Posted:
#26
Put together Breese and Almeida in a parlay. +310, 1 down 1 to go
UFC Fight Night 67 Write-Up / Predictions
NO way I get the over. Can't believe this fight isn't over. Alves showing some heart but how long can he hang on. 
Posted:
#47
Quote Originally Posted by Ferrari29:
13-10 is not 80% Welcome to the world of actual gambling!!!
13-10 is not 80% Welcome to the world of actual gambling!!!
Couldn't have said it better myself. 
An opening post of himself telling us he hits 80%, then goes on to go 13-10. What is wrong with just posting picks? Telling us you hit 80%, when it is quite clear you don't, is silly. 
Posted:
#48
Fair enough, I have picked winners at like 57% over my first 2 posts. When I said I have been picking at 80%, I wasn't making wagers on every single fight. I only bet when I have confidence, and absolutely do pick better than 80%, when betting.
When I started writing these posts, I decided to give my insight for each fight on a card. That's what my threads are about, statistical analysis slightly influenced by my eye-test. They are obviously not recommendations to bet 12 fight cards in their entirety. At least, I thought it was obvious, but apparently was not to you.
I could write posts that have ~80% accuracy, but they would only have a few picks and I would get responses asking what I thought about XX other fight. There are other threads where you can find the top 2 or 3 locks to load up on. Only a fool would mistake my threads for one of those.
I also have an incredibly small sample size that included 2 pretty bad cards to start with.
With UFC 187 being completely worthless for value. I was willing to take more shots with smaller bets. Show me another card that the top 6 favorites on a parlay paid +295. If that's not a worthless card for betting value, I don't know what is. I wrote my article because it was such a big card for entertainment value.
Fight Night 67 had, what the consensus seems to be, three pretty bad decisions by the judges. I certainly view them that way, and with even semi-competent judging I could have easily went 10-2. This judging was far below average, even when you only compare third world country events. Yet instead of using common sense, you use it an opportunity to write some troll garbage.
It seems you may be better suited reading threads by writers who stick to 2 or 3 high confidence picks. I'm sorry to hear you didn't understand I was doing something different from the very beginning. Again: thought it was obvious, but it wasn't to you.
I guess I could only write about -500 heavy favorites to satisfy you individually, but the responses I've gotten on the whole indicate the community wants something different. So I'll keep posting my write ups over here, forever leaving the door open for trolls. Thanks and go darn yourself.
Posted:
#49
[Quote: Originally Posted by whitebelt] Fair enough, I have picked winners at like 57% over my first 2 posts. When I said I have been picking at 80%, I wasn't making wagers on every single fight. I only bet when I have confidence, and absolutely do pick better than 80%, when betting.
When I started writing these posts, I decided to give my insight for each fight on a card. That's what my threads are about, statistical analysis slightly influenced by my eye-test. They are obviously not recommendations to bet 12 fight cards in their entirety. At least, I thought it was obvious, but apparently was not to you.
I could write posts that have ~80% accuracy, but they would only have a few picks and I would get responses asking what I thought about XX other fight. There are other threads where you can find the top 2 or 3 locks to load up on. Only a fool would mistake my threads for one of those.
I also have an incredibly small sample size that included 2 pretty bad cards to start with.
With UFC 187 being completely worthless for value. I was willing to take more shots with smaller bets. Show me another card that the top 6 favorites on a parlay paid +295. If that's not a worthless card for betting value, I don't know what is. I wrote my article because it was such a big card for entertainment value.
Fight Night 67 had, what the consensus seems to be, three pretty bad decisions by the judges. I certainly view them that way, and with even semi-competent judging I could have easily went 10-2. This judging was far below average, even when you only compare third world country events. Yet instead of using common sense, you use it an opportunity to write some troll garbage.
It seems you may be better suited reading threads by writers who stick to 2 or 3 high confidence picks. I'm sorry to hear you didn't understand I was doing something different from the very beginning. Again: thought it was obvious, but it wasn't to you.
I guess I could only write about -500 heavy favorites to satisfy you individually, but the responses I've gotten on the whole indicate the community wants something different. So I'll keep posting my write ups over here, forever leaving the door open for trolls. Thanks and go darn yourself.
13-10, 80%, whatever. You can pick 80% betting all -500 favorites and still be a loser - only thing that matters is are you a long term winner or loser at betting mma - that is what we are all trying to do here.
Keep it up man. Your write-ups are very informative and well received, to me at least.
Posted:
#50
I enjoy reading your write-ups even if I think they are slanted but that makes for good banter. Your write-ups follow more of a Sherdog blog with a sprinkle of gambling at the bottom some good, some not. I was impressed by your 187 posted plays than last week which had none because I can understand your betting angles better. Now about the 80%, that's just humble pie for posting it, lol. I'm sure you will be better than 13-10 at least I hope because your write-ups deserve winners. About the 5-1 Favs, hell yes I'm betting most but not all and I'm always looking for that plus 300 dog to hit. One more thing White belt I am by far not the best MMA gambler, never will be or claim to be but if you want me to comment on a certain fight, I got no issues with that. Keep up the hard work White belt!!!!!
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