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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    5-8 Team Parlay - System

    «First Previous 8910 ... 111213 Next Last»
    Guaji
    popeyoss
    cardifkill
    3wizard9
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 31681
    Posts: 320
    «First Previous 8910 ... 111213 Next Last»
     
    Guaji
    Guaji
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    Joined: Mar, 2012
    Posts: 1220
    Posted: Jun. 28, 2012 - 10:42 PM ET #176

    I like always to study the mind of VEGAS, and when I bet, I really don't follow what must of you follow. I just follow the way Vegas think and might happen. I always follow "VEGAS NEVER LOOSE" yes that's right, every year they earn billions of billions of dollar, if they loose they will not be in this business.

    Yesterday in a thread I made a thread warning bettors about that today the most winning teams will be those that the public are against:

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=101373488


    At the moment is happening... Let's see my LEANS;

    Quote Originally Posted by Guaji:

    Lean: (Not Official bets)

    - Under Nationals: Vegas knows that the public will go on the over like hell, so why open it with 11 instead of 12 like NY Mets? If it goes to 12 I think i will change my mind. It went from 11 to 11.5 so it was an over.

    - Arizona ML: Arizona is not a bad team and I don't think Atlanta will win all the games against them.

    - NY Mets: Again NY Mets will start their steak winning.

    - Chicago White Sox: I think that this game will make a lot of people loose their money, just a thought. This one won as expected, so it might texas won. Many people lost money here.

    - OAK/Texas Over: Love the over here! It opened on 10.5 let's see how the line will move. It will go 12? I will bet big time! Pending..

    - Oakland, another surprise for the public. Pending...

    At the moment those are my thoughts, may be I will not bet those may be yes, all depends on our cappers. But what I will make is a parlay of my leans.





    So, you might ask, why you don't bet about it. Well, all the games that I bet and parlays I don't write it here. Not because I don't want. Just because I don't have the time I manage a store from 9 am to 8 pm so I don't have a lot of time to be here in the forum.

    Yesterday after the lost of Boca, I went in the day 1.4 units positive because had many other bets. Today, I am +5 units at the moment. But still my bankroll is not that much to bet and make some new experiments.
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    I like always to study the mind of VEGAS, and when I bet, I really don't follow what must of you follow. I just follow the way Vegas think and might happen. I always follow "VEGAS NEVER LOOSE" yes that's right, every year they earn billions of billions of dollar, if they loose they will not be in this business.

    Yesterday in a thread I made a thread warning bettors about that today the most winning teams will be those that the public are against:

    https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=101373488


    At the moment is happening... Let's see my LEANS;

    Quote Originally Posted by Guaji:

    Lean: (Not Official bets)

    - Under Nationals: Vegas knows that the public will go on the over like hell, so why open it with 11 instead of 12 like NY Mets? If it goes to 12 I think i will change my mind. It went from 11 to 11.5 so it was an over.

    - Arizona ML: Arizona is not a bad team and I don't think Atlanta will win all the games against them.

    - NY Mets: Again NY Mets will start their steak winning.

    - Chicago White Sox: I think that this game will make a lot of people loose their money, just a thought. This one won as expected, so it might texas won. Many people lost money here.

    - OAK/Texas Over: Love the over here! It opened on 10.5 let's see how the line will move. It will go 12? I will bet big time! Pending..

    - Oakland, another surprise for the public. Pending...

    At the moment those are my thoughts, may be I will not bet those may be yes, all depends on our cappers. But what I will make is a parlay of my leans.





    So, you might ask, why you don't bet about it. Well, all the games that I bet and parlays I don't write it here. Not because I don't want. Just because I don't have the time I manage a store from 9 am to 8 pm so I don't have a lot of time to be here in the forum.

    Yesterday after the lost of Boca, I went in the day 1.4 units positive because had many other bets. Today, I am +5 units at the moment. But still my bankroll is not that much to bet and make some new experiments.
     
    Guaji
    Guaji
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    Posts: 1220
    Posted: Jun. 28, 2012 - 11:22 PM ET #177

    Parlay 3:

    - Pittsburg ML
    - Nationals Over 11.5
    - Arizona
    - SD padres ML

    Risk 0.1 to win 1.3


    Total:

    Parlays: 6 - 25 ( 7.28 units) "FINALLY!"
    Single Bets: 18 - 25 - 2 ( -25.49 )
    The Over System: 3-1 (+3.0) (This is counted already in the single bets, but just to document the over system that I am testing).
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    Parlay 3:

    - Pittsburg ML
    - Nationals Over 11.5
    - Arizona
    - SD padres ML

    Risk 0.1 to win 1.3


    Total:

    Parlays: 6 - 25 ( 7.28 units) "FINALLY!"
    Single Bets: 18 - 25 - 2 ( -25.49 )
    The Over System: 3-1 (+3.0) (This is counted already in the single bets, but just to document the over system that I am testing).
     
    popeyoss
    popeyoss
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    Posts: 2619
    Posted: Jun. 29, 2012 - 12:38 AM ET #178

    ^^ OUTSTANDING 


    unfortunately, I picked poorly tonight


    Bet Type: Parlay (2 team)
    Bet Status: Pending
    Risk/To Win Amount: 1,000.00 / 3,202.10 (CAD)
    Date Accepted: 28-June-2012
    Time Accepted: 7:07:28 PM (Pacific)
     
    1
    Bet Type: Moneyline
    Outcome Pending
    Sport/Period: MLB Baseball / Game
    Teams: Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants
    Game Date 28-June-2012
    Bet Line: Cincinnati Reds +107
    Pitchers: J. Cueto - must start vs M. Bumgarner - must start
     
    2
    Bet Type: Moneyline
    Outcome Pending
    Sport/Period: MLB Baseball / Game
    Teams: Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners
    Game Date 28-June-2012
    Bet Line: Boston Red Sox +103
    Pitchers: F. Morales - must start vs F. Hernandez - must start
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    ^^ OUTSTANDING 


    unfortunately, I picked poorly tonight


    Bet Type: Parlay (2 team)
    Bet Status: Pending
    Risk/To Win Amount: 1,000.00 / 3,202.10 (CAD)
    Date Accepted: 28-June-2012
    Time Accepted: 7:07:28 PM (Pacific)
     
    1
    Bet Type: Moneyline
    Outcome Pending
    Sport/Period: MLB Baseball / Game
    Teams: Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants
    Game Date 28-June-2012
    Bet Line: Cincinnati Reds +107
    Pitchers: J. Cueto - must start vs M. Bumgarner - must start
     
    2
    Bet Type: Moneyline
    Outcome Pending
    Sport/Period: MLB Baseball / Game
    Teams: Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners
    Game Date 28-June-2012
    Bet Line: Boston Red Sox +103
    Pitchers: F. Morales - must start vs F. Hernandez - must start
     
    Guaji
    Guaji
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    Posts: 1220
    Posted: Jun. 29, 2012 - 1:00 AM ET #179

    And the final parlay and winner!

    Parlay #2
    : 

    1. NY Mets ML
    2. SF Giants ML
    3. Chicago White Sox ML
    4. Detroit Tigers ML

    Risk 0.2 to win 4.7 units.


    Total:

    Parlays: 7 - 25 ( 11.98 units)
    Single Bets: 18 - 25 - 2 ( -25.49 )
    The Over System: 3-1 (+3.0) (This is counted already in the single bets, but just to document the over system that I am testing).
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    And the final parlay and winner!

    Parlay #2
    : 

    1. NY Mets ML
    2. SF Giants ML
    3. Chicago White Sox ML
    4. Detroit Tigers ML

    Risk 0.2 to win 4.7 units.


    Total:

    Parlays: 7 - 25 ( 11.98 units)
    Single Bets: 18 - 25 - 2 ( -25.49 )
    The Over System: 3-1 (+3.0) (This is counted already in the single bets, but just to document the over system that I am testing).
     
    Guaji
    Guaji
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    Posts: 1220
    Posted: Jun. 29, 2012 - 1:03 AM ET #180

    29-06-2012


    Parlay 1: "The Pitcher Dream"
    1. Miami ML

    2. NY Mets ML
    3. SF Giants ML
    4. Detroit ML

    Risk 1 unit to win 8.7
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    29-06-2012


    Parlay 1: "The Pitcher Dream"
    1. Miami ML

    2. NY Mets ML
    3. SF Giants ML
    4. Detroit ML

    Risk 1 unit to win 8.7
     
    cardifkill
    cardifkill
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    Posts: 2583
    Posted: Jun. 29, 2012 - 1:19 AM ET #181

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    Guaji
    Guaji
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    Posts: 1220
    Posted: Jun. 29, 2012 - 1:24 AM ET #182

    Parlay 2: "The Wholy MIXER"

    1. Miami ML
    2. San Diego Padres/Colorado Over 11.5
    3. Dodgers ML
    4. Cin Reds ML
    5. Toronto ML
    6. Baltimore ML
    7. Chicago White Sox
    8. Tampa Bay Rays ML
    9. KC Royals
    10. Boston ML


    Risk 0.1 to win 97 units.
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    Parlay 2: "The Wholy MIXER"

    1. Miami ML
    2. San Diego Padres/Colorado Over 11.5
    3. Dodgers ML
    4. Cin Reds ML
    5. Toronto ML
    6. Baltimore ML
    7. Chicago White Sox
    8. Tampa Bay Rays ML
    9. KC Royals
    10. Boston ML


    Risk 0.1 to win 97 units.
     
    Guaji
    Guaji
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    Joined: Mar, 2012
    Posts: 1220
    Posted: Jun. 29, 2012 - 1:42 AM ET #183

    Well, here are some thoughts of the lines at the moment:


    1. White Sox / Yankees 10.5: Well, as you can see today/yesterday, the yankees vs white sox total was 7 and Vegas released 10.5. That is a strange line. It should be 8. There is two options: tomorrow we will get an over with them or after tomorrow. When lines like this we usually get the over. If it goes 11 or more bet on the over like hell if it goes down and the public is going to the over, bet the under.

    2. Boston/Seattle 8.5: Another strange line, but it looks really like SD/Houston Serie. it really should be on the 6-7 maximum. Why is 8.5? May be to invite bettors to the over? we will see what the public will bet and if it goes higher than 8.5... You know what to do1

    3. Dodgers: Mets has a great pitcher for tomorrow, but remember what happened with the pitcher of Nationals? Strasburg? He was 10-1 if I remember well, and Rockies "Who the hell are rockies to win Nationals"? Well, take care about it! There is one thing that worries me Mets opened at -118 and now is -145

    That's for now, and I think MIAMI will get his winning steak again...
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    Well, here are some thoughts of the lines at the moment:


    1. White Sox / Yankees 10.5: Well, as you can see today/yesterday, the yankees vs white sox total was 7 and Vegas released 10.5. That is a strange line. It should be 8. There is two options: tomorrow we will get an over with them or after tomorrow. When lines like this we usually get the over. If it goes 11 or more bet on the over like hell if it goes down and the public is going to the over, bet the under.

    2. Boston/Seattle 8.5: Another strange line, but it looks really like SD/Houston Serie. it really should be on the 6-7 maximum. Why is 8.5? May be to invite bettors to the over? we will see what the public will bet and if it goes higher than 8.5... You know what to do1

    3. Dodgers: Mets has a great pitcher for tomorrow, but remember what happened with the pitcher of Nationals? Strasburg? He was 10-1 if I remember well, and Rockies "Who the hell are rockies to win Nationals"? Well, take care about it! There is one thing that worries me Mets opened at -118 and now is -145

    That's for now, and I think MIAMI will get his winning steak again...
     
    Guaji
    Guaji
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    Posts: 1220
    Posted: Jun. 29, 2012 - 1:59 AM ET #184

    I don't know Foggy53, but well I will risk one unit in case he really hit it, we have almost +12 units on parlays so the risk can be affordable.

    Parlay #3
    : "From foggy53"

    1. Houston Astros ML
    2. Nationals ML
    3. Toronto ML
    4. Yankees ML
    5. Detroit ML

    Risk 1 unit to win 24 units.
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    I don't know Foggy53, but well I will risk one unit in case he really hit it, we have almost +12 units on parlays so the risk can be affordable.

    Parlay #3
    : "From foggy53"

    1. Houston Astros ML
    2. Nationals ML
    3. Toronto ML
    4. Yankees ML
    5. Detroit ML

    Risk 1 unit to win 24 units.
     
    cardifkill
    cardifkill
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    Posts: 2583
    Posted: Jun. 29, 2012 - 2:34 AM ET #185

    Quote Originally Posted by Guaji:

    Parlay 2: "The Wholy MIXER"

    1. Miami ML
    2. San Diego Padres/Colorado Over 11.5
    3. Dodgers ML
    4. Cin Reds ML
    5. Toronto ML
    6. Baltimore ML
    7. Chicago White Sox
    8. Tampa Bay Rays ML
    9. KC Royals
    10. Boston ML


    Risk 0.1 to win 97 units.


    Why don't you hedge 1/2 a point and make it 11. Not that I recommend the over/under. Get some tomorrow!
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    Quote Originally Posted by Guaji:

    Parlay 2: "The Wholy MIXER"

    1. Miami ML
    2. San Diego Padres/Colorado Over 11.5
    3. Dodgers ML
    4. Cin Reds ML
    5. Toronto ML
    6. Baltimore ML
    7. Chicago White Sox
    8. Tampa Bay Rays ML
    9. KC Royals
    10. Boston ML


    Risk 0.1 to win 97 units.


    Why don't you hedge 1/2 a point and make it 11. Not that I recommend the over/under. Get some tomorrow!
     
    Guaji
    Guaji
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    Posts: 1220
    Posted: Jun. 29, 2012 - 7:55 AM ET #186

    Quote Originally Posted by cardifkill:



    Why don't you hedge 1/2 a point and make it 11. Not that I recommend the over/under. Get some tomorrow!


    The problem with my online sportbook it is not allowing me to hedge points in baseball. But with basket yes... strange no?
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    Quote Originally Posted by cardifkill:



    Why don't you hedge 1/2 a point and make it 11. Not that I recommend the over/under. Get some tomorrow!


    The problem with my online sportbook it is not allowing me to hedge points in baseball. But with basket yes... strange no?
     
    Guaji
    Guaji
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    Posts: 1220
    Posted: Jun. 29, 2012 - 8:52 AM ET #187

    I don't usually use Teaser, but sometimes you find very good things there. When I bet my personal picks, is what I find good value on it or feelings. I don't know a shit about CFL but here is a teaser for one unit:



    TEASER Parlay #4: "The Newbie CFL"

    Hamilton PK
    B.C Lions -0.5

    Risk 1.3 to win 1.
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    I don't usually use Teaser, but sometimes you find very good things there. When I bet my personal picks, is what I find good value on it or feelings. I don't know a shit about CFL but here is a teaser for one unit:



    TEASER Parlay #4: "The Newbie CFL"

    Hamilton PK
    B.C Lions -0.5

    Risk 1.3 to win 1.
     
    Guaji
    Guaji
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2012 - 10:23 AM ET #188

    Single Bets


    1. Astros/Cubs Over 8.5 (The Over System) Risk 2 units to win 2 units. I bet 2 units because from now on, I decided to higher the minimum bet of my system. It has been 4 days consecutive that my system hits, yesterday was a push but it counts as an over because it opened on 8.5 instead of 9 that I bet. If today hits, the over system will be an under.

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    Single Bets


    1. Astros/Cubs Over 8.5 (The Over System) Risk 2 units to win 2 units. I bet 2 units because from now on, I decided to higher the minimum bet of my system. It has been 4 days consecutive that my system hits, yesterday was a push but it counts as an over because it opened on 8.5 instead of 9 that I bet. If today hits, the over system will be an under.

     
    3wizard9
    3wizard9
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2012 - 10:27 AM ET #189

    goodluck guy........... you know Cliff can fuck you tonight though
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    goodluck guy........... you know Cliff can fuck you tonight though
     
    Guaji
    Guaji
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2012 - 2:19 PM ET #190

    Quote Originally Posted by Guaji:

    Single Bets


    1. Astros/Cubs Over 8.5 (The Over System) Risk 2 units to win 2 units. I bet 2 units because from now on, I decided to higher the minimum bet of my system. It has been 4 days consecutive that my system hits, yesterday was a push but it counts as an over because it opened on 8.5 instead of 9 that I bet. If today hits, the over system will be an under.



    Damm it is raining and from experience when it rains and I bet in the over it wins the under.... Let´s hope today will be a different day.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Guaji:

    Single Bets


    1. Astros/Cubs Over 8.5 (The Over System) Risk 2 units to win 2 units. I bet 2 units because from now on, I decided to higher the minimum bet of my system. It has been 4 days consecutive that my system hits, yesterday was a push but it counts as an over because it opened on 8.5 instead of 9 that I bet. If today hits, the over system will be an under.



    Damm it is raining and from experience when it rains and I bet in the over it wins the under.... Let´s hope today will be a different day.
     
    Guaji
    Guaji
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2012 - 2:21 PM ET #191

    Quote Originally Posted by 3wizard9:

    goodluck guy........... you know Cliff can fuck you tonight though


    Yeah I thought that my friend, but I called cliff and gave him few $$$$ to stay cold Anyways, I will see if I bet on Philis single bets or make another parlay with philis and see if it wins... All depends the first game today.
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    Quote Originally Posted by 3wizard9:

    goodluck guy........... you know Cliff can fuck you tonight though


    Yeah I thought that my friend, but I called cliff and gave him few $$$$ to stay cold Anyways, I will see if I bet on Philis single bets or make another parlay with philis and see if it wins... All depends the first game today.
     
    Guaji
    Guaji
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2012 - 2:56 PM ET #192

    Parlay 5:  "Chicken Winner"

    1. Toronto ML
    2. Pits/STL over 9
    3. SF Giants

    Risk 1 unit to win 5.8
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    Parlay 5:  "Chicken Winner"

    1. Toronto ML
    2. Pits/STL over 9
    3. SF Giants

    Risk 1 unit to win 5.8
     
    Guaji
    Guaji
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2012 - 3:12 PM ET #193

    Parlay 6: "Females Are at Home"

     Story: I went to a great home with 57 feet and there was 2 males and 7 females and 2 males... That was awesome, then I went to my online book and picket 2 favorites (males) and 7 non-favorite (females)

    1. SD padres ML
    2. MIl Brewers
    3. Dodgers
    4. SF Giants
    5. Toronto
    6. Baltimore
    7. Whitesox
    8. Tbrays
    9. KC Royals

    Risk 0.1 to Win 57 Units.
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    Parlay 6: "Females Are at Home"

     Story: I went to a great home with 57 feet and there was 2 males and 7 females and 2 males... That was awesome, then I went to my online book and picket 2 favorites (males) and 7 non-favorite (females)

    1. SD padres ML
    2. MIl Brewers
    3. Dodgers
    4. SF Giants
    5. Toronto
    6. Baltimore
    7. Whitesox
    8. Tbrays
    9. KC Royals

    Risk 0.1 to Win 57 Units.
     
    Guaji
    Guaji
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2012 - 3:45 PM ET #194

    Parlay 7: "The crazy fading system"

    1. Pittsburg
    2. Cin Cinnati
    3. Cleveland/Baltimore Under 9.5
    4. Baltimore

    Risk 0.5 to win 11 units.


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    Parlay 7: "The crazy fading system"

    1. Pittsburg
    2. Cin Cinnati
    3. Cleveland/Baltimore Under 9.5
    4. Baltimore

    Risk 0.5 to win 11 units.


     
    Guaji
    Guaji
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2012 - 6:34 PM ET #195

    Parlay 8: "The Covers Heroes"

    1. Baltimore (I love it and Asomugha is with me)
    2. Redsox/Mariners (Our late over system and PapaShango is with us)
    3. Philies/Miami Under (From the poolman11 system)
    4. San Francisco Giants (POD From centralflaguy)


    Risk 1 unit to win 8.7 units

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    Parlay 8: "The Covers Heroes"

    1. Baltimore (I love it and Asomugha is with me)
    2. Redsox/Mariners (Our late over system and PapaShango is with us)
    3. Philies/Miami Under (From the poolman11 system)
    4. San Francisco Giants (POD From centralflaguy)


    Risk 1 unit to win 8.7 units

     
    Guaji
    Guaji
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2012 - 6:36 PM ET #196

    Parlay 9: The Two Teams!

    1. SD padres/Col over 11.5
    2. LAA/Toronto Over 9.5

    Risk 1 to win 2.4


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    Parlay 9: The Two Teams!

    1. SD padres/Col over 11.5
    2. LAA/Toronto Over 9.5

    Risk 1 to win 2.4


     
    Guaji
    Guaji
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2012 - 6:37 PM ET #197

    Parlay 10: The Two Teams II

    1. Nationals/Atlanta over 9
    2. Whitesox/Yankees over 10.5

    Risk 1 unit to win 2.5


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    Parlay 10: The Two Teams II

    1. Nationals/Atlanta over 9
    2. Whitesox/Yankees over 10.5

    Risk 1 unit to win 2.5


     
    Guaji
    Guaji
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    Posted: Jun. 29, 2012 - 6:51 PM ET #198

    Parlay 11: "The Wind"

    1. Philis/Miami Over 7.5 
    2. Nationals/Atlanta under 9
    3. Padres/Rockies over 11.5 
    4. Pitsburg/Cardinals Over 9 
    5. Indians/Orioles Under 9.5 
    6. Whitesox/Yankees over 10.5 
    7. Oak/texas Over 10.5 
    8. KC Royals/Twins Under 9


    Risk 0.1 to win 18 units.
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    Parlay 11: "The Wind"

    1. Philis/Miami Over 7.5 
    2. Nationals/Atlanta under 9
    3. Padres/Rockies over 11.5 
    4. Pitsburg/Cardinals Over 9 
    5. Indians/Orioles Under 9.5 
    6. Whitesox/Yankees over 10.5 
    7. Oak/texas Over 10.5 
    8. KC Royals/Twins Under 9


    Risk 0.1 to win 18 units.
     
    Guaji
    Guaji
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    Posts: 1220
    Posted: Jun. 29, 2012 - 6:59 PM ET #199

    Single Bets:

    2. Miami ML risk 1.1 to win unit
    3. Nationals/atlanta over 9 risk 1 to win 1.05
    4. SD padres/Colorado over 11.5  risk 1.15 to win 1
    5. Pitsburg/STL over risk 3.15 to win 3
    6. Dodgers ML Risk 1 to win 1.3
    7. SF Giants risk 1.6 to win 1
    8. Toronto/LAA over 10 risk 1 to win 1
    9. Baltimore ML Risk 1.45 to win 1
    10. Whitesox/Yankees risk 1 to win 1.05


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    Single Bets:

    2. Miami ML risk 1.1 to win unit
    3. Nationals/atlanta over 9 risk 1 to win 1.05
    4. SD padres/Colorado over 11.5  risk 1.15 to win 1
    5. Pitsburg/STL over risk 3.15 to win 3
    6. Dodgers ML Risk 1 to win 1.3
    7. SF Giants risk 1.6 to win 1
    8. Toronto/LAA over 10 risk 1 to win 1
    9. Baltimore ML Risk 1.45 to win 1
    10. Whitesox/Yankees risk 1 to win 1.05


     
     
    Guaji
    Guaji
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    Posts: 1220
    Posted: Jun. 29, 2012 - 7:01 PM ET #200

    11.  SASKATCHEWAN +7 (CFL - CANADIAN FOOTBALL) risk 1.1 to win 1.
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    11.  SASKATCHEWAN +7 (CFL - CANADIAN FOOTBALL) risk 1.1 to win 1.
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