JMHO 04/15

7-9-2, -161.03, RoR -9.5%

JMHO – 4/15

FG – Twins +113 Early/Richardson

There is simply no good reason to think the Sox should be favored here except for, 1. Urban legend, they will suddenly become much better to avoid the sweep, and 2. An AL East team is better than an AL Central team any day of the week. Bettors need to look at the facts. The Sox have exactly 0 wins against teams over .500. The Rays and Orioles are playing the Central well, but the Jays and Sox are 1-7 and scaring no one. For the folks that like the run differential thing you are looking at -13 vs +21. The Twins are probably the hottest hitting team in MLB right now and have no reason to let up. Let’s ride the streak.

KEY 

@Fuse

Good luck Key.  

@KeyElement

@KeyElement

Well, granted the Sox are pitiful and the Twinks are pounding the rock. But here's one good reason Boston is favored, and a stat fact you may have overlooked.

Bullpens (and it's a sure bet that the BPs will factor into this game):

Boston's pen is no. 3 in MLB re BA allowed at .190

Minny's pen is no. 30, dead last re BA allowed at .287

And another reason the Sox are favored is the pitching match-up. Twins have never faced the young lefty, whereas the Sox have seen Woods-Rich, and with pretty good success.

That is why the piss poor Sox are a slight road fav this afternoon. They have the pitching edge both ways. The fact that the books would put them as a road fav is a definite tell. Good luck with your bet.

RT2

Giants just can not hit so far, Ray has pitched well this year. Under might be the play with them.

GL today.