UFC Fight Night 70

VISA issues has pretty much destroyed this card!!! Will I be the only guy on Romero Saturday????

how confident are you?  im undecided

Actually Money I think the easy play is fight won't go the 5 rounds minus 240. After about 12 minutes how much will Romero have in his tank??? If your on Machida your hoping he survives till the 3rd, then that money comes into play.

I think Money their is a few funky lines that I will jump on later this week!!!!

Eight remaining fights is a small card by modern UFC standards. I wonder if they will add a late notice fight or two.

I think they were or are suppose to have 2 TUF finals from Brazil fighting??? Because orginial fights were suppose to be there.

You are correct Jim, just 8 fights. Hopefully they don't drag it on till 1sh!!!

Some early leans: Romero.
Machida/Romero inside of 5.
Larkin
Gordon
Bosse
Santos/Bosse inside of 3.
Dias.
As again nothing to crazy this weekend with the big money coming up in two weeks.

Wow! Against all of my leans so far!

Definitely against you on Bosse, he's only fought twice in last 5 years and riding a 2 year layoff. This is also his debut. I give him no shot to win. Mildly against you on Larkin and Gordon. Both are close on paper. Gordon has the power advantage and his wrestling could make problems for Carlos, but the only time I seen Carlos get out wrestled was against Pat Cummins and these fights can't be compared. I think Gordon taking him down will be his undoing. Larkin has good striking but I think Ponzinibbo is just as good in that area, and his BJJ black belt will dominate the grappling & ground game if it goes there. And I think it will.

I noticed that to Tim, lol. Here's the thing Tim, last week didn't like the card and went 8-3 God knows how. This week I think this card sets up for me on a few angles which I play all the time, so its sitting there.

I figured this week we'd be on the opposite ends of the spectrum. I do agree with a few of your write ups though.

For the first time ever, I'll have more money on fights inside the distance than the fighters themselves. Hope this strategy pays off, lol.

Another good point Qncyk1. The wildcard is so many factors but this line hasn't jumped and I'm hoping they just brawl and cash. People sometimes worry about the fighters where I'm evolving into style of the fights to make money. I'd say I'm directly borrowing from the Jim Gunn art of gambling.

i dont know why bosse decided to drop the weight. two months ago hes fighting maldonado on two weeks notice after retiring  because of injuries and now hes dropping to 185 two months later?

Well he was gonna fight at 205 on a weeks notice. Maybe he has a good diet to get to 185. Saturday we will see if it pays off. Never thought Bosse would be a hot topic, lol.

Ferrari, what's ur 2-3 best plays on this card? thanks for the werdum pick man, cashed pretty good.

Your welcome, it's always good cashing a plus 3.5-1 play. I'd say my two best picks are Machida/Romero inside the distance at minus 240 and Santos/Bosse inside the distance at 190. For the Machida fight I like to see Romero finish him early. The Dragon is 6-6 in his last 12 fights and I'm not sure how much tread is on the tires. But if Romero can't finish him inside of 12 minutes, well then Machida should mop him up.
For the Santos/Bosse fight, I'm small playing Bosse just because he's a ex hockey player who likes to scrape. I'm not worried about ring rust because a brawler wants to get hit to get the motor going. I am worried about Santos at length and if it hits the ground Santos smokes him. For this fight it's all about Bosse's gas tank vs. Santos' chin or ground work. All in all I think both fights don't see the scorecards.

I'm actually glad you asked. I can breakdown most fights in the way I think they will go, at least sometimes I'm correct but I'm not gonna just post my opinion for my health. I would also like to add that I do study alot and read all threads in here just to see what some are thinking. I pretty much know what the very good cappers are gonna do, and their are a few legit guys in here. Thanks Mamba again and lets hope we keep putting it to the books!!!!!!!!!

Yes Machida is 36 but Yoel is 37. I like the ITD pick best but still like Dragon to win. Over his last 10 he is 6-4 and the 4 losses came to Jon Jones, Phil Davis, Chris Weidman, and Luke Rockhold. I think Romero is far behind all those guys. He barely got past Tim Kennedy and only did so by cheating. But he has a punchers chance with that power, so ITD is the best bet.

Good luck man, I will be joining you on Romero!

thanks CTM. GOOOOOOOOOOOO god's soldier, lol.

Rampage?

machida was sooo confident last time and I love the guy so I hammered it, and he lost bad. I'm assuming he's making his money betting against himself. I bet romero cranks him