L2T Mid Season Streak Angles (May 16 -July 31))

West:

3 game Streak Completions.... 1st 60 games

Oakland Win = 3 - 3/ Loss = 3 - 5 ***avoid outcome streaks***
Ov/Un Over = 4 - 3/ Under = 4 - 1 *** play Under streaks***

Seattle Win = 3 - 5/ Loss = 4 - 4 ***avoid outcome streaks***
Ov/Un Over = 1- 4/ Under = 4 - 6 ***consider Under always?***

Texas Win = 3 - 6/ Loss = 4 - 6 ***fade win streaks***
Ov/Un Over = 1 - 6/ Under = 3 - 5 ***fade Over streaks***

LA Angels Win = 2 - 2/ Loss = 5 - 3 *** avoid outcome streaks***
Ov/Un Over = 2 - 2/ Under = 3 - 5 *** avoid Total streaks***

Houston Win = 2 - 4/ Loss = 4 - 3 ***avoid outcome streaks***
Ov/Un Over = 4 - 3/ Under = 2 - 3 ***avoid Total streaks***

Let this all digest ....will do National league later 

Summary: Who do I focus on for completing 3 game streaks in American League over the next 60 days or so?

-Toronto > bats break out when slumping for 2 games

-Yankees > Take 3 game to win always if they are on winning or losing streak

-Boston > take opposite of streak after 2 games 

-Baltimore > lean into Over bets no matter what type of TOTAL streak

-Tampa > play to WIN on all 3 game outcome streaks/also strongly consider staying with Total streak 

-Detroit > fade Win streaks

-K.C. > play on Over streaks only

-Minnesota > play the Over on any Total streak

-CWS > play on Over streaks

-A's  > play on UNDER streaks

-Seattle > fade on Over streaks

- Texas > fade on Over streaks

*** if not mentioned, just avoid

Soccer for parlays: - what stands out

-*** Germany - USA (Saturday) Over 3.5 - omg is the USA terrible on defense most of the time but they are like Canada in that they can counter attack with speed and score ....Germany is a goal machine ... my PLAY OF THE WEEKEND but does Germany throw in a clunker to not show anything to their opponents? Don't go too heavy ....just know on most days, this is a yummy Over at +110

- Ireland - Canada Over 2.5 and tie ..... Ireland has shown some scoring flair in the past year and Canada is a speed beast with strong midfield to forward skill moving the ball 

- Armenia - Kazahastan Under 2.5 ...both teams play boring offense on the road and try to score at home and then revert to boring defense ... I would play Armenia -1.5 goals on some tickets because sometimes they score 3-4 goals when you least expect it 

-Panama - Bosnia Over 2.5 > Panama are no longer a boring team of years past and they like action games with lots of chances so I can see this one ending 2-1 or 2-2 quite easily for either side

Play #1 Today - Pirates - Braves Over 8.5 @1.95 x HALF U 

- Pitt is an Over team and Atlanta is 5 - 0 this season going for a third game in a row OVER

- both pitchers get hit well vs batters tonight

- warm Atlanta and division foes 

Play #2 - Detroit/Seattle Under 7.5 x $30 @ 1.95

- Seattle sends out a pitcher that has manhandled the Tigers 

- Seattle is weak on the road, at night and weak hitting to start June after trending this way in May 

Play #3 - Dodgers -1.5 x HALF U @+110

-Detmers gets hit hard by Dodgers 

- Sasaki has already had one good outing vs Angels

- Dodgers bullpen is way better than the 2nd worst in baseball = Angels

Note on the Canada - Ireland game...I no longer like the OVER and am betting Canada win because Ireland players start a vacation after this one and some of the key players apparently may not play  .... Canada looked so impressive in the second half once they figured out what their last opponents were doing defensively 

Also....if Ireland plays rugged, it does Canada a favor as Wales tried that not thinking that Canadians like it tough but it just is part of our culture 

Canada went overseas and beat Wales...

Canada up 1 - 0 with complete possession at 68% and making plays all over the place.....dangerous looking squad who just lost to Colombia in the semi-final of the Copa to the eventual winners...they look more composed and tight/fit than last year which is scary. I am expecting one win for sure and a shot at claiming the division in World Cup

Tie game ....bah! 

1 - 1 on baseball plays and looking forward to Dodgers game coming up

Just inputted last night's results..... it showed a lot of streaks getting broken

- there is NO definable streak trending in the last 5 days..... no reason to play anything except 1 play

Teams that have gone on a 3 game Under streak are 0 - 5  in the past 5 days going Under with the 4th game...

LA DODGERS  and MIAMI ARE going for 4th UNDER in a row !

*** ONE OF THOSE SHOULD GO OVER*** << that said, streaks not defining themselves in every category....it might be time to just watch or play 2 STREAK data 

Give me TB ML @ 1.76 x HALF U 

-McClanahan with excellent numbers and a mystery to the Marlins hitters

- Miami going with a bullpen guy who got tagged for multiple runs in 1 inning vs TB the last time they played

Fading the Dodgers 'SHOULD GO OVER' trend....

Dodgers Under 8.5 x HALF U  +100

Record in this 2nd Quarter season thread  is 12 - 11 + a little profit 

National League - 3 game streak completion/continuation data .... 1st 60 games

EAST:

NY Mets Win = 4 - 2/ Loss = 4 - 3
Ov/Un Over = 2 - 4/ Under = 6 - 2

Phillies Win = 5 - 0/ Loss = 4 - 1
Ov/Un Over = 4 - 2/ Under = 3 - 3

Atlanta Win = 9 - 1/ Loss = 1 - 2
Ov/Un Over = 5 - 0/ Under = 5 - 1

Miami Win = 3 - 5/ Loss = 6 - 2
Ov/Un Over = 5- 2/ Under = 3 - 4

Washing Win = 3 - 6/ Loss = 2 - 6
Ov/Un Over = 7 - 5/ Under = 1 - 2

NL Central: - 3 game streak completion data 

Milwau Win = 8 - 2/ Loss = 2 - 2
Ov/Un Over = 1 - 3/ Under = 4 - 5

St. Louis Win = 4 - 3/ Loss = 2 - 3
Ov/Un Over = 5 - 1/ Under = 4 - 4

Chic Cubs Win = 2 - 3/ Loss = 3 - 2 
Ov/Un Over = 3 - 3/ Under = 3 - 2 

Pitts Win = 4 - 4/ Loss = 2 - 3
Ov/Un Over = 5 - 3/ Under = 2 - 5

Cincy Win = 5 - 5/ Loss = 4 - 1
Ov/Un Over = 5 - 2/ Under = 2 - 4

NL West: - 3 game streak completion data

LA Dodg Win = 6 - 4/ Loss = 2 - 1
Ov/Un Over = 1 - 4/ Under = 4 - 6

Arizona Win = 6 - 1/ Loss = 4 - 4
Ov/Un Over = 3 - 6/ Under = 2 - 3

San D Win = 4 - 4/ Loss = 3 - 2
Ov/ Un Over = 2 - 4/ Under = 5 - 1

SF Giants Win = 3 - 4/ Loss = 7 - 3
Ov/Un Over = 5 - 1/ Under = 4 - 3

Color Win = 2 - 2/ Loss = 5 - 4
Ov/Un Over = 2 - 5/ Under = 4 - 6

4 Game Win Streak Completion Data: - Key teams

AL:

Toronto > completing 4 game LOSING streak = 4 - 1

NYY > completing 4 game WIN streak = 4 - 0

Baltimore > completing 4 game LOSING streak = 1 - 4

Tampa > completing 4 game WIN streak = 4 - 1

> completing 4 game LOSING streak = 1 - 4

> completing 4 game UNDER streak = 3 - 0 

Detroit > completing 4 game LOSING streak = 4 - 1

> completing 4 game UNDER streak = 0 - 4

K.C. > completing 4 game OVER streak = 3 - 0 

> completing 4 game UNDER streak = 1 - 4

Cleveland > complete 4 game UNDER streak = 3 - 0 

Minnesota > completing 4 game OVER streak = 4 - 1

CWS > completing 4 game LOSING streak = 0 - 4

Seattle > completing 4 game WIN streak = 3 - 0

> completing 4 game UNDER streak = 0 - 5 

Texas > completing 4 game UNDER streak = 3 - 0

LA Angels > completing 4 game LOSING streak = 1 - 6 

Houston > completing 4 game LOSING streak = 3 - 0

4 Game Win Streak Completion Data: - Key teams

NL: 

Phillies > completing 4 game WIN streaks = 5 - 1

> completing 4 game UNDER streaks = 5 - 2

Atlanta > completing 4 game WIN streaks = 2 - 5

> completing 4 game UNDER streaks = 2 - 5

Miami > completing 4 game UNDER streaks = 0 - 3

Chi. Cubs > completing 4 game OVER streaks = 4 - 0 

San Diego > completing 4 game LOSING streaks = 4 - 0

SF Giants > completing 4 game WIN streaks = 0 - 3

> completing 4 game LOSING streaks = 4 - 1

I have data for 5 game streaks etc .....but not enough to be significant except for a few teams

4 game Streak positions going into Sunday:

- Colorado > going for 4th loss  ...no significant trend 

- Cincy > going for 4th loss > 1 - 3 in completing 4 game LOSING streaks

- STL > going for 4th win .... no significant trend 

-Clev > going for 4th UNDER > 3 - 0 completing a 4th UNDER in a row 

- 

Two scenarios today:

Cleveland going UNDER for the 4th game in a row which they have NOT LOST yet ....

Cleveland UNDER 7.5 x 1U .... Umpire is 4 - 7 

And...

Oakland having a pure UNDER umpire in Marvin Hudson but one pitcher who is a pinata...

Official Home (ML) Under
Marvin Hudson 6-6 (50.0%) 11-0 (100.0%) << 11 - 0 UNDER!!

Oakland Under 9 @1.95 x HALF U

With the electronic strikes system...I am kind of surprised their exists and umpire like this!

Friendlies soccer in my parlays today > doing $5 parlays with both plays above OVER mixed with 2 of the following mixed together ....and then $10 three way plays mixed with each of my UNDERS  and OVER/UN with both plays for $20 each with Croatia ML win @1.44

Soccer mixers:

Croatia ML

Croatia both teams to score: NO!

Croatia -1.5 +100

Morrocco +180 win 

Morrocco/Norway Over 2.5 goals*** 1.80

Kosovo Under 2.5 @+105

Kosovo halftime/fulltime 1.68

Ecuador halftime/fulltime 1.61

Note: Morrocco is my pick to get to FINAL 8 or FINAL 4 playoffs at World Cup ....they built their foundation of soccer in the past 10 yrs with defense that was one of the best in the world and have added all kinds of soccer scoring stars through their youth program and now can win 3-1, 5 - 1 type of games but can be programmed to revert  back to defensive tactics vs the big boys and by no means is Norway a top 8 consideration in my books!

Other Baseball Plays I found: - account is down cash now so I am looking for strong ML plays to cherrypick and don't care about odds if I am going to be $50 at a time

Atlanta ML 1.6 x HALF U > Atlanta is 9 - 1 when seeking a 3rd win in a row ! Elder will keep the score low and Atlanta has the #2 rated bullpen in baseball

Interesting matchup with Orioles/Jays > Jays never extend any 5 game streak this season and sit at 4x Overs in a row... Baltimore with a strong 3 game OVER record at 3 - 1..... Jays need Gausman to go 6 innings for sure and maybe more with a stretched bullpen but if they hand the ball to Fluharty for 1-2 batters, then Tyler Rogers to Louis Varland... they might be ok ...mix in Macko who is an effective 1 inning guy after Gausman leaves  ... Baz hands the ball to a so-so pen and I like how the Jays are hitting ....they just have way too many pitching injuries...decimated at the starter position! Strong lean to Jays ML 1.71 in my parlays....Gausman can be dynamite when team needs him!

TB ML 1.95 x HALF U 

- Tampa going against a pitcher in Alcantara that they love to face with strong numbers

- I put more faith in winning the series vs a rival with a stronger hitting team and record in TB 

- notice the TOTAL is 7.5 << I think this can go OVER but I like the value and better team play instead

Interesting situation with 2 game streak potential..... 2 pitchers than can be wonky at times face each other in Detroit but both pitchers have good stats vs their opponents and Detroit is 11 - 4 UNDER hitting a 2 game UNDER streak while Seattle is 10 - 4 in the same situation ... I took UNDER 8.5 in Kings of Covers

Cardinals ML 1.75 x HALF U

- Greevy with phenomenal numbers  vs Reds in only previous start

- Reds pitcher has over a 12.00 ERA in last 3 games and if he hands the ball to the bullpen, they are now the WORST IN BASEBALL!

-Reds on a 4 game OVER streak so they are hitting obviously and have a 3 game Win streak going and if they tend to win their share of streaks on the Win

Cleveland ML +122 > looks like great value as Texas is hitting .200 in June, just above that at home and just above .200 vs lefties 

- already playing the UNDER but I see value in making a side pick here in King of Covers

Over 11.5 x HALF U Brewers/Rockies

- Freeland gets hit by the Brewers and there is 90F+ warm air in Colorado today 

- Brewers hitting .302 in June and Colorado at .250 facing a bullpen game by the Brewers 

- if you want to pick a side, the Brewers are 8 - 2 hitting a 3 game Win streak and have 2 wins in a row going into this game 

Lean Mets/SD Under 7.5 > taking in Kings...

- both teams are lights out with 2 UNDERS in a row going for a third in a row > Mets = 6 - 2 in this situation and SD are 5 - 1 ..... Vasquez with strong results so far vs Mets and Mets going with a bullpen game with their Top 5 bullpen....only caution is a warming wind blowing out to righ field 

Lean Dodgers Under 8.5 but caution on a warm wind and blowing out to centrefield

- Soriano getting hit lately BUT strong era on the road at 1.72

- Sheehan with excellent home numbers and has been improving each outing facing a weak LAA hitting team

Strong wind blowing in from centre in Night game at Wrigley

- cannot choose either side here....real mystery with these teams 

8 - 4 in Kings.... mixed results in soccer

4 - 2 on side bets today ....made a little money and basically the thread is even

Thread record = 15 - 12 ... still finding it hard to read teams and some situations, but having the Jays come through helped a lot in parlays

Monday: - 2 way parlay

Jays/Phillies Under 7.5 @1.9 with Milwaukee win 1.66 = +215 x $25

Phillies Win 1.58 with Milwaukee win 1.66 @+162 x $40

Jays almost never go more than 4 games OVER this year and jumped over that hurdle yesterday and now face a lights out leftie who has a strong defense behind him .....I just don't think the Jays are disciplined at the plate this year and guessing rather than going up to the plate with a plan like last year.....night and day at times

Its cool today in Toronto and with dome open, cool air is terrible for ball lift unless they had the dome open all afternoon and don't think they have ...predict a 5-1 type of ballgame or 4 - 2

Still waiting for Jays to press the rocket fuel but just not happening....going for 3rd win 

Phillies have been proving long win streaks lately. Corbin gets hit in the past by this Phillies lineup

Oakland is not the same team as last year and the BRewers are ....have a bulldog on the mound tonight facing a weak Oakland pitcher

@Last2thirst

@Last2thirst

Have we identified piñata pitchers that we should target!!?? 

Soon, and realize they tend to appear even more when the heat comes .... I just been too busy with a lot on the go with Streaks, wife and home duties etc..... enjoying it but cannot spend mutli hours on MLB except to keep streak data going and inputting each result

Man, I just need the BREWERS to win...so many parlays are on the line because the Knicks game is going OVER more than likely.... I went UNDER ...fack!! ...and Knicks

Totally get it I barely have enough time for basic research…

Figure it’s probably on your radar!!

Grrrrrrrrrrrrrrr.......