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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    Good MLB over unders betting strategy?

    Kevinwalsh1313
    undermysac
    barneybeans
    m0rtgageguy
    braves5795
    ...
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    Kevinwalsh1313
    Kevinwalsh1313
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2018 - 12:38 AM ET #1

    Does anyone know of any MLB over/Under systems/strategies that have shown to be profitable long term? All replies would be greatly appreciated!

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    Does anyone know of any MLB over/Under systems/strategies that have shown to be profitable long term? All replies would be greatly appreciated!

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2018 - 4:20 PM ET #2

    Fly ball pitchers with a healthy wind blowing out, take the over. These days, swinging bunts can make it to the warning track


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    Fly ball pitchers with a healthy wind blowing out, take the over. These days, swinging bunts can make it to the warning track


     
    barneybeans
    barneybeans
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2018 - 7:25 PM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Fly ball pitchers with a healthy wind blowing out, take the over. These days, swinging bunts can make it to the warning track
    At Fenway Aaron Juge got hit by a pitch that flew down the line and hit Peskey's pole and reflected fair and into the seats. Was ruled a ground rule double on the field but got overturned on replay as it clearly showed the ball bounced of Judge and did not the bat. So the old hit by pitch rule. 

     

    Take the over NYY vs a Lefty having a solid heater.

     

    BOL clover

     

    I am not a robot 

    The pen is mightier than the pigs
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    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Fly ball pitchers with a healthy wind blowing out, take the over. These days, swinging bunts can make it to the warning track
    At Fenway Aaron Juge got hit by a pitch that flew down the line and hit Peskey's pole and reflected fair and into the seats. Was ruled a ground rule double on the field but got overturned on replay as it clearly showed the ball bounced of Judge and did not the bat. So the old hit by pitch rule. 

     

    Take the over NYY vs a Lefty having a solid heater.

     

    BOL clover

     

    I am not a robot 

     
    m0rtgageguy
    m0rtgageguy
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    Posts: 1283
    Posted: Jan. 30, 2018 - 9:36 PM ET #4


    Stats, trends, park factors, pitchers' ERAs, WHIPs. 

    What else to look for?

    In 2016 I rod Kershaw Unders and games in Colo and AZ Overs. 
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    Stats, trends, park factors, pitchers' ERAs, WHIPs. 

    What else to look for?

    In 2016 I rod Kershaw Unders and games in Colo and AZ Overs. 
     
    braves5795
    braves5795
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2018 - 1:02 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by Kevinwalsh1313:

    Does anyone know of any MLB over/Under systems/strategies that have shown to be profitable long term? All replies would be greatly appreciated!

     

    Nyy will be shaded over all yr. with judge and stanton, look for value whenthey are on the road, vs. non a.l east teams 

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    Quote Originally Posted by Kevinwalsh1313:

    Does anyone know of any MLB over/Under systems/strategies that have shown to be profitable long term? All replies would be greatly appreciated!

     

    Nyy will be shaded over all yr. with judge and stanton, look for value whenthey are on the road, vs. non a.l east teams 

     
    PushesL0oze
    PushesL0oze
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    Posted: Feb. 7, 2018 - 2:49 AM ET #6

    I just wrote this to somebody else and all it is is basically a blueprint or a basic structure to go off and it's worked wonders for me...

    For the first couple months there's going to be a lot of no name pitchers it's Mayhem 4 a lot of teams trying to get a set rotation, never assume it'll be high scoring just because two rookies are starting, 1. because they usually get pulled early n 2. Because hitters might have to make adjustments to a new arm in the league. And in my opinion the best way to bet over unders is live betting because you get a chance to see how the starters are throwing. 90% of the time the line will fluctuate even after just one inning so I feel a lot more comfortable with but the outcome will be

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    I just wrote this to somebody else and all it is is basically a blueprint or a basic structure to go off and it's worked wonders for me...

    For the first couple months there's going to be a lot of no name pitchers it's Mayhem 4 a lot of teams trying to get a set rotation, never assume it'll be high scoring just because two rookies are starting, 1. because they usually get pulled early n 2. Because hitters might have to make adjustments to a new arm in the league. And in my opinion the best way to bet over unders is live betting because you get a chance to see how the starters are throwing. 90% of the time the line will fluctuate even after just one inning so I feel a lot more comfortable with but the outcome will be

     
     
    PushesL0oze
    PushesL0oze
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    Posts: 65
    Posted: Feb. 7, 2018 - 4:15 AM ET #7

     important thing to know is the freshness and quality of the bullpen & closer(s), build off live betting man once you start understanding how it goes you'll see it has a huge advantage.. a gamble is a Gamble, but there's a huge difference in a smart Gamble and a flat out guess. Once the season starts I'll be live probably with couple other people let me know if you want to take part to hell of a lot of fun

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     important thing to know is the freshness and quality of the bullpen & closer(s), build off live betting man once you start understanding how it goes you'll see it has a huge advantage.. a gamble is a Gamble, but there's a huge difference in a smart Gamble and a flat out guess. Once the season starts I'll be live probably with couple other people let me know if you want to take part to hell of a lot of fun

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