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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    Is Braves ML -105 as safe of an even money lock possible in sports?

    «First Previous 123 Next Last»
    CardiacKid59
    TheBoogeyman931
    Raiders22
    RebelTell2
    ArtSchlichterJr
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    «First Previous 123 Next Last»
     
    CardiacKid59
    CardiacKid59
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2026 - 2:42 PM ET #26

    @Way2Good

     100% agree. Braves F5 for me.

    Reply

    @Way2Good

     100% agree. Braves F5 for me.

     
    TheBoogeyman931
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2026 - 2:45 PM ET #27

    Fuentes has been good but he is young, chance to shine... Suarez back healthy.. it would be nice for $ale to go deeper into the game though.. I expect a good game & GLGLGL with whatever you all wager tonight.

    LET$ GO BRAVO$. &

    CRU$H THE FKN BOOK$. an_cheersclovercloverpeace

    Reply

    Fuentes has been good but he is young, chance to shine... Suarez back healthy.. it would be nice for $ale to go deeper into the game though.. I expect a good game & GLGLGL with whatever you all wager tonight.

    LET$ GO BRAVO$. &

    CRU$H THE FKN BOOK$. an_cheersclovercloverpeace

     
    TheBoogeyman931
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2026 - 2:56 PM ET #28

    Ohtani batting 5th tonight is interesting..

    Reply

    Ohtani batting 5th tonight is interesting..

     
    Raiders22
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2026 - 2:56 PM ET #29

    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

    Quote Originally Posted by Raiders22: This is very key to me as the playoffs approached and folks got healthy, etc.: The Dodgers' offense really did struggle in July/August. Their second-half wRC+ was 93 as of mid-August, and August was particularly bad at 90 wRC+. But they turned it around in September. They posted the second-highest wRC+ in MLB and went 18–7.   Don't be too impressed. They mopped up against some awful pitchers. The Dodgers went 15-1 in September vs. the crumbling Nationals, the dreadful Reds, and the towel-tossing Giants (who went 0-6 vs. the Dodgers over the final 9 days of the season).

    Very true.  Their clutch hitters have not been putting crucial hits together.  

    It will be interesting to see if they can do it in the playoffs at crucial times.

    Both teams not looking good with RISP.  Some of that is due to pitching, sure.

    But ATL is 15 LOB, 1-for-10 RISP and LAD is 13 LOB, 0-for-9 RISP, I think.

    So, relying only on homers may not be enough for either team.

    peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

    Quote Originally Posted by Raiders22: This is very key to me as the playoffs approached and folks got healthy, etc.: The Dodgers' offense really did struggle in July/August. Their second-half wRC+ was 93 as of mid-August, and August was particularly bad at 90 wRC+. But they turned it around in September. They posted the second-highest wRC+ in MLB and went 18–7.   Don't be too impressed. They mopped up against some awful pitchers. The Dodgers went 15-1 in September vs. the crumbling Nationals, the dreadful Reds, and the towel-tossing Giants (who went 0-6 vs. the Dodgers over the final 9 days of the season).

    Very true.  Their clutch hitters have not been putting crucial hits together.  

    It will be interesting to see if they can do it in the playoffs at crucial times.

    Both teams not looking good with RISP.  Some of that is due to pitching, sure.

    But ATL is 15 LOB, 1-for-10 RISP and LAD is 13 LOB, 0-for-9 RISP, I think.

    So, relying only on homers may not be enough for either team.

    peace_5

     
    TheBoogeyman931
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2026 - 3:01 PM ET #30

    @Raiders22

     Wind blowing in alittle tonight as well.. I think like most playoff games it comes down to the ABCs and the clutch ABs tonight. I'm a Braves homer obviously but I love the Baldwin/Murphy lineup tonight with Riley at the bottom

    Reply

    @Raiders22

     Wind blowing in alittle tonight as well.. I think like most playoff games it comes down to the ABCs and the clutch ABs tonight. I'm a Braves homer obviously but I love the Baldwin/Murphy lineup tonight with Riley at the bottom

     
    Raiders22
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2026 - 3:05 PM ET #31

    Quote Originally Posted by TheBoogeyman931:

    @Raiders22  Wind blowing in alittle tonight as well.. I think like most playoff games it comes down to the ABCs and the clutch ABs tonight. I'm a Braves homer obviously but I love the Baldwin/Murphy lineup tonight with Riley at the bottom

    Me too.  I hope you are right.  Would be so sweet for ATL to knock the Dodgers out.

    peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by TheBoogeyman931:

    @Raiders22  Wind blowing in alittle tonight as well.. I think like most playoff games it comes down to the ABCs and the clutch ABs tonight. I'm a Braves homer obviously but I love the Baldwin/Murphy lineup tonight with Riley at the bottom

    Me too.  I hope you are right.  Would be so sweet for ATL to knock the Dodgers out.

    peace_5

     
    RebelTell2
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2026 - 3:05 PM ET #32

    @MDizzle23

     Locks are for doors and bank vaults; they don't exist in sports gambling unless the fix is in, and that is not the case in this game.

    However, I'll agree that Sale and the Braves are in a good spot here. Sale may even keep Muncy on the bench; he's their hottest hitter. And he should keep Freddy and Shohei in the park. Betts struggles vs. LHP. Edman and Pages have been ice cold. Smith too. Sale should keep the Dodgers in check, at least for 6 innings. After that, who knows. Maybe the Braves will score a few off of Yamamoto and have a lead. Let's hope so. Problem is, Yamamoto is as tough as it gets.

    I'm on Atlanta too, but they damn sure aren't a lock. Lots of variables in a baseball game. Anything could happen. We'll see how it turns out.

     

    Reply

    @MDizzle23

     Locks are for doors and bank vaults; they don't exist in sports gambling unless the fix is in, and that is not the case in this game.

    However, I'll agree that Sale and the Braves are in a good spot here. Sale may even keep Muncy on the bench; he's their hottest hitter. And he should keep Freddy and Shohei in the park. Betts struggles vs. LHP. Edman and Pages have been ice cold. Smith too. Sale should keep the Dodgers in check, at least for 6 innings. After that, who knows. Maybe the Braves will score a few off of Yamamoto and have a lead. Let's hope so. Problem is, Yamamoto is as tough as it gets.

    I'm on Atlanta too, but they damn sure aren't a lock. Lots of variables in a baseball game. Anything could happen. We'll see how it turns out.

     

     
    TheBoogeyman931
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2026 - 3:12 PM ET #33

    @Raiders22

    LFG. peace_5clovercloverpeace

    Reply

    @Raiders22

    LFG. peace_5clovercloverpeace

     
    TheBoogeyman931
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2026 - 3:14 PM ET #34

    @RebelTell2

     I was glad to see Muncy out of the starting lineup.. seems like every post season he hits extremely timely HRs

    Reply

    @RebelTell2

     I was glad to see Muncy out of the starting lineup.. seems like every post season he hits extremely timely HRs

     
    ArtSchlichterJr
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2026 - 3:41 PM ET #35

    No concern about Sales poor post season history ?... Good vs Philly this year  but not Yamo like....Hmm....  surprised

    Be careful with the axe Eugene.
    Reply

    No concern about Sales poor post season history ?... Good vs Philly this year  but not Yamo like....Hmm....  surprised

     
    angle2win
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2026 - 3:52 PM ET #36

    @Way2Good

     Totally agree!!  I see the dodgers pulling away between the 6th to 8th inning.     has a career postseason record of 1-3 with a

    Reply

    @Way2Good

     Totally agree!!  I see the dodgers pulling away between the 6th to 8th inning.     has a career postseason record of 1-3 with a

     
    angle2win
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2026 - 3:53 PM ET #37

    [Quote: Originally Posted by angle2win]@Way2Good  Totally agree!!  I see the dodgers pulling away between the 6th to 8th inning.     has a career postseason record of 1-3 with an era of 5.28

    Reply

    [Quote: Originally Posted by angle2win]@Way2Good  Totally agree!!  I see the dodgers pulling away between the 6th to 8th inning.     has a career postseason record of 1-3 with an era of 5.28

     
    angle2win
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2026 - 3:54 PM ET #38

    [Quote: Originally Posted by angle2win]@Way2Good  Totally agree!!  I see the dodgers pulling away between the 6th to 8th inning.     has a career postseason record of 1-3 with an era of 5.38. 

    Reply

    [Quote: Originally Posted by angle2win]@Way2Good  Totally agree!!  I see the dodgers pulling away between the 6th to 8th inning.     has a career postseason record of 1-3 with an era of 5.38. 

     
    Way2Good
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2026 - 4:20 PM ET #39

    @ArtSchlichterJr

     how was he good against Philly? he gave up 3 runs and they were trailing that game because of him, if it were not for Austin Riley's homer they would have lost that game and he would be 0-1 this post season. Sale being an ace is too much of an oversell. yes he is good but doesnt guarantee a lock. 


    Even a broken clock is right twice a day.
    Reply

    @ArtSchlichterJr

     how was he good against Philly? he gave up 3 runs and they were trailing that game because of him, if it were not for Austin Riley's homer they would have lost that game and he would be 0-1 this post season. Sale being an ace is too much of an oversell. yes he is good but doesnt guarantee a lock. 


     
    ArtSchlichterJr
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2026 - 5:16 PM ET #40

    @Way2Good

     peace_5

    Be careful with the axe Eugene.
    Reply

    @Way2Good

     peace_5

     
    brianx
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2026 - 5:26 PM ET #41

    What scares me is Phillies left handers hit Sale well including Swhwarber and Harper going back to back.  And Dodgers have ohtani who is due and Muncy and Freeman.  Dodgers seem like a good play.

    an_cheers

    Reply

    What scares me is Phillies left handers hit Sale well including Swhwarber and Harper going back to back.  And Dodgers have ohtani who is due and Muncy and Freeman.  Dodgers seem like a good play.

    an_cheers

     
    ArtSchlichterJr
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2026 - 5:36 PM ET #42

    Well Muncy not starting and Sales did not give up those 2 hrs...Besides that great info and post....an_beatup

    Be careful with the axe Eugene.
    Reply

    Well Muncy not starting and Sales did not give up those 2 hrs...Besides that great info and post....an_beatup

     
    Jhizzle13
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2026 - 5:39 PM ET #43

    @ArtSchlichterJr

     an_roll_laugh

    Reply

    @ArtSchlichterJr

     an_roll_laugh

     
    bigred84
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2026 - 5:53 PM ET #44

    @MrBator

     I remember I Had the Dodgers...sad

    Reply

    @MrBator

     I remember I Had the Dodgers...sad

     
    TheBoogeyman931
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2026 - 6:01 PM ET #45

    Loudest of boos for Freddie..

    ITS ON. an_cheers

    Reply

    Loudest of boos for Freddie..

    ITS ON. an_cheers

     
    bigred84
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2026 - 6:06 PM ET #46

    @ArtSchlichterJr

     no shit.....a lefty  but not Soupy Sales....reallyhappy

    Reply

    @ArtSchlichterJr

     no shit.....a lefty  but not Soupy Sales....reallyhappy

     
    hammerdog22
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2026 - 7:01 PM ET #47

    @MrBator

     I remember that game - Sale pitched a complete game with no walks.  11 Ks.  Yamamoto was dealing as well.  Game of the year and I had Yamo.  

    Sale already has 6 Ks tonight and Yamo has 4.  I took Sale this time.  These two pitchers are almost identical.  And the Dodgers beat the Giants AAA team at the end of the year.  SF scrapped but LA was too much for a full 9 innings.  I don't see Sale coming out of the game but Davey will pull Yamo quicker and that's an edge for ATL.  Yamo is nails.

    Reply

    @MrBator

     I remember that game - Sale pitched a complete game with no walks.  11 Ks.  Yamamoto was dealing as well.  Game of the year and I had Yamo.  

    Sale already has 6 Ks tonight and Yamo has 4.  I took Sale this time.  These two pitchers are almost identical.  And the Dodgers beat the Giants AAA team at the end of the year.  SF scrapped but LA was too much for a full 9 innings.  I don't see Sale coming out of the game but Davey will pull Yamo quicker and that's an edge for ATL.  Yamo is nails.

     
    hammerdog22
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2026 - 7:23 PM ET #48

    @hammerdog22

     My post did not age well...sheesh.

    Reply

    @hammerdog22

     My post did not age well...sheesh.

     
    CaseyMcGehee
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2026 - 7:26 PM ET #49

    How about that lock lol. You can get it nearly +1000 right now probably much more than that soon. 

    Reply

    How about that lock lol. You can get it nearly +1000 right now probably much more than that soon. 

     
     
    CardiacKid59
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2026 - 7:55 PM ET #50

    Nothing is a lock against the dodgers LMAO 

    Reply

    Nothing is a lock against the dodgers LMAO 

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