Morales vs Pearce
First fight of the night on a stacked card! Morales is coming off a victory in his last fight back in March of this year. He's a solid kick boxer, has solid kicks and loves to march forward. His only loss is against Giga, who we all know is a really good fighter. Morales also has solid take down defense, which he might need in this fight. Pearce also coming off a victory almost a year ago last November. Pearce primarily a wrestler holds a UFC record of 1-1. Although he likes to wrestle, he is very aggressive and is always looking for the finish, on the feet or on the ground. In his 14 fight career, he has only gone to decision 2 times. I think the real question in this fight will be can Morales keep this on the feet? If so I like Morales chances..at + odds, I also like the fight to end inside the distance..
Semelsberger vs Sano
Odd fight here. Semelsberger 2-1 so far in his UFC career, he's a very aggressive striker and likes to march forward and get in his opponents face. In his last fight that got him into some trouble against Khaos William which he ended up losing a UD. Sano on the other hand hasn't fought since 2017, and his last win was back in 2014. The odds makers took notice of this and currently have Semelsberger at -400 favorite. Sano fight's in the Diaz camp, which is why he's on this card. Currently I don't see any bet's worthy of making on this fight, but I will watch the lines as we get closer to the weekend.
Medic vs Turner
Coin flip odd's here. This fight should be fun. Medic is 7-0 in his career and has finished all his opponents. He posses solid power & solid kicks, has only got out of the 1st round once, which could be a factor here if the fight goes longer then expected. Turner coming off a win in his last fight a year ago is a solid fighter with good experience. He's a tall fighter that likes to fight at range and control his opponent. Medic likes to start fast, and Turner has to know this. I think Turner will look to drag this out longer then Medic want's and see how he reacts as the fight progresses. I lean Medic, but It will be interesting to see how Medic responds to adversity if Turner can get him on his back foot and in trouble.
Roberson vs Maximov
Another close fight here. Roberson looking to get back on track here. 0-2 in his last 2 fights, both losses by submission. Roberson is the much more experienced fighter, and has fought some really good fighter's in his UFC career. Roberson doesn't excel in any 1 technique, but he is a well rounded fighter. Maximov won his contender series debut last year, and that fight took place at heavy weight. Maximov is only 23 year's old with very little experience. He comes into this fight highly regarded, and is another fighter in the Diaz camp. He is a very good Jiu-Jitsu fighter, and I see that as his only path to victory. I will sit back and watch this fight unfold.
Fiorot vs Silva
First ladies fight on the card. Fiorot riding a 6 fight win streak, 2-0 in the UFC. She's a great striker with good power, and is always looking too finish her opponent when she smells blood. This is a step up in competition for her, but she's a -250 favorite for a reason. Silva is coming of a DRAW in her last fight earlier this year against De La Rosa. Silva is a solid striker with decent kicks and will look to grapple if she finds herself in trouble. I think the odds are correct in this fight, so I will most likely pass unless I see a prop later in the week.
Modafferi vs Santos
Roxanne like in all fights will look to slow her opponent down. No different in this fight. I anticipate she tries to grapple and look for take downs in order to have a shot in this fight. Her strengths are her durability and toughness & fight IQ. When she finds herself in trouble, she always seems to grapple her way out of trouble and get her barrings back. Santos is 17-1 in her career, 2-1 in the UFC. She is a very good boxer & very athletic. She has the ability to take the fight to the ground if she want's too, but will normally look to strike with her opponents. Santos by decision seems like the bet here.
Abdurakhimov vs Daukaus
First heavyweight fight of the night. This fight has been cancelled a few times, and will finally take place this weekend. Daukaus coming into this fight on a 4 fight win streak. He is a very good striker, very technical and quick for a heavyweight. Shamil's last fight was 2 years ago, and is now 40 years old. Shamil has good power, and good wrestling which I think he will need to use in this fight to have a chance. Daukaus is a black belt, but has never really been tested on the ground in the UFC, so it will be interesting to see how he fairs if Shamil gets him down. Currentley -200, Daukaus I think finishes this fight...
Hooker vs Haqparast
Amazing prelim fight here. Should be a very good fight. Hooker coming into this fight on a 2 fight losing streak. Both losses were tough, and he absorbed a lot of damage. I like Hooker but I think this is a bad spot for him. His last fight was a KO loss just a few months ago, and prior to that he fought Poirier and took lots of damage in that fight also. Keep in mind he is also traveling from Australia with all the COVID protocols. Nasrat on that other hand is on a 2 fight winning streak. Both of these fighters are great strikers, and I anticipate a great fight, but I will take Nasrat at + money here.
Dvalishvili vs Moraes
Another solid prelim fight. Merab coming into this fight on a 6 fight win streak, all wins by UD. Moraes on the other hand is coming into this fight needing a win. Lost his last 2, both by KO. Moraes is a power puncher, and throws with intent, he also has powerful kicks when he decides to mix them into his game plan. Problem with Moraes is that when fighter's have him backing up, he finds himself getting in trouble, and has very little success with his offence. Unfortunately for Moraes, Merab is just that type of fighter. He loves to put pressure on his opponent, get in his face and work in his take downs. Merab is a fantastic wrestler with a good gas tank, and if he can avoid any big shots from Moraes early, he should win this fight.
Andrade vs Calvillo
Main card opening fight. Andrade is coming off a loss in her last fight for the title against Schevchenko, in a fight she got dominated. She will look to get back on track here. She is a good striker with good power, a very physical fighter with decent grappling. She is at her best when she's able to control the fight and bully her opponent, and I think she will look to do just that in this matchup. Calvillo on the other hand doesn't rely on her power or strength, she is a more technical fighter, that's looking to enter and time takedown's. When she gets the fight to the ground she will look for submissions and I think that's her only chance at a win here. Odd's are too wide for Andrade here so I will most likely pass on this fight.
Don't have time too post the last few writeups 
Prelim picks,
Pearce to win inside distance +350 - 0.50 units to win 1.75 units
Pearce/Morales fight to end inside distance (YES) + 110 - 1 unit to win 1.10 units
Brundage/Maximov fight to end inside distance (NO) +100 - 1 unit to win 1 unit
Medic/Turner over 1.5 rounds -150 - 1.5 units to win 1 unit
Haqparast ML +137 - 1 unit to win 1.37 units
Parlay,
Daukaus ML/ Dvalishvili ML +110 - 1 unit to win 1.10 units
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