Fix professional sports games to win? I have news for you, they definitely don’t. All they have to do is offer a line with a 5% or more edge and the public will beat themselves. It really is that simple. If a book is well capitalized enough to ride out the early days until they get their clientele built up, they’ve got it knocked.
Case in point. The Pittsburgh Pirates are easily the worst team, and franchise for that matter, in all of MLB and it is doubtful there is a more inept or incompetent organization anywhere in professional team sports. Just the list of draft picks they have passed up reads like a litany of a young all star team. I wonder if they wouldn’t be better off today to let the Steelers or Penguins, maybe even the Panthers, field a team to play their remaining games. The only way players or management keep their positions is that they have a mutual admiration society that is scared to let anyone else in the door for fear they would all be put to shame, exposed, and fired.
All of that being said, here they are today laying juice versus a team they have no business being on the field with. I guess bettors agree with Vegas Insider (Ugh) that home field advantage is always worth something, usually 30 to fifty cents in the line. How can that be true and qualify a team to lay juice, when the Pirates have absolutely no categories going for them other than that they are even more incompetent on the road?
Here is a team (and I hesitate to use that word) that wins only 33% of their games overall and only 45.8% at home, unless they hand the ball to Paul Maholm, then they win only 41.7% of their home games. His K/BB ratio stinks as do all his stats and that means the ball will be hit, there are no miracles in this guys future. This team (Gag) has lost 9 of their last 10 (16 of 20) to right handed starters and established an offensive era of only 3 runs per 9 innings. At one point in that sequence they managed to lose 7 straight to righties and 3 of those were at home, as well as both to Nolasco and Johnson in this series. I don’t have a deep book on Sanabia yet, but he doesn’t have to be either of those guys to shut down this bunch of little leaguers.
More bad news for Paul Maholm. According to my rankings he is the third worst active lefty in MLB. Now and then he gets away with that, but the Marlins are terrific lefty hitters, which a lot of guys didn’t notice when I picked them over Duke just a couple days ago, easy win, as Mr. Duke surrendered 5 earned runs in only 5.2 innings. The Marlins are 7-3 their last 10 versus lefties (13-7 last 20) and currently have an offensive era of 5.6 earned runs per nine innings versus lefty starters.
At BetJam the line is still flat, -105 either way, can someone tell me why?
Marlins -105 Sanabia / Maholm
Now I am going to go read other posts and see if anyone had a reason to play on the Pirates. If they did I will be curious to see wtf they were thinking. BOL