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Bodio's MLB Mon 04/25

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Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by joshfactor:

 
Hello bodio. can trouble you to clarify the acronyms or point out where i can find out what they are. Need a better understanding of the rocket science. thanks.

 
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Posted: #27
 
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Posted: #28

What's your take on the Phils tonight with Lee on the hill in AZ? Surprised me @ -140 (opened at -160, dropped to -139 and currently at -140 at my book). I know the Phils bats are a little cold and the Dbacks aren't bad at home. Your thoughts?

 tonight

 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by LawDog:

What's your take on the Phils tonight with Lee on the hill in AZ? Surprised me @ -140 (opened at -160, dropped to -139 and currently at -140 at my book). I know the Phils bats are a little cold and the Dbacks aren't bad at home. Your thoughts?

 tonight


Yeah I looked at that one closely, but I just can't back Lee right now.  He was very LUCKY last game, as he got hit hard and didn't strike anyone out really (had 1 K).  Kennedy is a decent pitcher and his stats indicate that he's in line for a POSITIVE regression.  It's a pass for me
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by LawDog:

What's your take on the Phils tonight with Lee on the hill in AZ? Surprised me @ -140 (opened at -160, dropped to -139 and currently at -140 at my book). I know the Phils bats are a little cold and the Dbacks aren't bad at home. Your thoughts?

 tonight



Lee's Career vs. ARI WHIP of 0.93 sold me on it at -139  I'm not a fan of anything over -135 or teams that just swept someone in there next games but Lee has only given up 2 runs in his last two outings and only threw 96 pitches his last outing so his arm should be solid to boot.Even if the PHI bats stay at the same level I think this one will be win number 3 for Lee.

BOL if you pick it up tonight LawDog.
Cheers,
T2B

 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by bodio:


Yeah I looked at that one closely, but I just can't back Lee right now.  He was very LUCKY last game, as he got hit hard and didn't strike anyone out really (had 1 K).  Kennedy is a decent pitcher and his stats indicate that he's in line for a POSITIVE regression.  It's a pass for me


It was hard for me to pull the trigger on this because of his last outing was shaky for sure but I think Lee looks better tonight.
 
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Posted: #32
BOL Bodio!
 
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Posted: #33
Outstanding analysis Bodio.  Your analysis is an everyday must for me.  Good luck fine sir.


 
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Posted: #34
Good Luck
 
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Posted: #36
Nice picks for today - - - bring it home boy!!!!
 
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Posted: #37
love em!!   
 
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Posted: #39

be careful with that rangers/jays over tonight.  Park isn't nearly as good for right-handed batters and both teams are predominantly starting rightys tonight against 2 right-handed pitchers.

Jays lineup is comical tonight.  I got them at 0.88 off multiplier tonight and the rangers keep sitting napoli inexplicably.  I got them just at 1.01 for first 6 IP vs the righty.  I know the pitchers haven't been pitching well, I got them down for 4.50 era or so and my model has the total at 8.74.

 
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Posted: #40
GL.net bodio 
 
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Posted: #42
Good luck Bodie, like both picks
 
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Posted: #43
Bodio, total dropping hard with news of heavy wind and tornadoes...still a play?
 
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Posted: #44
Bailout special with a solo shot in the bottom of the 9th
 
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Posted: #45
cubs game was capped correctly , 2 errors resulted in 4 runs.
 
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Posted: #46
Bodio get on my level bra..
 
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Posted: #48
1-1 today...Cubs game kind of sucked.  3 errors by Castro and 1 by Garza led to 4 UNearned runs...

Back at it tomorrow fellas
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