of 4 > 17 - 29 = 37.0% > (28 - 21 = was 43% - now 57.1%) > (25 - 17) (0 - 0)
hit Under strk 5 - 10 > 8 - 17 = 32% > (29 - 20= was 20% - now 59.2% ) > (28 - 16) (0 - 0)

LAST 25 / 15 Days of Early Season Streak Stats: (Reversal had happened from first 3-4 weeks)

Worst Streak Bets: - 25 day

1. betting WIN after a team has won 3 in a row > only 14 - 24 

2. betting WIN after a team has won 2 in a row > only 36 - 47

3. betting AGAINST a team on a 4 game losing streak > only 19 - 23

Worst Streak Bets: - 15 day 

1. same as above order ( 12 - 21 )

2. same as above order ( 29 - 34 )

3. same as above order ( 15 - 17) and also betting an OVER streak after 4 in a row (16 - 18)

---------------------------------------------------

Best Streak Bets: - 25 day

1. betting the UNDER  after 2 Unders in a row = 51 - 31

2. betting a WIN streak of 4 to continue to 5 in a row = 27 - 16 

3. betting an UNDER streak of 4 games to continue to 5 games = 29 - 20

4. betting an OVER streak of 2 games to continue to 3 games = 38 - 27

Best Streak Bets: - 15 day

1. betting an UNDER streak of 2 games to continue to 3 games = 41 - 24

2. betting an UNDER streak of 4 games to continue to 5 games = 28 - 16

3. betting an OVER streak of 3 games to continue to 4 games = 20 - 10

Nothing really stood out for me in a streak matchup correlation today ......

Best Plays For Me in parlays today:

- Arizona Under

- Cleveland ML

- Texas ML *** my play of the day

- CWS ML

- Dodgers Under 8.5

Just one play in the early games so far..... 1U in my thread = $100 (forgot to mention that)

Phillies-Pirates Under 7.5 x 1U @1.85

- Phillies hit Skenes for only a 0.85 BA in 37 ABs and I think the Pirates will really focus to prevent the sweep

- Wheeler with excellent ERA and low HR/RBIs in almost 120 ABs vs Pirates .....again, he is rounding into form early in the season as a late start and the more he pitches, the stronger he gets....also a very good warm weather pitcher I have noticed, over the years

Strong lean to Cleveland.... Williams has had 2 bad outings before and he is a bulldog type pitcher so I expect  a bounceback performance

- Singer has been pounded by Cleveland over the years over 90 ABs and a .340 BA 

Play #2 - HALF U > Subway Series Over 8.5 with Clev ML > pays +196

Play #3 - $25 > Subways Series Over 8.5 with Clev Over 9 > pays +235

I didn't mention my Soccer plays which I mixed with everything other than Subway Series OVER since I have $75 thrown at it

I took:

Spanish soccer:

-A Madrid win ML

- Levante win ML

-Alves win ML

-Alves Under 2.5

Italy:

Lecce Tie

Torino Tie

N.America:

Nashville win ML (LAFC is out of sync and playing lots of games/travel early > Nashville with best record, goals against and home prowess)

Pumas (Mexico) - *** play of day for me** at excellent odds - #1 team in short season and they went to Pachua and kept the score down to lose 1-0 ....they are deadly at home and should win 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1

-I used them on most tickets in 3 way parlays

A check of most series between them over the years and they put up big runs together......still time left, but I am scratching my head once again .... warm temps and strong wind out to centre leftfield 

@Last2thirst

Today

Phillies-Pirates Under 7.5 x 1U @1.85   +$85 Profit

Play #2 - HALF U > Subway Series Over 8.5 with Clev ML > pays +196 >  +$98 Profit

Play #3 - $25 > Subways Series Over 8.5 with Clev Over 9 > pays +235    +$59 Profit

Good start to the thread 

Thread Profit = +$242

Thread Record = 3 - 0

$5-$10 Parlays are ** not noted** - just too many to post

Nashville won in MLS.....Pumas up 1- 0 .....this promises to be a monster day as almost all of my parlays that are 3 way will hit

Still more time left in Pumas game...its not booked 

Spanish soccer:

-A Madrid win ML  

- Levante win ML  

-Alves win ML  

-Alves Under 2.5 

Italy:

Lecce Tie  NO

Torino Tie NO

N.America:

Nashville win ML 

Pumas (Mexico) - *** play of day for me** at excellent odds  

Before capping today, if interested in streaks, there might be a reversal brewing....

1. Losing streaks are being halted after 2 losses = 2 - 6  (lose 3rd in a row) .....LONG losing streaks of hitting 5 or more games however, are 3 - 1 in the past 4 days 

2. THE UNDER streaking of the past few weeks might be over??

-hitting an OVER streak of 3 lately = 3 - 0

-hitting an UNDER streak of 3 lately = 2 - 4

-hitting an OVER streak of 5 or more = 7 - 1

-hitting an UNDER streak of 5 or more = 2 - 6

What might explain this is....we have gone through an extended cold/cool spring with dryer Arctic air + pitchers rounding into form or managers knowing who to call from the pen on their performance metrics better

NOW....higher humidity is creeping in despite pitchers being better than out of spring training readiness

Some situations to avoid betting today based on the potential imminent UNDER reversal to OVERS:

Detroit UNDER

KC UNDER

Texas UNDER

Houston UNDER 

Phillies UNDER

Cardinals UNDER

Pirates UNDER

LAA Angels LOSE 

ON TREND NOW: -highly consider if you like the matchup

Giants OVER

Padres OVER

Dodgers OVER

Cincy OVER

Miami OVER

Angels OVER

Seattle OVER

A's OVER

CWS OVER

Tampa OVER

Yankees OVER

Yankees WIN

Detroit WIN

A's WIN

Miami WIN

Cubs WIN

Cincy WIN

Working on matchups with these trend considerations in mind.....its why I plot results....you have to be nimble and my results from doing so are proof that it is working over the past 3-4 weeks with profits and I have gone 24 - 14 - 1 in KINGS over the past 7 days with more attention to these mini - trends and sustaining some longer ones

Play #1 - play against the Jays and take TB scorching pitching by Clanahan vs Orioles 

Watch this interview to know how the Yankees are going to come firing out the gate vs the Jays and I expect Vlady G to be hit!! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zm5FIparj5o

- only issue for Yankees though, if they hit Vlady who had been slumping but broke out yesterday vs the Tigers, he can be traditionally a single player YANKEE DESTROYER!! And everyone knows in the game, you do not motivate Vlady !

Parlay: Yankees ML 1.58 with Tampa ML 1.71 x 1U > pays +170

Parlay: Tampa ML 1.71 with Jays UNDER 9 1.86 x HALF U (I should be betting Over based on trend reversal, BUT, there is a strong wind blowing in from right centre to left field foul line which tends to create tougher conditions to hit one to short porch in right field and cranks the ball into the stands if pulled)

-Weathers has excellent numbers vs Jays...Corbin not great but good enough 

Play #2 - Cubs/Brewers Over 10.5 x HALF U

-I would press on this a little more, BUT, head to head shows rarity in going over this number when they meet

- very strong wind to right centre and warm with high humidity

- Cubs just played in their city the past 3 days to very high run totals and it will continue with Brewers hitting the ball well, Imanaga gets scorched by Brewers to a > .300 BA and many RBI's so I expect Cubs to score at least 5-7 runs vs Sproat and Brewers to put up 4-5 vs Cubs at least 

Play #3 - Houston - Twins Over 9.5 x HALF U

-2 potential pinata pitchers (9.75 era Houston starter and a bullpen guy who likes to walk a lot vs one of the best road hitting teams in baseball) and the two very worst BULLPENS in baseball by far!

- Houston tends to hit the OVER a lot and Twins can grind you for long innings

My Plays Tonight:

Play #1 

Parlay: Yankees ML 1.58 with Tampa ML 1.71 x 1U > pays +170  +$170 profit

Parlay: Tampa ML 1.71 with Jays UNDER 9   1.86 x HALF U > lose -$50

Play #2 - Cubs/Brewers Over 10.5 x HALF U   +$45 profit

Play #3 - Houston - Twins Over 9.5 x HALF U .... TBD (RAIN DELAY)

Guaranteed to make $115 profit, or it could be +$210

2-1 with one open...

After Monday:

Thread Profit = +$357

Thread Record = 5 - 2

@Last2thirst

Some Notables over the last 3-4 days:

Teams hitting the OVER for 4 games > going for 5th or better OVER in a row = 8 - 3

Today: Cubs, Miami, Mets, Cleveland, Tampa

Teams hitting the OVER for 3 games in a row are converting on their 4th game too

= 4 - 1

Today: Yankees, Giants

Teams on a 3 game losing streak are winning their 4th game = 2 - 0

Today: Cincy, Pittsburgh, Cubs, Oakland, Detroit

UNDER converting - poor past few days:

- htting UNDER 3rd in a row = 4 - 6

- hitting UNDER 4th in a row = 1 - 2

- hitting Under 5th or more in a row = 3 - 6

There is a great play or two somewhere in that pile of strongly trending data.....

Some tough pitchers tonight and OVER potential at the same time so I am laying off of most.....

Play #1 - Blue Jays +118 x HALF U

- Cease is a machine!! and can befuddle these Yankee hitters

- Jays hit Warren for a .412 BA and 3 HRs/13 RBIs for only 30+ ABs 

- Jays are very motivated every time they come to NY ....should be hitting this for more but Jays not converting men on base into runs and some sloppy situations are holding me back

I really don't LOVE tonight but will do some parlays using the following...

Arizona Over

Red Sox ML

Red Sox Under 

Dodgers ML

Tigers UNDER 

Who can break their losing streak best?

1. Cincy

2. Cubs

3. Tigers

Also like the Knicks OVER 218.5 and ML