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2011 Major League Baseball Totals

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Participants:

Posts: 318

kevinhp67

Prospect

Joined: Jun, 2008

Posts: 236

Posted: Apr. 16, 2011 - 1:47 PM ET #76

cisco

All-Star

Joined: Dec, 2000

Posts: 11995

Posted: Apr. 16, 2011 - 8:33 PM ET #77

Quote Originally Posted by AAABest:

On the road and running today so no time to run all of the numbers..Just one that does work and going back to the same well for this...Records Update Sunday..

#926 Twins/Rays Under 8.5 -120

nice hit!

AAABest

Banned

Joined: Aug, 2006

Posts: 205

Posted: Apr. 16, 2011 - 11:07 PM ET #78

I should be back in the saddle tomorrow so probably a number of plays...

Records Update coming as well..

AAABest

Banned

Joined: Aug, 2006

Posts: 205

Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 1:09 AM ET #79

Twins/Rays open at 8 and now -125 at some books. That's a big Duh right there..

AAABest

Banned

Joined: Aug, 2006

Posts: 205

Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 1:29 AM ET #80

First Play for Sunday...

#978 Tigers/Athletics Under 8

King Creole42

Rookie

Joined: May, 2005

Posts: 777

Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 8:29 AM ET #81

please add me as well>>>thanks!

AAABest

Banned

Joined: Aug, 2006

Posts: 205

Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 10:50 AM ET #82

Play #2...

#967 Jays/RedSox Over 8.5 -115

AAABest

Banned

Joined: Aug, 2006

Posts: 205

Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 10:54 AM ET #83

Play #3...

#961 Cubs/Rockies Over 9.5 -115

ICEman83

All-Star

Joined: Aug, 2007

Posts: 12474

Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 10:55 AM ET #84

GL AAA.............

AAABest

Banned

Joined: Aug, 2006

Posts: 205

Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 11:07 AM ET #85

Without the Rain Shortened Royals Game on Thursday and the Disaster Extra Innings game at Oakland on Friday I would be 8-0 on these. But that kind of shit happens and I don't cry about it..

Here is what we have done so far...More plays on the way..

Updated Record
Unders 5-1 (+3.9 Units)
Overs 1-0 (+1 Units)

AAABest

Banned

Joined: Aug, 2006

Posts: 205

Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 11:11 AM ET #86

I don't know why my program is playing so many OVERS today but it is..

#955 Marlins/Phillies Over 8.5 -120

IOWACAPPER

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2009

Posts: 41

Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 11:13 AM ET #87

Keep up the good work.....2 big overs today! Im so nervous ha ha...all my betting I have been too scared to bet the big OVER lines and all my betting life I have lost a lot of money not betting the over in all sports haha. Lets get it.

MrBiggs

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 228

Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 11:19 AM ET #88

AAA Nice work! BOL goin forward.

Want to follow, can I get an Add?

AAABest

Banned

Joined: Aug, 2006

Posts: 205

Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 11:24 AM ET #89

All of you people that want to be my friend, just go do that and I will confirm. I can't go back and find all of you in this thread. Just way too busy. Probably have one or two more plays coming. Running some final numbers now..

AAABest

Banned

Joined: Aug, 2006

Posts: 205

Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 11:45 AM ET #90

3 OVERS and just 1 UNDER for Sunday...

That's weird but that's the way it is. I am Done.

tinfoils

Legend

Joined: Jun, 2002

Posts: 66016

Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 12:12 PM ET #91

leafsfan19

Prospect

Joined: Apr, 2011

Posts: 47

Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 5:04 PM ET #92

good job. this a new system? if not, how did you do last season?

IOWACAPPER

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2009

Posts: 41

Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 8:06 PM ET #93

Nice once again today!!

PuckHog

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2009

Posts: 1109

Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 8:26 PM ET #94

Quote Originally Posted by AAABest:

It's not really a system and instead is a Computer Model I have developed. Each Park has a Medium Number. Weather can affect that up or down by as much as a run but usually no more than a 1/2 run and most of the time not at all..

Pitchers (Starters) are rated by previous pitch count, K/BB Ratio, Hits/Innings Ratio, HR/Innings Ratio, and as well a few other factors. Bullpens rated the same way as a group with recent performance added in, along with Innings worked..

I get a number based on these things with % Probables and I have a play up or down or nothing..

looking good so far...keep up the good work AAA

IPartyALOT

Banned

Joined: Apr, 2011

Posts: 1052

Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 8:48 PM ET #95

JHRD2998

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2007

Posts: 24

Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 8:48 PM ET #96

Great job again. I pushed on Boston as I had 9 but still had a good day. Thanks again

AAABest

Banned

Joined: Aug, 2006

Posts: 205

Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 11:05 PM ET #97

Quote Originally Posted by leafsfan19:

good job. this a new system? if not, how did you do last season?

No, and it is not a system. It has been fairly stable each year and last year hit right at 59.8%. Better the previous year but with fewer plays so Unit-Wise last year was actually better..