FIRST HALF TOTALS (TRUE STAT)

You’ve been correct!! Would you blindly play first 5 overs today? 

@JJWoods  to answer your question kind of. What I mean by that is in a game which has brown vs skubal when Brown has incredible lifetime numbers against the Tigers, especially in Detroit since he’s from Michigan, I might lay off. But on the other hand, I blindly played these anyways, and I think it’s about consistency versus picking the spots.

I never tell anyone how to manage their bankrolls so I can’t start now, but for instance a game, which has Woodruff against taillon where the ladder has been out of action for some time, I think that’s a good risk which is calculated and in your favor, despite how good woodruff is in the first half of games.

TOR / PIT over 4 FH  

From a purely statistical standpoint the numbers suggest that playing blind will tend towards an 85% success rate which we all know is unheard of in sports gaming, especially in MLB betting. I agree that there may be obvious situations where pitchers with extreme numbers might test the formula (Skubol just walked his first batter btw) but I'm not good enough to tweek the current formula. As you say, though, it's only a matter of time before the numbers change so treading gently is the way to go! Thanks for this though. It adds to the entertainment that should be the ultimate goal. 

@Brewmeister

Of course I love sharing information and I had suspected something when I had won twice backing the OVER 3.5 with I forget which two Seattle SP's squaring off against an opponent and both went over.  I thought maybe it was Seattle or something along those but I kept seeing these short FH lines (always with Skenes it seems) going over the FH total.  Then I heard that bit yesterday and...yes, another FH OVER 4 which I too was on.

I did NOT play the FH over in the Skubal/Brown game but I'm thinking I probably should for the Woodruff game upcoming :) 

@LAGameofInches

STL / MIA over 4 FH  

Yes, it's nuts.  I hope others are seeing this too 

Happy I skipped out on the Astros/Tigers b/c man is Houston having problems scoring runs 

Thanks for the wisdom 

 Yep good call there and one of those opportunities to push the 85% number. Nice.

Quote: Originally Posted by Brewmeister]Quote Originally Posted by LAGameofInches: Yes, it's nuts.  I hope others are seeing this too  Happy I skipped out on the Astros/Tigers b/c man is Houston having problems scoring runs  Yep good call there and one of those opportunities to push the 85% number. Nice.[/Quote]

I'd also like BrooklynCapper to win his play which is on the UNDER[

OAK / MIN NRFI and over 4 FH