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Key's Version Of Money Ball - Monday 7/23

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Posted: #1

I don’t think I feel like playing typist today.

5 Inning Play

Red Sox +110 (Doubront / Feldman) 

Can the Red Sox go 477-523 in this matchup? Yeah, probably. Maybe even a little better.

9 Inning Plays

Braves-Marlins Over 8, +105 (Minor / Johnson) 

The Braves offense alone could carry me here but the even the Marlins can hit Minor.

Red Sox +112 (Doubront / Feldman)

Just my humble opinion. 472-528 is not out of the question.

Twins +121 (Liriano / Floyd)

You send a little kid to his room for bad behavior and it usually improves after that. Liriano didn’t like the bullpen.

Twins-White Sux Under 9, +105 (Liriano / Floyd)

I doubt the Twins can get to 9 by themselves. More like 4 to 5. I don’t see the sux over 3.

BOL

All plays are a flat 100 units. Lines are current at Best Available American Online Book as I post

5 Inning YTD: 57-75-14, -1355 9 Inning YTD: 113-106, +2,424 NET. +1,069 (+3.0% RoR)

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #2
Good Luck Bro
 
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Posted: #3
 
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Posted: #4
Good luck Key
Money is a good servant, but a bad master
 
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Posted: #5
Love the card Key, BOL on your plays...lot of steam on the Red Sox, they are at +113 now.  
 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by kinggeorge27:

Love the card Key, BOL on your plays...lot of steam on the Red Sox, they are at +113 now.  

Pulled the trigger too quick, wanted to add that they started off at +125 when I first looked at them. 
 
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Posted: #8

Red Sox look like a good play.

Get em otta Fenway, and Doubront is a pretty good pitcher on the rd.

This is not the Feldman of last year....nice pic, Key

 
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Posted: #9

 
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Posted: #10
I understand the percentages just fine, but you are not betting on a simulation of 1,000 games trying to win 472... simply betting on one night in July... could the Red Sox win, sure, but saying they would win 472 games out of 1,000 as reason to take a +112 seems flawed JMO, best of luck today you had a good pick on the A's yesterday.
 
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Posted: #11
 
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Posted: #12
Good looking card Key!  I'm surprised..nay shocked that you weren't interested in the Brewers today.  Halladay still working out the kinks from the DL and the heartless Phillies are laying close to -200 juice?  Child please

GL today with you on the Twinkies and Red Sox
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by txtechpika:

I understand the percentages just fine, but you are not betting on a simulation of 1,000 games trying to win 472... simply betting on one night in July... could the Red Sox win, sure, but saying they would win 472 games out of 1,000 as reason to take a +112 seems flawed JMO, best of luck today you had a good pick on the A's yesterday.

Wrong.  That's the perfect way to think about it.  Sure, this is one game, and tomorrow will be another game.  Over the course of a season it's all about percentages to be a winner.
 
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Posted: #14

Good luck, Key.

 
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Posted: #15
Where are the Astros??? I love waking up just going to this thread and then fade away. Maybe you can get lucky and go into extras to get a win today.
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by Handicapper33:

Where are the Astros??? I love waking up just going to this thread and then fade away. Maybe you can get lucky and go into extras to get a win today.


Not sure why your handle says "Handicapper"?
 
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Posted: #17
BOL 

 
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Posted: #18

Handicapper33...what is your problem...key has posted 219 plays and is up 10 units...

You have posted 0 plays and are at 0 units...

So why even bother to come into this thread...no one cares to hear what you have to say...except you...definition of an Attention person here folks...   

 
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Posted: #19
GL
 
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Posted: #20
Handicapper33...I bet if I took the time to look up all 1,613 of the posts you have made on Covers, I wouldn't see evidence of anything helpful...
 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by Pasteur:



Not sure why your handle says "Handicapper"?
Neither am I but the 33 probably has something to do with his I.Q.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #22
gl today key ...thxs for the A's lastnite
 
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Posted: #23
Hey key. much respect for your hardwork and sharing. you are a strong capper. just an FYI for your atlanta over, tim welke, one of the biggest under umpires in MLB, is behind the plate in that game tonight. i'm sure your multiple, various angles on that over will be enough for you to let the play ride, but just a heads up 
 
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Posted: #24
lets getem tommorow
 
 
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Posted: #25
time to fade the red sox
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