U can read all about that in the 39 day thread if u want.
Welcome to my new office, for the minimum of one week. This office will be open from September 18 through September 24. If a profit is turned, it will remain open.
I am going to use my 25 Top Plays this week, broken down in this format.
Mon-Fri (Top 3 plays daily)
Saturday (Top 6 plays)
Sunday (Top 4 plays)
No juice over (-150) will be used and I expect the juice to average (-115).
No expected win rate that ill state publicly. I just want to be profitable.
All plays will be for just one unit. My wager amount will be $300. I'll make these wagers from 5 outs (Draftkings, Fanduel, BETMGM, Caesars or a longtime local).
All plays will be generated from my 2 working models.
I want to see what my Top Power Plays can do under a spotlight.
So for one week (at least) ill be right here. Hopefully I don't get my head handed to me. But let's see what The Falcon can do. No smoke and mirrors, no gimmicks or tricks, just the best of what I have.
I won't have anything on the day game but ill return this afternoon with The Falcons three (Top Power Plays) for Monday night.
Good luck guys
Falcon Sports
1
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Alright guys I'm moving on from (The Chase)
U can read all about that in the 39 day thread if u want.
Welcome to my new office, for the minimum of one week. This office will be open from September 18 through September 24. If a profit is turned, it will remain open.
I am going to use my 25 Top Plays this week, broken down in this format.
Mon-Fri (Top 3 plays daily)
Saturday (Top 6 plays)
Sunday (Top 4 plays)
No juice over (-150) will be used and I expect the juice to average (-115).
No expected win rate that ill state publicly. I just want to be profitable.
All plays will be for just one unit. My wager amount will be $300. I'll make these wagers from 5 outs (Draftkings, Fanduel, BETMGM, Caesars or a longtime local).
All plays will be generated from my 2 working models.
I want to see what my Top Power Plays can do under a spotlight.
So for one week (at least) ill be right here. Hopefully I don't get my head handed to me. But let's see what The Falcon can do. No smoke and mirrors, no gimmicks or tricks, just the best of what I have.
I won't have anything on the day game but ill return this afternoon with The Falcons three (Top Power Plays) for Monday night.
Let's take a look at The Falcons 3 Top Power Plays for Monday night.
Milwaukee -1 (-130) Fanduel
I caught this line about 6 hours ago, not sure its still available. This is my highest rated Power Number for Monday, that falls into the category of no juice over (-150). Milwaukee trying to clinch the division soon, so their focus should be there. We have the better team (by the record) by quite a bit but let's be honest, this is more about Peralta vs. Wainwright. No need to say anything about that (is there). Big bullpen edge also for Milwaukee and the Brewers are the road team, so we are guaranteed 9 at bats here. Roll with the Top Power Number in the Milwaukee Brewers.
Dodgers Over 8 (+100) Caesars
Looks like we caught a good price here also. It helps to have 5 places to wager. This is my Top Power Total. The Dodgers and Over 8 doesn't really go together (do they). My model projects this at (9.65 runs). Couple things here to note also. Mookie and Freddy should be in the lineup tonight. Its also Lance Lynne and I love fading ole Lance. Rolling with The Falcons Top Power Total in this one.
Saints TT Over 20.5 (-110) Draftkings
My model plain and simple projects the Saints st 24 points. While the running game may be lacking for the Saints, Derek Carr has some weapons at WR and I mean some weapons. Also I would not doubt my boy Bryce Young giving up a couple turnovers, I'm an Alabama Homer so I hate to say that. Turnovers that lead to a short field for the Saints. And all the better if Bryce performs well. Carolina should be middle of the pack defensively at best. Roll with the Saints to put up at least 21pts tonight.
Good luck guys, ill be bringing you The Falcons Top 25 Power Plays this week. I did not say they would win, just said I was bringing them.
Falcon Sports
0
Let's take a look at The Falcons 3 Top Power Plays for Monday night.
Milwaukee -1 (-130) Fanduel
I caught this line about 6 hours ago, not sure its still available. This is my highest rated Power Number for Monday, that falls into the category of no juice over (-150). Milwaukee trying to clinch the division soon, so their focus should be there. We have the better team (by the record) by quite a bit but let's be honest, this is more about Peralta vs. Wainwright. No need to say anything about that (is there). Big bullpen edge also for Milwaukee and the Brewers are the road team, so we are guaranteed 9 at bats here. Roll with the Top Power Number in the Milwaukee Brewers.
Dodgers Over 8 (+100) Caesars
Looks like we caught a good price here also. It helps to have 5 places to wager. This is my Top Power Total. The Dodgers and Over 8 doesn't really go together (do they). My model projects this at (9.65 runs). Couple things here to note also. Mookie and Freddy should be in the lineup tonight. Its also Lance Lynne and I love fading ole Lance. Rolling with The Falcons Top Power Total in this one.
Saints TT Over 20.5 (-110) Draftkings
My model plain and simple projects the Saints st 24 points. While the running game may be lacking for the Saints, Derek Carr has some weapons at WR and I mean some weapons. Also I would not doubt my boy Bryce Young giving up a couple turnovers, I'm an Alabama Homer so I hate to say that. Turnovers that lead to a short field for the Saints. And all the better if Bryce performs well. Carolina should be middle of the pack defensively at best. Roll with the Saints to put up at least 21pts tonight.
Good luck guys, ill be bringing you The Falcons Top 25 Power Plays this week. I did not say they would win, just said I was bringing them.
I almost always split my bet between the runline and moneyline to get the (-1) line. There is a calculator on the internet to give u the exact wager amounts on each. Looks like the current line at Fanduel is (-1) (-143).
U can always create the (-1) line.
To keep it very simple, most times u can just split your wager between runline and moneyline and u will get a (-1) thats close to what your looking for. Draftkings has a (-1) line but most times u get a slightly better price by creating your own.
Falcon Sports
2
@Horus1
I almost always split my bet between the runline and moneyline to get the (-1) line. There is a calculator on the internet to give u the exact wager amounts on each. Looks like the current line at Fanduel is (-1) (-143).
U can always create the (-1) line.
To keep it very simple, most times u can just split your wager between runline and moneyline and u will get a (-1) thats close to what your looking for. Draftkings has a (-1) line but most times u get a slightly better price by creating your own.
Let's take a look at The Falcons 3 Top Power Plays for Monday night. Milwaukee -1 (-130) Fanduel I caught this line about 6 hours ago, not sure its still available. This is my highest rated Power Number for Monday, that falls into the category of no juice over (-150). Milwaukee trying to clinch the division soon, so their focus should be there. We have the better team (by the record) by quite a bit but let's be honest, this is more about Peralta vs. Wainwright. No need to say anything about that (is there). Big bullpen edge also for Milwaukee and the Brewers are the road team, so we are guaranteed 9 at bats here. Roll with the Top Power Number in the Milwaukee Brewers. Dodgers Over 8 (+100) Caesars Looks like we caught a good price here also. It helps to have 5 places to wager. This is my Top Power Total. The Dodgers and Over 8 doesn't really go together (do they). My model projects this at (9.65 runs). Couple things here to note also. Mookie and Freddy should be in the lineup tonight. Its also Lance Lynne and I love fading ole Lance. Rolling with The Falcons Top Power Total in this one. Saints TT Over 20.5 (-110) Draftkings My model plain and simple projects the Saints st 24 points. While the running game may be lacking for the Saints, Derek Carr has some weapons at WR and I mean some weapons. Also I would not doubt my boy Bryce Young giving up a couple turnovers, I'm an Alabama Homer so I hate to say that. Turnovers that lead to a short field for the Saints. And all the better if Bryce performs well. Carolina should be middle of the pack defensively at best. Roll with the Saints to put up at least 21pts tonight. Good luck guys, ill be bringing you The Falcons Top 25 Power Plays this week. I did not say they would win, just said I was bringing them. Falcon Sports
I'm an Alabama homer too! Live in Mobile, and A HUGE BAMA FAN! Roll Tide! :)
0
Quote Originally Posted by MITM:
Let's take a look at The Falcons 3 Top Power Plays for Monday night. Milwaukee -1 (-130) Fanduel I caught this line about 6 hours ago, not sure its still available. This is my highest rated Power Number for Monday, that falls into the category of no juice over (-150). Milwaukee trying to clinch the division soon, so their focus should be there. We have the better team (by the record) by quite a bit but let's be honest, this is more about Peralta vs. Wainwright. No need to say anything about that (is there). Big bullpen edge also for Milwaukee and the Brewers are the road team, so we are guaranteed 9 at bats here. Roll with the Top Power Number in the Milwaukee Brewers. Dodgers Over 8 (+100) Caesars Looks like we caught a good price here also. It helps to have 5 places to wager. This is my Top Power Total. The Dodgers and Over 8 doesn't really go together (do they). My model projects this at (9.65 runs). Couple things here to note also. Mookie and Freddy should be in the lineup tonight. Its also Lance Lynne and I love fading ole Lance. Rolling with The Falcons Top Power Total in this one. Saints TT Over 20.5 (-110) Draftkings My model plain and simple projects the Saints st 24 points. While the running game may be lacking for the Saints, Derek Carr has some weapons at WR and I mean some weapons. Also I would not doubt my boy Bryce Young giving up a couple turnovers, I'm an Alabama Homer so I hate to say that. Turnovers that lead to a short field for the Saints. And all the better if Bryce performs well. Carolina should be middle of the pack defensively at best. Roll with the Saints to put up at least 21pts tonight. Good luck guys, ill be bringing you The Falcons Top 25 Power Plays this week. I did not say they would win, just said I was bringing them. Falcon Sports
I'm an Alabama homer too! Live in Mobile, and A HUGE BAMA FAN! Roll Tide! :)
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