Dodgers vs Brewers Pick | Oct 11 NLCS Game 1 | Brewers & Under 7.5

MLB Playoff Picks — October 11
8:00 PM ET — LAD @ MIL | NLCS Game 1
Winner Prediction
? Milwaukee Brewers Win
The Win/Loss projection is very close, so this is only a slight lean toward Milwaukee.
Preferred Bet
?? LAD–MIL UNDER 7.5
Formal R2 Pure: 76.58%
Projected Total: 5.829
So the model’s official direction is:
? MIL Brewers Win
?? UNDER 7.5
But if you’re actually choosing what to bet, I would prioritize the Total because the winner probabilities are very close.
Best Bet: UNDER 7.5
All picks are posted before first pitch.

PGS 

@Fuse

 Appreciate it! Staying disciplined and trusting the model. Good luck today 

Hey PGS

The question I have is we’ve got two awesome pitchers going today… how many earnings can we count on from each of them?

GLTA!

If you got U7.5 that must be -200

@marcus

 Good question. That’s one of the key factors behind the Under 7.5 lean. I’m expecting both starters to give their teams solid length, but I’ll be watching pitch count and bullpen usage closely. The side is very close for me, which is why I prefer the total here. GLTA!

@BillyBadger

 Yeah, pretty close. Polymarket was 68¢ when I posted it, roughly -213 implied. My model has the Under 7.5 at 76.58%, so that’s why it’s still the preferred play for me.