UFC Fight Night London 7-23

As always, just thoughts and leans...main plays come on fight night.  Not feeling this card as much as last weeks, i'll keep them short.

Dalby vs. Silva - ooofff, rough opener.  Both guys are pretty old, inactive and are far apart in styles.  Dalby is pretty much a brawler, Silva is jiu-jitsu specialist who is pretty much sub or bust...but he's also never been finished.  No Lean - don't even see a prop i like

Bohm vs. Leonardo - Bohm is a talented striker who was in for a rude awakening in her UFC debut, it looked like she thought she was going to stroll in and dominante Lipski, but got bullied.  Leonardo, i truly believe was set up to lose back in her contender series fight, but got the win when her opponent gassed from beating Leonardo up.  Dana White immediately fed her to Manon Fiorot for payback.  Bohm should win this fight, but i can't see it being very pretty no matter how it goes down.  Lean - Bohm ML - Leonardo has her toughness as the only thing going for her, Bohm should be able to do enough in the striking to seperate herself....this isn't a strong lean at all.  High chance it goes the distance.

Herbert vs. Nelson - Finally things get interesting.  It's like -300 for this fight NOT TO GO DISTANCE....Herbert has a glass jaw and weak gas tank, Nelson hasn't fought in almost 2 years and fights like he left the gas on.  I get that Nelson is at a disadvantage with reach, height and moving up a weight class, BUT Herbert's last opponent had all of those same dis-advantages PLUS he was fighting Herbert on short notice and Herbert still got slept.  For someone with a glass jaw, Herbert is way too hittable and he has no other tools aside from the stand-up.  Lean - Kyle Nelson - i just think there is too value on Nelson, and you would have to be nuts to lay -300 on Herbert.  He's lost 3 of his last 4 and was finished in all 3 of his losses and even his win was against fellow 'Glass Jaw' award winner Khama Worthy.  Very possible Herbert gets hurt on the feet and Nelson chokes him out.....i'll likely play Nelson ML and by finish

more tommorow folks!

Statement win for Jai!! Mark my words. Easy day 

Don’t play Nelson just a friendly advice 

@NYG991

 i appreciate your thoughts, but i don't care if he KO's him in 5 seconds, he isn't making a statement by beating Kyle Nelson

Maybe not making a statement that’s fair enough. However the ability to really showcase his skills and get the W 

busy day and busy friday ahead, gonna get these over with real quick:

Mokaev vs. Johnson - Charles Johnson is pretty unknown, but he can fight.  Mokaev has been flawless so far.  I kind of like this to go the distance around +155

Amirkhani vs. Pearce - Amirkhani is usually sub or bust....don't really like anything about this fight.  Amirkhani 1st round sub is +700, but i expect Pearce to get the win.  Don't know what i will play here

Wood vs. Rosa - Rosa is a tough guy, but can only win a fight off his back...I think Wood wins by decision, but don't want to lay -165.

Diakiese vs. Hadzovic - really don't like this fight either....this is a rough card.  Think Diakiese wins, but whoa that number.

Jones vs. Klein - Like Mason jones to get a finish here

Craig vs. Oezdimer - Craig is always active to snatch a choke or break a limb to get a sub, but Oezdimer will likely be very wary .  Think this goes either two ways. Craig by sub +250 or Oezdimer by TKO/KO +130

McCann vs. Goldy - These lines are wild.  Molly is nothing special, but i rate her higher than Goldy.  Still to lay -400 on Molly McCann

Krylov vs. Gustaffson - Gustaffson has been out of the cage for 2 years,  feels like Krylov grinds out a decision.

Paddy vs. Leavitt - Really trying to build Paddy up huh?  I'm begging for Leavitt to choke him out and then do one of his stripper dance moves to a raucous booing London crowd....but Paddy likely finishes him in the 2nd round

Hermannson vs. Curtis - Curtis did great avoiding takedowns by Vieira last fight, but Hermannson is much better technique-wise and in his set-ups....It will be really impressive if Curtis can keep this on the feet again.

Blaydes vs. Aspinall - Great fight, i like Blaydes to use his wrestling and ride Aspinall to a decision.  Big test for the Englishman

@NYG991

 i don't think the fight sees the final bell either way....i may take an under 1.5 rounds - about even money depending where you get it

Best wishes on saturday

no play on dalby fight

switched to aspinall in main event

no play on bohm-leonardo

Got UNDER 1.5 rounds (-120) in Herbert-Nelson  in a parlay along with Paddy and Aspinall ML

taking Nelson +225 live

moronic move Nelson going for the takedown...congrats you just lost youself the fight

0-2 so far......Nelson just had to kick the leg.

Johnson ML +400

Mokaev by sub +200

0-4 rough start 

no play here....might take a break until the main card.  I knew i didn't like this card 

took Pierce live at -115 when Amirkhani couldn't get that d'arce........

still 1-4 on the day

no play on next fight

@BigMick87

 New. But been following you for a bit. You'll turn it around! BOL

@ElGibby

 thanks,  this is not my fvorite card of fights lol

no play on Diakiese fight

Mason Jones by finish +100

WTF was that, a jumping sub????....this is a bad loss for Mason

Dude what the fuck was Jones thinking with that sub. Could very well have been 1-1.

i've got it 30-27 Klein....want to see these scorevards though

Contender series starts on Tuesday????  I thought we had to wait at least another month for that