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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    Bob's MLB Thursday *** 4.16.15 ***

    «First Previous 123 Next Last»
    BirdsOnBat
    icegun98
    KingScorpio
    JVH1818
    iConsciousness
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 7881
    Posts: 64
    «First Previous 123 Next Last»
     
    BirdsOnBat
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2015 - 1:38 PM ET #26

    Quote Originally Posted by icegun98:

    7.5 n 7? Those ate some generous lines. I can only find 6.5 for both games.


    Phillies/Nationals Under 7.5 (-185) & Diamondbacks/Giants Under 7 (-154)

    How are those generous lines? I paid 75pts for the extra run in the Phi/Wash game and 39pts for the 1/2 run in the Ari/SF game.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by icegun98:

    7.5 n 7? Those ate some generous lines. I can only find 6.5 for both games.


    Phillies/Nationals Under 7.5 (-185) & Diamondbacks/Giants Under 7 (-154)

    How are those generous lines? I paid 75pts for the extra run in the Phi/Wash game and 39pts for the 1/2 run in the Ari/SF game.
     
    icegun98
    icegun98
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2015 - 3:58 PM ET #27

    What book let's you buy points in base. I need to get out of these mom n pop shops
    Reply
    What book let's you buy points in base. I need to get out of these mom n pop shops
     
    KingScorpio
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2015 - 4:02 PM ET #28

    Losers desperate for any win start laying big juice in their sad attempt to mask their shortcomings.
    There is no 100% cappers in the world
    Reply
    Losers desperate for any win start laying big juice in their sad attempt to mask their shortcomings.
     
    BirdsOnBat
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2015 - 5:32 PM ET #29

    Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

    Losers desperate for any win start laying big juice in their sad attempt to mask their shortcomings.


    ? who was this directed at?

    I played one small parlay sized at 0.50% of my bankroll. I bought the runs as part of the parlay bc that move from 6.5 to 7 is quite valuable in MLB.

    The lines on my other 4 wagers (amounting to 4% of bankroll) were -113, +138, -110, and +120.

    Count me in as confused by this comment.

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

    Losers desperate for any win start laying big juice in their sad attempt to mask their shortcomings.


    ? who was this directed at?

    I played one small parlay sized at 0.50% of my bankroll. I bought the runs as part of the parlay bc that move from 6.5 to 7 is quite valuable in MLB.

    The lines on my other 4 wagers (amounting to 4% of bankroll) were -113, +138, -110, and +120.

    Count me in as confused by this comment.

     
    JVH1818
    JVH1818
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2015 - 5:57 PM ET #30

    Quote Originally Posted by BirdsOnBat:



    ? who was this directed at?

    I played one small parlay sized at 0.50% of my bankroll. I bought the runs as part of the parlay bc that move from 6.5 to 7 is quite valuable in MLB.

    The lines on my other 4 wagers (amounting to 4% of bankroll) were -113, +138, -110, and +120.

    Count me in as confused by this comment.


    I do not even know why you comment on this.. it is your money so do what you want with it. Secondly, you share your picks here with others for free, and as long as I can remember you have not put a gun to my head, forcing me to play...

    Keep up the good work BoB, we have a very long season ahead of us.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by BirdsOnBat:



    ? who was this directed at?

    I played one small parlay sized at 0.50% of my bankroll. I bought the runs as part of the parlay bc that move from 6.5 to 7 is quite valuable in MLB.

    The lines on my other 4 wagers (amounting to 4% of bankroll) were -113, +138, -110, and +120.

    Count me in as confused by this comment.


    I do not even know why you comment on this.. it is your money so do what you want with it. Secondly, you share your picks here with others for free, and as long as I can remember you have not put a gun to my head, forcing me to play...

    Keep up the good work BoB, we have a very long season ahead of us.
     
    iConsciousness
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2015 - 6:07 PM ET #31

    Quote Originally Posted by JVH1818:


    I do not even know why you comment on this.. it is your money so do what you want with it. Secondly, you share your picks here with others for free, and as long as I can remember you have not put a gun to my head, forcing me to play...

    Keep up the good work BoB, we have a very long season ahead of us.

    Co-sign.  Keep up the good work, BoB.  Most of us here, if not almost all, appreciate the time and effort you put into your postings!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by JVH1818:


    I do not even know why you comment on this.. it is your money so do what you want with it. Secondly, you share your picks here with others for free, and as long as I can remember you have not put a gun to my head, forcing me to play...

    Keep up the good work BoB, we have a very long season ahead of us.

    Co-sign.  Keep up the good work, BoB.  Most of us here, if not almost all, appreciate the time and effort you put into your postings!
     
    Julespussy
    Julespussy
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2015 - 6:09 PM ET #32

    Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

    Losers desperate for any win start laying big juice in their sad attempt to mask their shortcomings.

    You must be so proud of your contribution to life......
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

    Losers desperate for any win start laying big juice in their sad attempt to mask their shortcomings.

    You must be so proud of your contribution to life......
     
    jp85
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2015 - 7:51 PM ET #33

    Scorpio seems to go on others thread and talks shi t about their picks, I think he's trying to mask his shortcomings.
    Reply
    Scorpio seems to go on others thread and talks shi t about their picks, I think he's trying to mask his shortcomings.
     
    brambles75
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2015 - 8:20 PM ET #34

    1-3.....ouch
    Reply
    1-3.....ouch
     
    BirdsOnBat
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2015 - 8:21 PM ET #35

    man - tough break on the Phillies F5 play. Ugh. Thought that would hit when the phillies took the lead in the 4th. Boo
    Reply
    man - tough break on the Phillies F5 play. Ugh. Thought that would hit when the phillies took the lead in the 4th. Boo
     
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2015 - 8:30 PM ET #36

    There is an anti-dote for King Scorpio (like there is for scorpions), ignore him. He does the same thing in all the winners threads just begging for attention. I have asked all my people to ignore all bashers and miscreants. Don't post even to chew them out. Given a little time, most of them stop coming back, due to the lack of attention they crave. Give it a try.

    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
    Reply
    There is an anti-dote for King Scorpio (like there is for scorpions), ignore him. He does the same thing in all the winners threads just begging for attention. I have asked all my people to ignore all bashers and miscreants. Don't post even to chew them out. Given a little time, most of them stop coming back, due to the lack of attention they crave. Give it a try.

     
    BirdsOnBat
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2015 - 8:35 PM ET #37

    Quote Originally Posted by brambles75:

    1-3.....ouch

    I just wasted time tying out a long response to this… covers erased it when I tried to post.

    Long story short, 1-3 isn't an unlikely outcome when your weighted-average line is +110 if the true odds were actually reflective of the line. If the lines were, in fact, correct then you'd hit less than 50% of the time. WIth a sample size of 4, you do the math. 

    Day to day outcomes are generally meaningless over the course of the season if you're not a moron with scaling your bets in a consistent manner. I am no stranger to having prolonged periods of losing money or making money. Both happen if you put risk on every day in several games. 

    Just like if you flipped a coin 10 times every day. Sometimes you'd get 7 heads and sometimes you'd get 7 tails. Neither is sustainable when taken collectively over a long period of time (e.g., 6 months of baseball). 

    I am most concerned about studying my results, determining both where I have failed and succeeded, and whether I need to adjust my approach. I liked my picks and nothing that happened today changed my mind on that.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by brambles75:

    1-3.....ouch

    I just wasted time tying out a long response to this… covers erased it when I tried to post.

    Long story short, 1-3 isn't an unlikely outcome when your weighted-average line is +110 if the true odds were actually reflective of the line. If the lines were, in fact, correct then you'd hit less than 50% of the time. WIth a sample size of 4, you do the math. 

    Day to day outcomes are generally meaningless over the course of the season if you're not a moron with scaling your bets in a consistent manner. I am no stranger to having prolonged periods of losing money or making money. Both happen if you put risk on every day in several games. 

    Just like if you flipped a coin 10 times every day. Sometimes you'd get 7 heads and sometimes you'd get 7 tails. Neither is sustainable when taken collectively over a long period of time (e.g., 6 months of baseball). 

    I am most concerned about studying my results, determining both where I have failed and succeeded, and whether I need to adjust my approach. I liked my picks and nothing that happened today changed my mind on that.
     
    BirdsOnBat
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2015 - 8:37 PM ET #38

    Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

    There is an anti-dote for King Scorpio (like there is for scorpions), ignore him. He does the same thing in all the winners threads just begging for attention. I have asked all my people to ignore all bashers and miscreants. Don't post even to chew them out. Given a little time, most of them stop coming back, due to the lack of attention they crave. Give it a try.


    probably a wise idea. Sometimes I make the mistake of assuming that everyone is sane and you can reason with them. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

    There is an anti-dote for King Scorpio (like there is for scorpions), ignore him. He does the same thing in all the winners threads just begging for attention. I have asked all my people to ignore all bashers and miscreants. Don't post even to chew them out. Given a little time, most of them stop coming back, due to the lack of attention they crave. Give it a try.


    probably a wise idea. Sometimes I make the mistake of assuming that everyone is sane and you can reason with them. 
     
    WISEGUY36
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2015 - 8:43 PM ET #39

    Quote Originally Posted by BirdsOnBat:


    probably a wise idea. Sometimes I make the mistake of assuming that everyone is sane and you can reason with them. 




    BoB, That's not necessarily the case on this forum.
    don't lose your focus Bud. keep plugging.

    Best of Luck , Bud         
    Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by BirdsOnBat:


    probably a wise idea. Sometimes I make the mistake of assuming that everyone is sane and you can reason with them. 




    BoB, That's not necessarily the case on this forum.
    don't lose your focus Bud. keep plugging.

    Best of Luck , Bud         
     
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2015 - 8:43 PM ET #40

    Quote Originally Posted by BirdsOnBat:


    probably a wise idea. Sometimes I make the mistake of assuming that everyone is sane and you can reason with them. 
    On the Covers MLB Forum? C'mon you're pulling my leg, right?
     
    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by BirdsOnBat:


    probably a wise idea. Sometimes I make the mistake of assuming that everyone is sane and you can reason with them. 
    On the Covers MLB Forum? C'mon you're pulling my leg, right?
     
     
    BirdsOnBat
    BirdsOnBat
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2015 - 9:00 PM ET #41

    Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

    On the Covers MLB Forum? C'mon you're pulling my leg, right?
     

    I don't really believe that most people here are sane. There's way too much evidence to suggest otherwise.

    But I do fall into the trap of responding to - what I feel is - stupidity far more often than I should. I am probably a good trolling target haha.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

    On the Covers MLB Forum? C'mon you're pulling my leg, right?
     

    I don't really believe that most people here are sane. There's way too much evidence to suggest otherwise.

    But I do fall into the trap of responding to - what I feel is - stupidity far more often than I should. I am probably a good trolling target haha.
     
    BirdsOnBat
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2015 - 9:03 PM ET #42

    Quote Originally Posted by icegun98:

    What book let's you buy points in base. I need to get out of these mom n pop shops

    you can buy points on several books. 5dimes is one reputable online book that you can do this on.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by icegun98:

    What book let's you buy points in base. I need to get out of these mom n pop shops

    you can buy points on several books. 5dimes is one reputable online book that you can do this on.
     
    jp85
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2015 - 9:56 PM ET #43

    Quote Originally Posted by BirdsOnBat:

    man - tough break on the Phillies F5 play. Ugh. Thought that would hit when the phillies took the lead in the 4th. Boo


    That ump was giving Harper balls when it shoulda been strikes, the Nationals T.V announcers were joking they are bff's.. that walk and run for Harper in the 4th really screwed us in the f5.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by BirdsOnBat:

    man - tough break on the Phillies F5 play. Ugh. Thought that would hit when the phillies took the lead in the 4th. Boo


    That ump was giving Harper balls when it shoulda been strikes, the Nationals T.V announcers were joking they are bff's.. that walk and run for Harper in the 4th really screwed us in the f5.
     
    LittleMacc79
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2015 - 10:54 PM ET #44

    Keep it up Bob, don't pay attention to all these morons. I respect the hell out of ya and appreciate all you do here... Thanks 
    Reply
    Keep it up Bob, don't pay attention to all these morons. I respect the hell out of ya and appreciate all you do here... Thanks 
     
    Chino2014VEN
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2015 - 11:25 PM ET #45

    BOUNCE BACK TMW!!!!
    Reply
    BOUNCE BACK TMW!!!!
     
    BirdsOnBat
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2015 - 11:43 PM ET #46

    locked in for tomorrow:

    Cincinnati Reds (J. Cueto) FG, +126 --- Risk 0.75% of Bankroll
    *Splitting up between F5 and FG. If F5 isn't at plus-money, then I will put another 0.75% on the full game ML and average the lines.

    Los Angeles Angels (Weaver) FG, -116 --- Risk 1.00% of Bankroll

    leans:

    Padres (Shields), +100 --- might prefer F5 here (or under depending on total)
    Red Sox (Kelly) -128

    Reds/Cardinals Under 6.5 (-115)
    A's/Royals Under 7.5 (-115)
    Reply
    locked in for tomorrow:

    Cincinnati Reds (J. Cueto) FG, +126 --- Risk 0.75% of Bankroll
    *Splitting up between F5 and FG. If F5 isn't at plus-money, then I will put another 0.75% on the full game ML and average the lines.

    Los Angeles Angels (Weaver) FG, -116 --- Risk 1.00% of Bankroll

    leans:

    Padres (Shields), +100 --- might prefer F5 here (or under depending on total)
    Red Sox (Kelly) -128

    Reds/Cardinals Under 6.5 (-115)
    A's/Royals Under 7.5 (-115)
     
    KG10
    KG10
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2013
    Posts: 1956
    Posted: Apr. 17, 2015 - 12:02 AM ET #47

    tough day for you and me both BoB
    I went 1-3 as well, with the only win coming from TB

    lets get em tomrw 

    BOL
    Reply
    tough day for you and me both BoB
    I went 1-3 as well, with the only win coming from TB

    lets get em tomrw 

    BOL
     
    nick526
    nick526
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2010
    Posts: 66
    Posted: Apr. 17, 2015 - 12:54 AM ET #48

    Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

    Losers desperate for any win start laying big juice in their sad attempt to mask their shortcomings.


    I don't get it..... He must be in the wrong thread.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

    Losers desperate for any win start laying big juice in their sad attempt to mask their shortcomings.


    I don't get it..... He must be in the wrong thread.
     
    GraysAlmanac
    GraysAlmanac
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2014
    Posts: 378
    Posted: Apr. 17, 2015 - 1:33 AM ET #49

    A quick look at his recent posts shows KingScorpio does nothing but go into the top viewed threads and insult the OP. He clearly doesn't read anything but the last post, or he'd know how stupid he looks calling a guy with a solid documented record 'desperate'.

    Member since 2006 and it's all pseudo-nonsense about Vegas, public, and insulting people.

    He's not worth any more of anyone's time.

    Reply
    A quick look at his recent posts shows KingScorpio does nothing but go into the top viewed threads and insult the OP. He clearly doesn't read anything but the last post, or he'd know how stupid he looks calling a guy with a solid documented record 'desperate'.

    Member since 2006 and it's all pseudo-nonsense about Vegas, public, and insulting people.

    He's not worth any more of anyone's time.

     
     
    GraysAlmanac
    GraysAlmanac
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2014
    Posts: 378
    Posted: Apr. 17, 2015 - 1:50 AM ET #50

    Quote Originally Posted by brambles75:

    1-3.....ouch

    That's like a poker player giving a crap about the outcome of one single hand. 

    The only people who care about individual results are trolls and undisciplined bettors. For the rest of us, the season itself is one whole game.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by brambles75:

    1-3.....ouch

    That's like a poker player giving a crap about the outcome of one single hand. 

    The only people who care about individual results are trolls and undisciplined bettors. For the rest of us, the season itself is one whole game.
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