Been waiting for this card since Bellator 89(losing both plays Spang
and Rogers) so revenge was on my mind. I zeroed in on the Sultan
Aliev/Doug Marshall fight thinking the line would be about -180 and
hoping for less. To my surprise it opened near -300 and has since gone
higher so now this is the only fight I won’t be playing. Its a trap,
Aliev 3-1 against Marshall is no value at all. Almost looking at
Marshall to possibly get the upset and make it to the finals(well not
really, just going to pass) I never make a play until the night before,
i don’t “look ahead” anymore and it has served me well. Too many
factors come into play leading up to the fight(interviews, training,
injuries, and the very important weigh in) and i’m happy to say I really
like the other 3 main card fights;
Alexandre Bezzera -150 vs Mike Richman +130 – i hope i’m not alone on
this one, but i am overly excited to play Bezzera as i see Richman with
NO chance to win. When i picture these 2 in the ring, I just have no
faith in Richman getting his boxing going and connecting with anything.
Bezzera will dominate all facets, he’s faster, stronger, and a distinct
grappling advantage that is no contest. Easy.
3 units Alexandre Bezzera -150
Brett Cooper -150 vs Dan Cramer +130 – picked against Cramer last
time out and paid the price. I knew he was on a learning curve of great
improvement and i didnt’ think he could match Rogers power. I was
wrong, he hung in there took some great shots, got thrown to the ground
numerous times and kept getting up and ended up being the stronger
fighter with more reserve. Cooper a very powerful guy, good wrestling
and good power but poor defense in my opinion. Going with the improving
Dan Cramer.
2 units Dan Cramer +130
Marlon Sandro -150 vs Magomedrasul “Frodo” Khasbulaev +130 – this
line has bounced up and back down to near pick’em. No matter what I’m
with Sandro. Sure the clock is ticking, but against Frodo he will be
just fine. i think there’s an idea that Sandro really lost to
Stepanyan, so it seems Sandro time has passed. Thing is Sandro is
extremely durable(only ko’d once) and he won’t get submitted by Frodo,
for a featherweight Sandro is a very strong grappler able to take most
people down and control them. Frodo doesn’t have the offense he needs
to beat Sandro, and I don’t believe he will be the more powerful guy.
Frodo has already tapped out in 4 of his 5 losses.
Been waiting for this card since Bellator 89(losing both plays Spang
and Rogers) so revenge was on my mind. I zeroed in on the Sultan
Aliev/Doug Marshall fight thinking the line would be about -180 and
hoping for less. To my surprise it opened near -300 and has since gone
higher so now this is the only fight I won’t be playing. Its a trap,
Aliev 3-1 against Marshall is no value at all. Almost looking at
Marshall to possibly get the upset and make it to the finals(well not
really, just going to pass) I never make a play until the night before,
i don’t “look ahead” anymore and it has served me well. Too many
factors come into play leading up to the fight(interviews, training,
injuries, and the very important weigh in) and i’m happy to say I really
like the other 3 main card fights;
Alexandre Bezzera -150 vs Mike Richman +130 – i hope i’m not alone on
this one, but i am overly excited to play Bezzera as i see Richman with
NO chance to win. When i picture these 2 in the ring, I just have no
faith in Richman getting his boxing going and connecting with anything.
Bezzera will dominate all facets, he’s faster, stronger, and a distinct
grappling advantage that is no contest. Easy.
3 units Alexandre Bezzera -150
Brett Cooper -150 vs Dan Cramer +130 – picked against Cramer last
time out and paid the price. I knew he was on a learning curve of great
improvement and i didnt’ think he could match Rogers power. I was
wrong, he hung in there took some great shots, got thrown to the ground
numerous times and kept getting up and ended up being the stronger
fighter with more reserve. Cooper a very powerful guy, good wrestling
and good power but poor defense in my opinion. Going with the improving
Dan Cramer.
2 units Dan Cramer +130
Marlon Sandro -150 vs Magomedrasul “Frodo” Khasbulaev +130 – this
line has bounced up and back down to near pick’em. No matter what I’m
with Sandro. Sure the clock is ticking, but against Frodo he will be
just fine. i think there’s an idea that Sandro really lost to
Stepanyan, so it seems Sandro time has passed. Thing is Sandro is
extremely durable(only ko’d once) and he won’t get submitted by Frodo,
for a featherweight Sandro is a very strong grappler able to take most
people down and control them. Frodo doesn’t have the offense he needs
to beat Sandro, and I don’t believe he will be the more powerful guy.
Frodo has already tapped out in 4 of his 5 losses.
Gl I'm on Cramer & Marlon as well. Locked in on Marshal/Allev u 1.5 rounds. (-160). What's ur thoughts on that total?
ctownl - i would lean to under based on rhino's aggresiveness. not sure how aliev will respond to the pressure. will he go to clinch and just trip marshall down or will he just fight back standing. i am "off" this fight due to the high price. good luck!
whipton - good luck, but we disagree on cooper\cramer
Gl I'm on Cramer & Marlon as well. Locked in on Marshal/Allev u 1.5 rounds. (-160). What's ur thoughts on that total?
ctownl - i would lean to under based on rhino's aggresiveness. not sure how aliev will respond to the pressure. will he go to clinch and just trip marshall down or will he just fight back standing. i am "off" this fight due to the high price. good luck!
whipton - good luck, but we disagree on cooper\cramer
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