Posted:
#6076
LIVE BET, bottom 1, CWS 2 - 1, none on, none out: CWS -241 @pinn
🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵
Posted:
#6079
I have Dodgers with about +0.2 run edge. Obviously Dodgers have the better offense. But it's also clear that Padres send up a modestly better starter who is backed up by a stronger pen. In a similar situation Friday, Padres won 7 - 1, but lost Saturday when the strength on the mound was reversed.
This may set up for a "value bet" on Padres particularly if the line moves up more, but I'm undecided on playing it...
Posted:
#6082
Sunday Fun Day 
June 28:
W Pitts -130 @pinn 1st5
W Wash +1.5 - 115 @pinn
W Tampa -184 @pinn
W Tampa -1 -103 @pinn 1st5
L Rockies +130 @pinn "value bet" ...coin-flipper
pending...Cleveland -104 @pinn
pending...CWS -130 @pinn
pending...LIVE BET, bottom 1, CWS 2 - 1, none on, none out: CWS -241 @pinn
pending...LIVE hedge BET, bot-8th, none out, none on, 5 - 4: Royals -235 @B365
pending...Astros -107 @pinn
delay ...Pitts -130 @pinn
Posted:
#6083
Sunday Fun Day June 28:
W Pitts -130 @pinn 1st5
W Wash +1.5 - 115 @pinn
W Tampa -184 @pinn
W Tampa -1 -103 @pinn 1st5
L Rockies +130 @pinn "value bet" ...coin-flipper
W Cleveland -104 @pinn
L CWS -130 @pinn
L LIVE BET, bottom 1, CWS 2 - 1, none on, none out: CWS -241 @pinn
W LIVE hedge BET, bot-8th, none out, none on, 5 - 4: Royals -235 @B365
W Astros -107 @pinn
pending...Pitts -130 @pinn
Posted:
#6087
Quote Originally Posted by googotts:
Any info on the Boston Yanks game?
Any info on the Boston Yanks game?
Tough to judge this one because of the intense rivalry. No team - and a GOOD ONE! - just tamely submits to being swept in 4 by a clearly weaker opponent (entering the series, that is) But timing is everything and the Yankees are in a batting slump while BoSox are getting the hits and runs in past 3 games facing GOOD Yankee starters backed up by their SOLID bullpen!
It's defying logic, which unfortunately has been the norm the past two weeks! And what's more frustrating is it can turnaround at any moment! 
BoSox should have the edge, though. I have BoSox with a reasonable edge on the mound and - if we are to assume the Yankee batting slump continues, and they don't choose tonight to break out - then BoSox are better at the plate too!... all told my capping is suggesting an edge for Boston of ~ +0.8 runs to +1.1 runs and getting a real cheap line ta boot!
But herein lies the problem.....it's lining up to be "logical" for a BoSox win (ie, too good to be true)
It relies on assumptions (guesses??) that the NYY slump continues and the BoSox continue batting ABOVE normal expectation for them. The pens look closely matched and GRAY has the pitching edge for sure IF HE DOESN'T HAVE A BAD DAY - like Dylan Cease did yesterday!!! How do we accurately predict if a starter is going to have a bad day?!?
Normally I would bet BoSox here. But my past two weeks would suggest that solid edge would disappear into a coin-flipper and I would likely lose this "logical" bet. So I am NOT betting it, and NOT suggesting it as a pick for anyone. I've seen just as many "logical" bets fall as I have seen win the last 2 weeks and PASS is my stance...
BoL fellas whatever you decide . . . though I'd guess the forum is likely split.
Posted:
#6088
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by googotts: Any info on the Boston Yanks game? Tough to judge this one because of the intense rivalry. No team - and a GOOD ONE! - just tamely submits to being swept in 4 by a clearly weaker opponent (entering the series, that is) But timing is everything and the Yankees are in a batting slump while BoSox are getting the hits and runs in past 3 games facing GOOD Yankee starters backed up by their SOLID bullpen! It's defying logic, which unfortunately has been the norm the past two weeks! And what's more frustrating is it can turnaround at any moment! BoSox should have the edge, though. I have BoSox with a reasonable edge on the mound and - if we are to assume the Yankee batting slump continues, and they don't choose tonight to break out - then BoSox are better at the plate too!... all told my capping is suggesting an edge for Boston of ~ +0.8 runs to +1.1 runs and getting a real cheap line ta boot! But herein lies the problem.....it's lining up to be "logical" for a BoSox win (ie, too good to be true) It relies on assumptions (guesses??) that the NYY slump continues and the BoSox continue batting ABOVE normal expectation for them. The pens look closely matched and GRAY has the pitching edge for sure IF HE DOESN'T HAVE A BAD DAY - like Dylan Cease did yesterday!!! How do we accurately predict if a starter is going to have a bad day?!? Normally I would bet BoSox here. But my past two weeks would suggest that solid edge would disappear into a coin-flipper and I would likely lose this "logical" bet. So I am NOT betting it, and NOT suggesting it as a pick for anyone. I've seen just as many "logical" bets fall as I have seen win the last 2 weeks and PASS is my stance... BoL fellas whatever you decide . . . though I'd guess the forum is likely split.
Quote Originally Posted by googotts: Any info on the Boston Yanks game? Tough to judge this one because of the intense rivalry. No team - and a GOOD ONE! - just tamely submits to being swept in 4 by a clearly weaker opponent (entering the series, that is) But timing is everything and the Yankees are in a batting slump while BoSox are getting the hits and runs in past 3 games facing GOOD Yankee starters backed up by their SOLID bullpen! It's defying logic, which unfortunately has been the norm the past two weeks! And what's more frustrating is it can turnaround at any moment! BoSox should have the edge, though. I have BoSox with a reasonable edge on the mound and - if we are to assume the Yankee batting slump continues, and they don't choose tonight to break out - then BoSox are better at the plate too!... all told my capping is suggesting an edge for Boston of ~ +0.8 runs to +1.1 runs and getting a real cheap line ta boot! But herein lies the problem.....it's lining up to be "logical" for a BoSox win (ie, too good to be true) It relies on assumptions (guesses??) that the NYY slump continues and the BoSox continue batting ABOVE normal expectation for them. The pens look closely matched and GRAY has the pitching edge for sure IF HE DOESN'T HAVE A BAD DAY - like Dylan Cease did yesterday!!! How do we accurately predict if a starter is going to have a bad day?!? Normally I would bet BoSox here. But my past two weeks would suggest that solid edge would disappear into a coin-flipper and I would likely lose this "logical" bet. So I am NOT betting it, and NOT suggesting it as a pick for anyone. I've seen just as many "logical" bets fall as I have seen win the last 2 weeks and PASS is my stance... BoL fellas whatever you decide . . . though I'd guess the forum is likely split.
That said, a LIVE BET is always possible ...
Posted:
#6089
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by googotts: Any info on the Boston Yanks game? Tough to judge this one because of the intense rivalry. No team - and a GOOD ONE! - just tamely submits to being swept in 4 by a clearly weaker opponent (entering the series, that is) But timing is everything and the Yankees are in a batting slump while BoSox are getting the hits and runs in past 3 games facing GOOD Yankee starters backed up by their SOLID bullpen! It's defying logic, which unfortunately has been the norm the past two weeks! And what's more frustrating is it can turnaround at any moment! BoSox should have the edge, though. I have BoSox with a reasonable edge on the mound and - if we are to assume the Yankee batting slump continues, and they don't choose tonight to break out - then BoSox are better at the plate too!... all told my capping is suggesting an edge for Boston of ~ +0.8 runs to +1.1 runs and getting a real cheap line ta boot! But herein lies the problem.....it's lining up to be "logical" for a BoSox win (ie, too good to be true) It relies on assumptions (guesses??) that the NYY slump continues and the BoSox continue batting ABOVE normal expectation for them. The pens look closely matched and GRAY has the pitching edge for sure IF HE DOESN'T HAVE A BAD DAY - like Dylan Cease did yesterday!!! How do we accurately predict if a starter is going to have a bad day?!? Normally I would bet BoSox here. But my past two weeks would suggest that solid edge would disappear into a coin-flipper and I would likely lose this "logical" bet. So I am NOT betting it, and NOT suggesting it as a pick for anyone. I've seen just as many "logical" bets fall as I have seen win the last 2 weeks and PASS is my stance... BoL fellas whatever you decide . . . though I'd guess the forum is likely split.
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by googotts: Any info on the Boston Yanks game? Tough to judge this one because of the intense rivalry. No team - and a GOOD ONE! - just tamely submits to being swept in 4 by a clearly weaker opponent (entering the series, that is) But timing is everything and the Yankees are in a batting slump while BoSox are getting the hits and runs in past 3 games facing GOOD Yankee starters backed up by their SOLID bullpen! It's defying logic, which unfortunately has been the norm the past two weeks! And what's more frustrating is it can turnaround at any moment! BoSox should have the edge, though. I have BoSox with a reasonable edge on the mound and - if we are to assume the Yankee batting slump continues, and they don't choose tonight to break out - then BoSox are better at the plate too!... all told my capping is suggesting an edge for Boston of ~ +0.8 runs to +1.1 runs and getting a real cheap line ta boot! But herein lies the problem.....it's lining up to be "logical" for a BoSox win (ie, too good to be true) It relies on assumptions (guesses??) that the NYY slump continues and the BoSox continue batting ABOVE normal expectation for them. The pens look closely matched and GRAY has the pitching edge for sure IF HE DOESN'T HAVE A BAD DAY - like Dylan Cease did yesterday!!! How do we accurately predict if a starter is going to have a bad day?!? Normally I would bet BoSox here. But my past two weeks would suggest that solid edge would disappear into a coin-flipper and I would likely lose this "logical" bet. So I am NOT betting it, and NOT suggesting it as a pick for anyone. I've seen just as many "logical" bets fall as I have seen win the last 2 weeks and PASS is my stance... BoL fellas whatever you decide . . . though I'd guess the forum is likely split.
That said, a LIVE BET is always possible ...
Gun to my head though it would be BoSox (but this is not a pick!!)
....... thanks for sharing all your work... 
Posted:
#6095
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: GRAY having a good start so far ... 3 up, 3 down, twice... He's retired all 12 so far... 2 - 0 my BoSox late! Now my Yankees have tied it up!
Now my YankSox have taken a 4 - 2 lead over my RedKees
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: GRAY having a good start so far ... 3 up, 3 down, twice... He's retired all 12 so far... 2 - 0 my BoSox late! Now my Yankees have tied it up!
Posted:
#6096
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by googotts: Any info on the Boston Yanks game?
Quote Originally Posted by googotts: Any info on the Boston Yanks game?
Tough to judge this one because of the intense rivalry. No team - and a GOOD ONE! - just tamely submits to being swept in 4 by a clearly weaker opponent (entering the series, that is) But timing is everything and the Yankees are in a batting slump while BoSox are getting the hits and runs in past 3 games facing GOOD Yankee starters backed up by their SOLID bullpen!
It's defying logic, which unfortunately has been the norm the past two weeks! And what's more frustrating is it can turnaround at any moment!
BoSox should have the edge, though. I have BoSox with a reasonable edge on the mound and - if we are to assume the Yankee batting slump continues, and they don't choose tonight to break out - then BoSox are better at the plate too!... all told my capping is suggesting an edge for Boston of ~ +0.8 runs to +1.1 runs and getting a real cheap line ta boot!
But herein lies the problem.....it's lining up to be "logical" for a BoSox win (ie, too good to be true) It relies on assumptions (guesses??) that the NYY slump continues and the BoSox continue batting ABOVE normal expectation for them. The pens look closely matched and GRAY has the pitching edge for sure IF HE DOESN'T HAVE A BAD DAY - like Dylan Cease did yesterday!!! How do we accurately predict if a starter is going to have a bad day?!?
Normally I would bet BoSox here. But my past two weeks would suggest that solid edge would disappear into a coin-flipper and I would likely lose this "logical" bet. So I am NOT betting it, and NOT suggesting it as a pick for anyone. I've seen just as many "logical" bets fall as I have seen win the last 2 weeks and PASS is my stance...
BoL fellas whatever you decide . . . though I'd guess the forum is likely split.
BoSox rule!
Posted:
#6097
Sunday Fun Day June 28:
W Pitts -130 @pinn 1st5
W Wash +1.5 - 115 @pinn
W Tampa -184 @pinn
W Tampa -1 -103 @pinn 1st5
L Rockies +130 @pinn "value bet" ...coin-flipper
W Cleveland -104 @pinn
L CWS -130 @pinn
L LIVE BET, bottom 1, CWS 2 - 1, none on, none out: CWS -241 @pinn
W LIVE hedge BET, bot-8th, none out, none on, 5 - 4: Royals -235 @B365
W Astros -107 @pinn
W Pitts -130 @pinn
8 - 3
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