Posted:
#26
knowledge is power and you got the power. thanx.
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Handicapping Articles - Issue #8
Posted:
#32
Good morning fellas! ||an_clap.gif' border=0>
TY...
LV
Glenn
Pillsbury
DogCaller
football_007
kww
tmpeus
hoople
Rick
Raidernator
jusrushem
LV...don't get crazy with your betting size. Bet the same amount everytime. You're a big boy...not telling you what to do but consider the following FACT:
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Keep in mind that any particular series of wins and losses is a 'streak.' It is just as much a streak to have a long series not dominated by either wins or losses as to have a long series dominated by wins or a long series dominated by losses. To illustrate what can be expected from having a winning expectation of, say, 57½% per bet, I have often used the analogy of 1,000 marbles in a sack; - 575 white marbles (winners) and 425 black marbles (losers). Your job is to draw a marble from the sack without peeking, note whether it's a white marble (a winner) or a black marble (a loser), replace it in the sack, shake the sack, and repeat the process.
Given enough draws from the sack, it is obvious you are guaranteed to pick more winners than losers. After all, every time you reach into the sack you have a 57½% expectation of "winning" and only a 42½% expectation of "losing." Trouble is, those 425 black marbles can be a real pain in the patootsie. It is amazing how many losers you can draw over any sequential 10, or 20, or even 50 chances. In spite of having a clear advantage, you are absolutely guaranteed to have losing streaks.
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This little tidbit of factual info opened my eyes years ago. It doesn't get any clearer than this. Just trying to help. ||Peace_5.gif' border=0>
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Posted:
#34
25-7 $7,478.99
Article #32
This one I like a lot. First off, Andy Sonnanstine is one of the biggest closet losers in AL pitching. His front act is his 7-3 record but I will bet my money any day that when not helped out by run support, the loser in this pitcher shows up fast and early.
What kind of "winning" pitcher has the following line at home:
45.2IP 59H 5.32ERA 1.49WHIP .311BAA
It doesn't take a genius to figure out this guy is always bailed out by his hitters. Well, today it's going to be a different scenario. He's facing The Man who's got the biggest heart in the majors. Rays got 24 men LOB and also had 10 hits. They're bound to quiet down today.
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My Pick: Zambrano and The Cubs -123
Good Luck!
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Posted:
#48
really like detroit w galarraga
bobby you know me tossing pie and gambling away just rebuilt a 1966 ford mustang coupe with a 1968 302 small block ,took 3 months just started her yesterday for the first time ,pure adrenaline when a project like that is finished ,cost me 5K,car is worth 15-20k||an_dance.gif' border=0>||peace.gif' border=0>
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Posted:
#50
Widener - Let's get 'em ||Peace_5.gif' border=0>
hawsy - Amen. There are different types of pitchers. There are those who are underrated like Lincecum. There are those who are overrated like Marquis. There are those who are not overrated but struggling like Halladay. There are those who are your definitive home/away pitcher like Santana of the Angels although I think he has matured enough to overcome this.
This right here is your definitive overrated pitcher.
brian - you got it. ||an_clap.gif' border=0>
Sherriff - I think Detroit's victory will depend on whether or not Galarraga can focus long enough to give the Tigers the victory. I still have my doubts with his consistency and maturity. All I can say is that when he's on, he's one nasty mofo...virtually unhittable. His fastballs dance so much in and around the plate. Let's hope his good side shows up tonight. You'll know right off the bat if he's on. After the second inning, if he's walked 2 or 3, you're in trouble. If, on the other hand, you see around 3 or 4K after 2 innings of work, you got yourself a winner. ||clover.gif' border=0>
Raider - For Detroit, see my response to Sherry above this one. As for Phillies, I'm not going to say Boston will win but I think too many people are undervaluing this kid Masterson in this spot. He's incredibly mature and dedicated. There's something about Boston's core belief that makes a douchebag rethink his ways and start improving his performance. That said, here's the dilemma...they were shut out yesterday. These guys are 3-0 this season after getting shut out. Question is: Does Kendrick have the tenacity for revenge? I don't know. I just don't think this is a suitable spot for him. Just stand aside. No need to gamble on this game just because it's an early action. ||Peace_5.gif' border=0>
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