189

Thatch wins if the fight stays on the feet Gunni if it hits the mat. I think it hits the mat at some pt and Gunnar gets the finish

I have to think it will get more level. I like Rory, but I think it will be close and will be a decision

I figure at some point some heavy Mendes $ has to come in. I'm thinking of jumping on the +130. It's been all McG getting bet so far

Mendes/McG - I will give McG a lot of credit for getting people interested in his fights. I don't know whether to welcome the next big thing or can't wait to see someone rip his head off. I'm glad he has to fight a wrestler. Maybe he dismantles Mendes quickly like everyone else. But I don't think so. Mendes had no problem standing and exchanging with Aldo, who is just as diverse and dynamic. He did get tagged and hurt a couple times, but always weathered. And he has, if not a cardio/stamina advantage, the experience of going deep. Which Mendes has to do to win this fight. The dynamic that McG brings is the spiny leg kick stuff coming from all directions. I also noticed in rewetting some fights, he gets hit but not hurt. I think everyone knows, it all comes down to whether or not Mendes can secure any TDs. He couldn't hold Aldo down, although he is the cream of the crop. And while McG has been taken down regularly, he has not been kept down. I will likely bet Mendes, possibly just hoping he can shut McG's yapper for a while. But I would not be surprised at all if McG takes him out inside 2 like everyone else.

Rory/Lawler - I have not been as quick as most to jump on Rory, and I still think that the lines gets more level at some point. Lawler has been in some great battles with Hendricks - hard for 5 full. And he (narrowly) beat Rory already. I think Rory wins a dec but he has his hands full.

Means/Brown - FOTN. These two will go at it! Means will have a massive reach adv, but I think Brown is a little better with technique and will win a dec

Gunnar/Thatch - Most seem to think Thatch is going to KO Gunnar rather quickly. It all comes down to the take down.

Stephens/Bermudez - This is another fight where it seems everyone is easily on Bermudez. I'm surprised the line isn't closer - They're pretty similar fighters 

Pendred/Howard - This is a stupid matchup. Howard is undersized. He's a fun fighter to watch. But they match him up with boring Pendred who's going to hold on to him for 3 rounds

Garcia/Swick - under