My capping shows only a very tiny edge for BRAVES....almost negligible. And that would normally suggest a "value bet" on BoSox might be a decent bet *IF* they would be getting at least +120 or better (NOT LESS!)
I took Braves, but certainly not confident in it. GL whichever you decide and the rest of the day.
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
My capping shows only a very tiny edge for BRAVES....almost negligible. And that would normally suggest a "value bet" on BoSox might be a decent bet *IF* they would be getting at least +120 or better (NOT LESS!)
I took Braves, but certainly not confident in it. GL whichever you decide and the rest of the day.
Min/CWS over 7 -149 alt-total@pinn*BB...est run production: 3.5 vs 5.2
**Woods-Richardson and Martin must go
Winner!
YTD totals, overs: 14 - 15 (14 - 8 since May 01!)
Typically score well with my overs. Went 0 - 7 in April which is a month I normally avoid due to lack of significant stats upon which to make sound assessments. But I experimented in April and it cost me. May has been a different story - now that I have the stat base I need...
2
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Min/CWS over 7 -149 alt-total@pinn*BB...est run production: 3.5 vs 5.2
**Woods-Richardson and Martin must go
Winner!
YTD totals, overs: 14 - 15 (14 - 8 since May 01!)
Typically score well with my overs. Went 0 - 7 in April which is a month I normally avoid due to lack of significant stats upon which to make sound assessments. But I experimented in April and it cost me. May has been a different story - now that I have the stat base I need...
CWS -163 @pinn *BB ...solid +1.7 run edge for homies!!
6 - 2 Winner!
Thursday, May 28:
L Detroit Tiggers -128 @pinn *BB...tailing not recommended W CWS -163 @pinn *BB...solid +1.7 run edge for homies; assuming they play to avg. W Min/CWS over 7 -149 alt-total@pinn*BB...est run production: 3.5 vs 5.2 W CWS TT ov 2.5 -282 @pinn *BB
3 - 1 +1.72u [3 - 1 *BB]
2
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
CWS -163 @pinn *BB ...solid +1.7 run edge for homies!!
6 - 2 Winner!
Thursday, May 28:
L Detroit Tiggers -128 @pinn *BB...tailing not recommended W CWS -163 @pinn *BB...solid +1.7 run edge for homies; assuming they play to avg. W Min/CWS over 7 -149 alt-total@pinn*BB...est run production: 3.5 vs 5.2 W CWS TT ov 2.5 -282 @pinn *BB
Oops I was not watching and too late, they scored, I think almost as I was opening to place the bet. Thinking of -3.5 for plus money but I shall refrain. Patience and discipline the name of this game.
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@NetProfit2023
Oops I was not watching and too late, they scored, I think almost as I was opening to place the bet. Thinking of -3.5 for plus money but I shall refrain. Patience and discipline the name of this game.
Although the BRAVES won Thursday, SALE's 2 earned run performance might be viewed as GOOD by many but in my capping sheets it is not......He allowed 10 on base over just 5.0 ip.....A WHIP of 2.00 (I include HBP in WHIP counts, as it should be, because he caused it)....Allowing an average of 2 baserunners per inning is akin to playing with FIRE and one is generally fortunate to escape 4 or even 5 earned runs. I have that down as a poor pitching performance which is consistent over the years with the way I have always evaluated starters "outings" .... ERA is a weaker stat compared with WHIP.... The goal of a GOOD pitcher is to keep players OFF the base-paths to begin with!!!!!! Not allow them on then hope to get fortunate and escape disaster!...It's akin to "poking the Grizzly bear"....Sure, he might get lucky and escape....or
1
Although the BRAVES won Thursday, SALE's 2 earned run performance might be viewed as GOOD by many but in my capping sheets it is not......He allowed 10 on base over just 5.0 ip.....A WHIP of 2.00 (I include HBP in WHIP counts, as it should be, because he caused it)....Allowing an average of 2 baserunners per inning is akin to playing with FIRE and one is generally fortunate to escape 4 or even 5 earned runs. I have that down as a poor pitching performance which is consistent over the years with the way I have always evaluated starters "outings" .... ERA is a weaker stat compared with WHIP.... The goal of a GOOD pitcher is to keep players OFF the base-paths to begin with!!!!!! Not allow them on then hope to get fortunate and escape disaster!...It's akin to "poking the Grizzly bear"....Sure, he might get lucky and escape....or
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(14 
and BoL with your bets this weekend! 
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