Posted:
#76
sounds good look forward to seeing how you cap football. thanks again!
Bodio's MLB Wed 08/24
Posted:
#82
Quote Originally Posted by bodio:
Yeah absolutely. MIL/PIT already started. Here are the CIN/FLA ones:
==========================================
Cincinnati Reds 63-65 (49%) @ Florida Marlins 57-71 (45%)
H. Bailey, starting for Cincinnati Reds, has a FIP of 4.22 (#128 in MLB), xFIP of 4.1 (#117 in MLB), and tERA of 4.56 (#135 in MLB), with a BABIP of .288, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.21. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.59, with a WHIP of 1.3, and opponent BA of .262. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 42% for a 0.95 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
J. Vazquez, starting for Florida Marlins, has a FIP of 4.17 (#123 in MLB), xFIP of 4.21 (#138 in MLB), and tERA of 4.55 (#134 in MLB), with a BABIP of .296, LOB% of 65%, and E-F of 0.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.48, with a WHIP of 1.36, and opponent BA of .262. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 32%, FB%: 47% for a 0.69 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Cincinnati Reds have the #16 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #4 in fielding. They have a road record of 29-35 (45%), ranked #19 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Florida Marlins have the #9 bullpen, #19 offense, and are rated #18 in fielding. They have a home record of 24-40 (38%), ranked #29 in MLB and have Lost 6 in a row.
Odds: CIN -107 (52%) FLA +101 (50%) O/U = 8
Lean: none
=======================================
Cincinnati Reds 63-65 (49%) @ Florida Marlins 57-71 (45%)
B. Arroyo, starting for Cincinnati Reds, has a FIP of 5.57 (#214 in MLB), xFIP of 4.34 (#149 in MLB), and tERA of 5.93 (#207 in MLB), with a BABIP of .286, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of -0.29. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.28, with a WHIP of 1.4, and opponent BA of .284. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 41% for a 1.01 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 16%.
C. Volstad, starting for Florida Marlins, has a FIP of 4.68 (#171 in MLB), xFIP of 3.7 (#66 in MLB), and tERA of 5.37 (#184 in MLB), with a BABIP of .319, LOB% of 66%, and E-F of 0.92. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.25, with a WHIP of 1.51, and opponent BA of .293. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 51%, FB%: 28% for a 1.81 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 17%.
Cincinnati Reds have the #16 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #4 in fielding. They have a road record of 29-35 (45%), ranked #19 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Florida Marlins have the #9 bullpen, #19 offense, and are rated #18 in fielding. They have a home record of 24-40 (38%), ranked #29 in MLB and have Lost 6 in a row.
Odds: CIN -118 (54%) FLA +111 (47%) O/U = 9
Lean: Marlins
=======================================
H. Bailey, starting for Cincinnati Reds, has a FIP of 4.22 (#128 in MLB), xFIP of 4.1 (#117 in MLB), and tERA of 4.56 (#135 in MLB), with a BABIP of .288, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.21. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.59, with a WHIP of 1.3, and opponent BA of .262. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 42% for a 0.95 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
J. Vazquez, starting for Florida Marlins, has a FIP of 4.17 (#123 in MLB), xFIP of 4.21 (#138 in MLB), and tERA of 4.55 (#134 in MLB), with a BABIP of .296, LOB% of 65%, and E-F of 0.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.48, with a WHIP of 1.36, and opponent BA of .262. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 32%, FB%: 47% for a 0.69 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Cincinnati Reds have the #16 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #4 in fielding. They have a road record of 29-35 (45%), ranked #19 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Florida Marlins have the #9 bullpen, #19 offense, and are rated #18 in fielding. They have a home record of 24-40 (38%), ranked #29 in MLB and have Lost 6 in a row.
Odds: CIN -107 (52%) FLA +101 (50%) O/U = 8
Lean: none
=======================================
Cincinnati Reds 63-65 (49%) @ Florida Marlins 57-71 (45%)
B. Arroyo, starting for Cincinnati Reds, has a FIP of 5.57 (#214 in MLB), xFIP of 4.34 (#149 in MLB), and tERA of 5.93 (#207 in MLB), with a BABIP of .286, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of -0.29. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.28, with a WHIP of 1.4, and opponent BA of .284. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 41% for a 1.01 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 16%.
C. Volstad, starting for Florida Marlins, has a FIP of 4.68 (#171 in MLB), xFIP of 3.7 (#66 in MLB), and tERA of 5.37 (#184 in MLB), with a BABIP of .319, LOB% of 66%, and E-F of 0.92. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.25, with a WHIP of 1.51, and opponent BA of .293. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 51%, FB%: 28% for a 1.81 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 17%.
Cincinnati Reds have the #16 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #4 in fielding. They have a road record of 29-35 (45%), ranked #19 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Florida Marlins have the #9 bullpen, #19 offense, and are rated #18 in fielding. They have a home record of 24-40 (38%), ranked #29 in MLB and have Lost 6 in a row.
Odds: CIN -118 (54%) FLA +111 (47%) O/U = 9
Lean: Marlins
=======================================
How do you get your stats so quickly? Do you use a personal database? Or is it simple like a spreadsheet?
Posted:
#83
Quote Originally Posted by DENISS08:
only 55% for +16.27 Units?
only 55% for +16.27 Units?
So over almost 300 bets (all flat at 1 unit) he hits at 55%, shows a profit, and does so with with an avg juice of -112 (correct me if I am wrong Bodio, but thats my math on the losing bets at least) ......in MLB
Not sure what you are scratching your head at. Solid capper, very disciplined, and his unit size is large from what I hear...I guess if you don't like money this might perplex you.
Continue your great work and contributions to the forum Bodio. GL.
Posted:
#85
QUOTE Originally Posted by DENISS08:
only 55% for +16.27 Units?
He is up $16000 in baseball, can you say the same ?
He has also been hot as of late so he has helped a lot of people recently. Like to see you do the same dumbass.
Great work Bodio and your hard work in these forums is much appreciated.
Posted:
#86
Always funny to see the hatred post some dumb comments...ANYONE following covers knows that Bodio is a machine....always providing helpful info and by far the best capper here (no offense to anyone else but Bodio consistently shares his data with all)...Keep up the great work and being humble...a hard combo to find
Posted:
#90
Quote Originally Posted by kRaZeEpLaYa:
Always funny to see the hatred post some dumb comments...ANYONE following covers knows that Bodio is a machine....always providing helpful info and by far the best capper here (no offense to anyone else but Bodio consistently shares his data with all)...Keep up the great work and being humble...a hard combo to find
Always funny to see the hatred post some dumb comments...ANYONE following covers knows that Bodio is a machine....always providing helpful info and by far the best capper here (no offense to anyone else but Bodio consistently shares his data with all)...Keep up the great work and being humble...a hard combo to find
bodio also responds to the number questions from peeps about games that he doesn't even have leans on! so, it's clear the man is here to help others beat the books!! 
Posted:
#97
Quote Originally Posted by TrustMyG:
wassup bodio wanted to see what u have to say about this play ... Kc Bj's under? hoch held them down the last time they played the bj's and i believe jays is a pitchers park if im not mistaken
wassup bodio wanted to see what u have to say about this play ... Kc Bj's under? hoch held them down the last time they played the bj's and i believe jays is a pitchers park if im not mistaken
tryin to parlay LAA,NYY,SF and maybe that under
I have that KC/Jays game at 9.3 total runs. I wouldn't play the under there.
Parlay NYY + SF 
Posted:
#100
#2: Parlay:
New York Yankees ML / San Francisco Giants ML +115
Let me start out first by saying that I'm 0-4 this year betting these kinds of parlays. Regression to 50% is in my favor right? hehe... All kidding aside, if not for these 4 parlay plays, we'd be up 4 more units on the season or 25% more profitable than we are now. But then again, if a couple of them go our way, then the profits would be even higher. With that being said, I love this parlay tonight and fully expect my 'parlay' record to go to 1-4 this year.
Yankees own the A's winning 21 of the last 26 games between the 2 teams. The 'Bombers' don't lose twice in a row that often and I expect them to be very successful against Cahill who is 0-4 with a 13.5 ERA against them.
Stauffer has given up 9 HR"s in the past 3 games and even though he's a decent pitcher, this is the most innings he's pitched in his career, more than in the past 2 seasons combined. I"d say he's slowing down a bit. Giants got tons of lefties in their lineup and Stauffer has a career xFIP of 4.26 against left-handers. With Timmy on the mound, I see a comfortable Giants win.
Good luck fellas!
New York Yankees ML / San Francisco Giants ML +115
Let me start out first by saying that I'm 0-4 this year betting these kinds of parlays. Regression to 50% is in my favor right? hehe... All kidding aside, if not for these 4 parlay plays, we'd be up 4 more units on the season or 25% more profitable than we are now. But then again, if a couple of them go our way, then the profits would be even higher. With that being said, I love this parlay tonight and fully expect my 'parlay' record to go to 1-4 this year.
Yankees own the A's winning 21 of the last 26 games between the 2 teams. The 'Bombers' don't lose twice in a row that often and I expect them to be very successful against Cahill who is 0-4 with a 13.5 ERA against them.
Stauffer has given up 9 HR"s in the past 3 games and even though he's a decent pitcher, this is the most innings he's pitched in his career, more than in the past 2 seasons combined. I"d say he's slowing down a bit. Giants got tons of lefties in their lineup and Stauffer has a career xFIP of 4.26 against left-handers. With Timmy on the mound, I see a comfortable Giants win.
Good luck fellas!
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