Effective System

hell yeah. we re in good shape on 2 of the 3 right now.  two for three is more than enough to have a wiining night.  if it holds thats+2.4 units right there.

canehdianvapper. nice work. thats at i meant about using ur discretion on some games. like the kc game.

ill try to post daily about what the system picks cause its def a good idea to keep the thread alive and people reading it cause its gonna py off. but anyone can easily figure out what it picks.

lets beat them books fells. cheers

joeyd88...Hit my 3 team parlay

KC

Zona

Houston  Bet $71 to win $652  nice work thanks for the idea my man...what we got today

Thanks for doing that CanEHdian Capper.  I had a late  night, like i will generally do on the weekends, so i wont always be able to put up the plays on the weekends, but i promise to post during the week reguarly.  It just is difficult to pull off on the weekend, fun times to be had in NYC.

Trust me i would have liked to post, after going 3-0 yesterday (i cut the mets out of the 4 system picks for reasons previously mentioned).  I actually went through and did the process of looking late last night but didnt have the steam to post'm yet. 

 But thats the beauty of our system, you can pick games while drunk as long as you dont deviate from the break downs, you dont have to worry that you put in stupid drunk bets because they woulda been the same no matter what.

As for todays card, yes those are the picks, but i got the lines at 5am EST and decided to cut most of them off for actual plays (using my discretion which i beleive is KEY, basically i pick the best picks from the system results).  So i went with just a few games, cutting out the cubs (think they shot their load last night at +240 and winning, especialy on the road.  I also cut out cleveland, choo is out, they dont produce, its cold.  I cut out all but the following:

ARI +110 with I. Kennedy on the road against awful MIA, love it, just like last  night, mia gets swept at home i think too

I also took TB +140 -- im not soure why it didnt make the list, i believe it did. Colby Lewis is #22 n-era in the AL, so that doesnt disqualify,  A Tex L-1 and TB won 6.  THought that was a good omen too.  Im pretty sure thats a system qualified bet

Lastly i took boston outside the system -110, just think they will beat the crappy teams consistently but not the big boys this year at all, DET, TB, TEX< NYY

GOod luck today everyone

thanks for being positive, and i would have encouraged anyone else to at least look at it for 1wk, the beauty is that we are now 2-2 at 500% and we are up money. thats my biggest thing, yes dogs are longer odds because they are less likely to win, but baseball is different, the pirates will lose 90 games this year, yes, but because of that they have value moving forward, the perceptions of the public allow us to always have a good line on the pitts bucs, if the bucs are going to win 10 games below 500 (70, not unreasonable) and get almost every game road or home as a dog (from +100 to +200), we have to recognize that that has value in the long run, favs are killers, as in the nfl, mlb has a whole profession of sabremetrics that is distinctive, it tells us more than anything and more than in any other sport, that the dogs have value.  The main point is that... people can prally pick better this system if you know u can account for literally anything, and much more than in other sports, but the consisency is there in this, it cant not be, playing dogs are the rate they win and the value you get (like 10% under 500 and getting an average of +122 yields of positive ROI% and gross), There is no substitute at this time for someone who knows how to determine value in the huge amount of unders that should  be played.  Pitchers own this league, my best bet every year is the under in the allstar game, those staffs are so much better than any grouping of batters that only gets to face one pitcher once, actuoally unders in every major championship ever played recently, i tend to think the best competitive matches must be conservative.

Ill post the system tomorrow, and ill play it with mild discretion almost blindly ( we almost always have schedule the top side of the rotation during the weekend, so regardless if the system losing today, we still saw great value in the lines we took, make no mistake we are taking a chance of losing all games every night if basball plays out the way it obviously should, but it never does, i think we are valued in thorough, if you are skeptical (like i was when i learned about) track it for a year like i did, and see if its worth your time.  My results were so convincing i couldnt wait to play it this year.  We're gonna be find, like CanEHdian Cappy wrote we got unlucky with MIA score in the last three frames, and LAA sneaking in, we have every reason to be positive and look forward,  another fun night in NYC,

We have to admit that having discretion and baseball knowledge goes some of the way, ( remember bet the best ones that the system yields,  i think we lost all other games which i chose to eliminate although they were system plays).  I play all my games in the morning, based on morning lines (EST) and dont bother to look how they change throughout the day, the system somewhat relies on this, so i set my phone (BET Bud app) and its done before nooon, i get to feel confident in this system without regarding too much risk.

I know its not that fun that way, but it is fun to win.  Like they say in Half Baked at the very end ........ya know.   ( Hopefully not how the end of "Two for the Money" went