A line that makes no sense

This!

@bluecompass

 The after the fact lecture continues to be a cornerstone of the gambling community. 

SET AT 20 TODAY

this thread has gotten a little ridiculous. he explained his reasoning and said at first he wasn't even going to play it. hardly from announcing a lock of the year or anything like that. from the sounds of it, it wasn't even a big bet. we must all have never lost a bet in here. guys announcing they hit a 4k parlay off a 99 dollar bet. get real. get 'em next time, key

Good morning everyone - I hit a decent bet yesterday posting my opinion that yesterday's game would easily go over 15.5.  A few of my gambling friends did the HR prop for many players and hit even though the odds that one would normally see for HR hitters was incredibly low for this game yesterday.

This morning we wake up to 20.5 as the number being set for the total.  

So has the book/Vegas new number the right one.  Yesterday's game ended at 27 i think.  We saw how indeed fly balls were home runs, how deep outfield drives carried to the wall and quickly so one would think this might continue today.

The pitchers: Alex Cobb and Yu Darvish - i think these two are a bit better than yesterday's because these two have more movement on their balls. Yesterday's pitchers were really misguided in trying to throw fast balls by the hitters.  It didn't work but both Musgrove and Manaeea yesterday do that.  I think Cobb and Darvish throw more of a mix and we might see them perform better today.

Having said that I think 20.5 is a more realistic number than yesterday's 15.5.

I am uncertain what to do at the moment.  Willing to listen to comments.

Good luck gringos and hombres

Good morning everyone - I hit a decent bet yesterday posting my opinion that yesterday's game would easily go over 15.5.  A few of my gambling friends did the HR prop for many players and hit even though the odds that one would normally see for HR hitters was incredibly low for this game yesterday.

This morning we wake up to 20.5 as the number being set for the total.  

So has the book/Vegas new number the right one.  Yesterday's game ended at 27 i think.  We saw how indeed fly balls were home runs, how deep outfield drives carried to the wall and quickly so one would think this might continue today.

The pitchers: Alex Cobb and Yu Darvish - i think these two are a bit better than yesterday's because these two have more movement on their balls. Yesterday's pitchers were really misguided in trying to throw fast balls by the hitters.  It didn't work but both Musgrove and Manaeea yesterday do that.  I think Cobb and Darvish throw more of a mix and we might see them perform better today.

Having said that I think 20.5 is a more realistic number than yesterday's 15.5.

I am uncertain what to do at the moment.  Willing to listen to comments.

Good luck gringos and hombres

@OlDirtyBaztid

This forum used to be solid . Its tough coming over here or better yet posting plays anymore . The forum is over run  Get em next time Key is right 

In my view, the original post was somewhat ridiculous.  He didn't spend any time capping the game before making a "substantial play" - otherwise he would've known why the totals line was set so high.  His only original reasoning for making a "substantial play" was that he thought his book got the line wrong.  In fact, he was doubtful they were even going to pay out any of the bets because he was so sure they got it wrong.  Then, he said "If they keep it up there and have to pay on the over, I am done with gambling. There is no explanation for that line."  Obviously there was a logical and rational explanation for the line.  Then, when he got called out a little bit for clearly not doing his due diligence, he tried to come up with reasons to justify his "substantial play".

The correct response to any play/thread Mr Key makes is “thanks for sharing sir” assholes. Win or lose

@CravinMorehead

 Agreed it was a ridiculous  post From a big time baller.Take your asshole worship somewhere else.

@OlDirtyBaztid, @trainwreck66, @CravinMorehead

Thanx,  

@OneWayOut

 Another idiot fanboy to the rescue.Sixty years old been on here since 2007.I gave him a gentle nudge over some ridiculous statement and he doubled down.I remember when guys on here would take a gentle ball busting and say my bad.He of all people to me seems like he likes to lecture and come off as an expert.Then his little fanboys come to the rescue.So sensitive nowadays.Is their a safe space in this forum.

@bonfire69

60 years old and still unable to spell…And you have the balls to call someone an idiot? 

@OneWayOut

 I got the best 6th grade education money can buy.Go to your safe space fan boy before your feelings get hurt.