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🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

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Posted: #101

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Was wanting to grab Oakland as a fair/marginal bet but the line jumped, so I'm off it, unless it comes back down to low -120's again. ORIOLES +100  *BB Two good starters on the mound but the Orioles have a slight edge there AND in the BP...They hold a thin edge at the plate too, but facing a lefty is their strength (at least statistically thus far) and that bumps up their plate expectation even more in my handicapping style. So I have the ORIOLES (9 - 4 roadie!) with the key edges: mound and plate .....and they are getting even odds!!  ORIOLES!! Sunday, May 05: (overnight lines at pinnacle) Cleveland -129 *BB Mets +110 *BBBosox +151 *BBCubbies +111 *BBOakie -126 *BBPadres +107 *BBPirates -147Orioles -101Phillies +105
gl today    i am tailing u on oakland     but wont go against the twins just yet

 

 

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Posted: #102

During their recent 12 game consecutive win streak

the TWINKIES have a whopping +49 run differential!

 

surprised

 
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Posted: #103

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: 5 - 3 Yankees means I will lose my under 8  for sure.....grrrr LUCKY BREAK for me..... @YANKEES, no further scoring the last 5 innings and I *escape* with a lucky push.... But that will be short lived as CARDS scored 5 runs to end any chance of winning my  under 8 there and throwing my LIVE BET on CWS in huge jeopardy......afterall, CWS aren't 1 - 14 on the road by fluke.....they deserve it.....

Although I have resumed using the better YTD stats on NYY run production than their recent slump,  I have them estimated for only 3 runs today against a VERY GOOD righthander backed by GOOD pen

 
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Posted: #104

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Was wanting to grab Oakland as a fair/marginal bet but the line jumped, so I'm off it, unless it comes back down to low -120's again. ORIOLES +100  *BB Two good starters on the mound but the Orioles have a slight edge there AND in the BP...They hold a thin edge at the plate too, but facing a lefty is their strength (at least statistically thus far) and that bumps up their plate expectation even more in my handicapping style. So I have the ORIOLES (9 - 4 roadie!) with the key edges: mound and plate .....and they are getting even odds!!  ORIOLES!! Sunday, May 05: (overnight lines at pinnacle) Cleveland -129 *BB Mets +110 *BBBosox +151 *BBCubbies +111 *BBOakie -126 *BBPadres +107 *BBPirates -147Orioles -101Phillies +105 gl today   

i am tailing u on oakland     

but wont go against the twins just yet

@KellyM_1964

 I really hope you win your Oakland bet an_cheers

 

As for the TWINKIES,  all good things must come to an end, my friend.

Streaks never last.  Likewise for the BOSOX recent run of only 4 runs scored over last 3 games.

No guarantees, but Criswell appears to be the significantly better starter, so I took the plus money value on the Sox here.

 
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Posted: #105

Not going to take any guesses on the unknowns in the TEX/KC matchup.....Lynch has no stats this year and such games asre best left alone in my capping style.

 
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Posted: #106

Rockies have scored 3 already...

Against the PIRATES, who average LESS THAN 2 rpg their past 17,

those 3 runs might well hold up for the lowly Rockies...

 
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Posted: #107

Adding: 2nd bet CUBS +125

 
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Posted: #108

LIVE BET: METS -155 

Top of the 3rd.   Mets had a 2 - 0 lead, then Rays got a break and scored 3.

Mets trail 2 - 3 top of 3rd but chased the Rays starter, and the replacement is even worse than Pepiot!

METS have 2 on with no outs yet.......They may phuckitup though in this inning but I still have them winning

 
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Posted: #109

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

LIVE BET: METS -155  Top of the 3rd.   Mets had a 2 - 0 lead, then Rays got a break and scored 3. Mets trail 2 - 3 top of 3rd but chased the Rays starter, and the replacement is even worse than Pepiot! METS have 2 on with no outs yet.......They may phuckitup though in this inning but I still have them winning

Rodrigueez piutching for RAYS has worse stats than Pepiot.

METS load the bases nobody out....then 2 batters fly out....

Then Rodriguez walks in a run for METS!   TIE GAME again...

 

Meanwhile Severino is pitching UGLY for the Mets.... an_speechless

 

Start into bottom of 3rd....LIVE BET:  Mets/TB OVER 11 -111

 

 
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Posted: #110

Adding: OAKLAND -1.5 +150  and

Oakland TT over 2.5 -320 alt-line

 
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Posted: #111

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: LIVE BET: METS -155  Top of the 3rd.   Mets had a 2 - 0 lead, then Rays got a break and scored 3. Mets trail 2 - 3 top of 3rd but chased the Rays starter, and the replacement is even worse than Pepiot! METS have 2 on with no outs yet.......They may phuckitup though in this inning but I still have them winning Rodrigueez piutching for RAYS has worse stats than Pepiot. METS load the bases nobody out....then 2 batters fly out.... Then Rodriguez walks in a run for METS!   TIE GAME again...   Meanwhile Severino is pitching UGLY for the Mets....   Start into bottom of 3rd....LIVE BET:  Mets/TB OVER 11 -111

 

LIVE BET top of 4: Runners on the corners for Mets, nobody out.....and Mets chase Rodriquez.......Rays into the pen for another!

METS -170 *BB

 

 
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Posted: #112

an_speak  BREAKING NEWS!

 

The hometown PIRATES scored a run!   an_getaway

 
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Posted: #113

OMG Severino for METS is just wretched, but they are leaving him in????

He's allowed 9 on through 3.1 innings and counting!! an_speechless

Just walked the lead off in the 4th......now in scoring position....

If they don't pull him soon - like this inning - they are going to blow a winnable game!

 
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Posted: #114

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

OMG Severino for METS is just wretched, but they are leaving him in???? He's allowed 9 on through 3.1 innings and counting!! Just walked the lead off in the 4th......now in scoring position.... If they don't pull him soon - like this inning - they are going to blow a winnable game!

SEVERINO allowed 10 men on base in only 4 ip! an_speechless

They hold a thin 5 - 4 lead but if they put him back in for the 5th, then the RAYS will take the lead......and then the METS will finally pull him....

 
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Posted: #115

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: OMG Severino for METS is just wretched, but they are leaving him in???? He's allowed 9 on through 3.1 innings and counting!! Just walked the lead off in the 4th......now in scoring position.... If they don't pull him soon - like this inning - they are going to blow a winnable game! SEVERINO allowed 10 men on base in only 4 ip! They hold a thin 5 - 4 lead but if they put him back in for the 5th, then the RAYS will take the lead......and then the METS will finally pull him....
OK, SEVERINO got lucky in the bottom of the 5th...but nows the time to pull him!!

 
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Posted: #116

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

BREAKING NEWS!  

The hometown PIRATES scored a run!

Then they added 4 more to lead 5 - 3 at top of 8  surprised

 
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Posted: #117

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: OMG Severino for METS is just wretched, but they are leaving him in???? He's allowed 9 on through 3.1 innings and counting!! Just walked the lead off in the 4th......now in scoring position.... If they don't pull him soon - like this inning - they are going to blow a winnable game! SEVERINO allowed 10 men on base in only 4 ip! They hold a thin 5 - 4 lead but if they put him back in for the 5th, then the RAYS will take the lead......and then the METS will finally pull him....OK, SEVERINO got lucky in the bottom of the 5th...but nows the time to pull him!!

...and they did....... LOPEZ in!

NO guarantees of course, but he is waaaaay better than Severino, and will try to get a save here!

 
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Posted: #118

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: BREAKING NEWS!   The hometown PIRATES scored a run! Then they added 4 more to lead 5 - 3 at top of 8

WINNER!!! an_2drinks

 
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Posted: #119

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Adding: OAKLAND -1.5 +150  and Oakland TT over 2.5 -320 alt-line

OMG!  my A's are already in BIG TROUBLE in the top of the first.

Bases loaded on walks, nobody out!!! new_jaw_drop

 
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Posted: #120

Orioles already up 3 - 0 after top half of 1   an_cheers

 
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Posted: #121

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: OMG Severino for METS is just wretched, but they are leaving him in???? He's allowed 9 on through 3.1 innings and counting!! Just walked the lead off in the 4th......now in scoring position.... If they don't pull him soon - like this inning - they are going to blow a winnable game! SEVERINO allowed 10 men on base in only 4 ip! They hold a thin 5 - 4 lead but if they put him back in for the 5th, then the RAYS will take the lead......and then the METS will finally pull him....OK, SEVERINO got lucky in the bottom of the 5th...but nows the time to pull him!! ...and they did....... LOPEZ in! NO guarantees of course, but he is waaaaay better than Severino, and will try to get a save here!

METS lead 5 - 4  now into bottom of 9th...

Skittish here as I have a lot invested in METS....so hedging!!

LIVE BET:  RAYS +550

 
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Posted: #122

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: OMG Severino for METS is just wretched, but they are leaving him in???? He's allowed 9 on through 3.1 innings and counting!! Just walked the lead off in the 4th......now in scoring position.... If they don't pull him soon - like this inning - they are going to blow a winnable game! SEVERINO allowed 10 men on base in only 4 ip! They hold a thin 5 - 4 lead but if they put him back in for the 5th, then the RAYS will take the lead......and then the METS will finally pull him....OK, SEVERINO got lucky in the bottom of the 5th...but nows the time to pull him!! ...and they did....... LOPEZ in! NO guarantees of course, but he is waaaaay better than Severino, and will try to get a save here! METS lead 5 - 4  now into bottom of 9th... Skittish here as I have a lot invested in METS....so hedging!!

LIVE BET:  RAYS +550

  smart hedge    u win either way now !thumbs_up

 

 

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Posted: #123

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

As for the TWINKIES,  all good things must come to an end

Streaks never last.  Likewise for the BOSOX recent run of only 4 runs scored over last 3 games.

No guarantees, but Criswell appears to be the significantly better starter, so I took the plus money value on the Sox here.

Mid 9th and BOSOX hold a 9 - 2 lead.... an_nailbiter

 
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Posted: #124

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

adding Bos/Minn under 8 -119

BIG FAT LOSER!

 
 
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Posted: #125

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Adding: OAKLAND -1.5 +150  and Oakland TT over 2.5 -320 alt-line

Very concerned now as the game not going accorrding to plan....

Partial hedge bet, LIVE:  Oakland TT UNDER 2.5 +100

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