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    All Forums | Investments

    Time to load up on airline stock fellas.....especially JetBlue, it will double within 6 months

    CountCrisco
    TheAnalyst1
    TheInstigator77
    wallstreetcappers
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    CountCrisco
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    Posted: Mar. 9, 2015 - 2:09 AM ET #1

    I just bought me a boatload of options contracts for JBLU for June strike price 19. Airlines are going to explode for another huge run this Spring when oil prices continue to tank in next few months. Jetblue is incredibly cheap compared to the other airlines at the moment, stock is only at $17 at the moment. 

    This stock will be close to $30 by June fellas.....mark my words. My $10k will turn into $100k in a few months if it goes to $30.  
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    I just bought me a boatload of options contracts for JBLU for June strike price 19. Airlines are going to explode for another huge run this Spring when oil prices continue to tank in next few months. Jetblue is incredibly cheap compared to the other airlines at the moment, stock is only at $17 at the moment. 

    This stock will be close to $30 by June fellas.....mark my words. My $10k will turn into $100k in a few months if it goes to $30.  
     
    TheAnalyst1
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    Posted: Mar. 9, 2015 - 8:22 AM ET #2

    If stock goes to 30, I have the $10,000 investment going to $17,647. Please show me the math on this one
    Reply
    If stock goes to 30, I have the $10,000 investment going to $17,647. Please show me the math on this one
     
    TheInstigator77
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    Posted: Mar. 9, 2015 - 10:52 AM ET #3

    He bought the 19 calls at around.80 which means he paid 80 dollars for each contract..10 contracts is 800 and 100 contracts are 8000 bucks..meaning that if jet blue goes to 30 bucks by the 3rd Friday in June each contract is now worth 11bucks..so 80 is now 1100..800 is now 11000.00 and your 8000.00 is now 110000.00 .

    Options is all i trade up here..very volatile for sure but definitely a great trading situation for a daytrader like myself.

    Nice part is if it runs up before u can SELL at ANYTIME u like dont have to hang on till the end.
    Reply
    He bought the 19 calls at around.80 which means he paid 80 dollars for each contract..10 contracts is 800 and 100 contracts are 8000 bucks..meaning that if jet blue goes to 30 bucks by the 3rd Friday in June each contract is now worth 11bucks..so 80 is now 1100..800 is now 11000.00 and your 8000.00 is now 110000.00 .

    Options is all i trade up here..very volatile for sure but definitely a great trading situation for a daytrader like myself.

    Nice part is if it runs up before u can SELL at ANYTIME u like dont have to hang on till the end.
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Mar. 9, 2015 - 1:16 PM ET #4

    Out of the money options with 3 months to expire is a horrible decision, especially when it means a 20% move is needed to break even. An airline stock wont generally move 20% in 3 months outside a large event happening. 

    If you are buying out of the money options then you need more time, if you buy in the money options then time is not going to work against you in the same way.

    Good luck but I would not expect a 50% move in 3 months with an airline stock.


    Reply
    Out of the money options with 3 months to expire is a horrible decision, especially when it means a 20% move is needed to break even. An airline stock wont generally move 20% in 3 months outside a large event happening. 

    If you are buying out of the money options then you need more time, if you buy in the money options then time is not going to work against you in the same way.

    Good luck but I would not expect a 50% move in 3 months with an airline stock.


     
    CountCrisco
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    Posted: Mar. 9, 2015 - 1:52 PM ET #5

    Even if it goes up to $25, I'm fine with that. Profit about $50k. just watch, this stock will break out in April right before earnings. 
    Reply
    Even if it goes up to $25, I'm fine with that. Profit about $50k. just watch, this stock will break out in April right before earnings. 
     
    Dragon_Slayer
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    Posted: Mar. 10, 2015 - 11:52 PM ET #6

    Why don't you sell the June 16p (35 delta) instead of buying the June 19c (also 35 delta)?  Crude below $50 again has to be great for $JBLU.  I am not sure how much margin you have to have in your account to cover being short options and un hedged.  Just a thought

    #SellPremium 

    Also, if you really really like the June $JBLU, sell twice as many puts as you buy calls.  Put your trade on for a credit!
    Reply
    Why don't you sell the June 16p (35 delta) instead of buying the June 19c (also 35 delta)?  Crude below $50 again has to be great for $JBLU.  I am not sure how much margin you have to have in your account to cover being short options and un hedged.  Just a thought

    #SellPremium 

    Also, if you really really like the June $JBLU, sell twice as many puts as you buy calls.  Put your trade on for a credit!
     
    CountCrisco
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    Posted: Mar. 11, 2015 - 9:54 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by Dragon_Slayer:

    Why don't you sell the June 16p (35 delta) instead of buying the June 19c (also 35 delta)?  Crude below $50 again has to be great for $JBLU.  I am not sure how much margin you have to have in your account to cover being short options and un hedged.  Just a thought

    #SellPremium 

    Also, if you really really like the June $JBLU, sell twice as many puts as you buy calls.  Put your trade on for a credit!

    That sounds like a good strategy. I just wanted to buy the options and let her rip without having to monitor it everyday and daytrading. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Dragon_Slayer:

    Why don't you sell the June 16p (35 delta) instead of buying the June 19c (also 35 delta)?  Crude below $50 again has to be great for $JBLU.  I am not sure how much margin you have to have in your account to cover being short options and un hedged.  Just a thought

    #SellPremium 

    Also, if you really really like the June $JBLU, sell twice as many puts as you buy calls.  Put your trade on for a credit!

    That sounds like a good strategy. I just wanted to buy the options and let her rip without having to monitor it everyday and daytrading. 
     
    CountCrisco
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    Posted: Mar. 11, 2015 - 9:57 PM ET #8

    Jetblue released February traffic today (which is normally the slowest due to cold season) but it still had an increase in traffic while the other major carriers had a decrease. This is a good sign for upcoming spring metrics. 
    Reply
    Jetblue released February traffic today (which is normally the slowest due to cold season) but it still had an increase in traffic while the other major carriers had a decrease. This is a good sign for upcoming spring metrics. 
     
    nick526
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    Posted: Mar. 12, 2015 - 12:41 AM ET #9

    what bouts Virgin America?
    Reply
    what bouts Virgin America?
     
    CountCrisco
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    Posted: Mar. 12, 2015 - 2:52 AM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by nick526:

    what bouts Virgin America?

    Virgin is a decent stock. I just like Jetblue's price currently and it's also got really nice volume. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by nick526:

    what bouts Virgin America?

    Virgin is a decent stock. I just like Jetblue's price currently and it's also got really nice volume. 
     
    Pipe-Light
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    Posted: Mar. 12, 2015 - 10:51 AM ET #11

    Another thread to trick you.... Unless you are experienced trader stay away. I am not...
    Reply
    Another thread to trick you.... Unless you are experienced trader stay away. I am not...
     
    CountCrisco
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    Posted: Mar. 12, 2015 - 2:29 PM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by Pipe-Light:

    Another thread to trick you.... Unless you are experienced trader stay away. I am not...

    You're silly, why would I need to trick you?? just trying to help and give some advice. 

    By the way, the stock is soaring today, as I mentioned yesterday about the February numbers, it had a definite affect on the stock. The stock just about it's 52 week high today. This is only the tip of the iceberg, more to come in April.  

    Buckle your seatbelt fellas..... 

    https://www.thestreet.com/story/13077485/1/jetblue-jblu-stock-soars-today-on-strong-february-traffic-results.html?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Pipe-Light:

    Another thread to trick you.... Unless you are experienced trader stay away. I am not...

    You're silly, why would I need to trick you?? just trying to help and give some advice. 

    By the way, the stock is soaring today, as I mentioned yesterday about the February numbers, it had a definite affect on the stock. The stock just about it's 52 week high today. This is only the tip of the iceberg, more to come in April.  

    Buckle your seatbelt fellas..... 

    https://www.thestreet.com/story/13077485/1/jetblue-jblu-stock-soars-today-on-strong-february-traffic-results.html?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO
     
    Dragon_Slayer
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    Posted: Mar. 12, 2015 - 5:24 PM ET #13

    Sell puts! I'm sure CL getting smoked will help too
    Reply
    Sell puts! I'm sure CL getting smoked will help too
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Mar. 12, 2015 - 6:37 PM ET #14

    Yeah but look at the options..

    The options went nowhere today, the June 19's are flat with the stock up nicely.. 

    When you buy out of the money options with little time, you will be absorbing the extra premium for another point before it starts to move.
    Reply
    Yeah but look at the options..

    The options went nowhere today, the June 19's are flat with the stock up nicely.. 

    When you buy out of the money options with little time, you will be absorbing the extra premium for another point before it starts to move.
     
    CountCrisco
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    Posted: Mar. 12, 2015 - 7:17 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:

    Yeah but look at the options..

    The options went nowhere today, the June 19's are flat with the stock up nicely.. 

    When you buy out of the money options with little time, you will be absorbing the extra premium for another point before it starts to move.

    Are you insane?? the options exploded today for the June 19's. Yesterday those contracts closed at .65 , today they last traded at $1.05 ....an increase of over 65% in one day. 

    You must be looking at the wrong charts dude. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:

    Yeah but look at the options..

    The options went nowhere today, the June 19's are flat with the stock up nicely.. 

    When you buy out of the money options with little time, you will be absorbing the extra premium for another point before it starts to move.

    Are you insane?? the options exploded today for the June 19's. Yesterday those contracts closed at .65 , today they last traded at $1.05 ....an increase of over 65% in one day. 

    You must be looking at the wrong charts dude. 
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Mar. 12, 2015 - 7:43 PM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by CountCrisco:


    Are you insane?? the options exploded today for the June 19's. Yesterday those contracts closed at .65 , today they last traded at $1.05 ....an increase of over 65% in one day. 

    You must be looking at the wrong charts dude. 
     
    Uhmmm no I think you are looking at old quotes..

    From all my sources today was a flat day on those options.

    1.00 to 1.05 on those, I show flat on my brokerage source.

    Options will keep soaking up the premium you paid for another 1.50 or so...
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by CountCrisco:


    Are you insane?? the options exploded today for the June 19's. Yesterday those contracts closed at .65 , today they last traded at $1.05 ....an increase of over 65% in one day. 

    You must be looking at the wrong charts dude. 
     
    Uhmmm no I think you are looking at old quotes..

    From all my sources today was a flat day on those options.

    1.00 to 1.05 on those, I show flat on my brokerage source.

    Options will keep soaking up the premium you paid for another 1.50 or so...
     
    Dragon_Slayer
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    Posted: Mar. 13, 2015 - 3:58 PM ET #17

    $JBLU is unchanged on the day and 19c are 1.00 @ 1.10... Looks like call skew is up to me
    Reply
    $JBLU is unchanged on the day and 19c are 1.00 @ 1.10... Looks like call skew is up to me
     
    CountCrisco
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2015 - 11:02 AM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:

    Yeah but look at the options..

    The options went nowhere today, the June 19's are flat with the stock up nicely.. 

    When you buy out of the money options with little time, you will be absorbing the extra premium for another point before it starts to move.


    take a look at the options today......up a whopping 30%! 

    one thing about options, if the price of the stock goes up and it doesn't reflect in the options for a few days, a surge is inevitable due to the short squeeze and all the shorts covering their fools today. 

    we're almost at the strike price of $19 and I still have three months remaining.....told you fellas this stock is going to surge. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:

    Yeah but look at the options..

    The options went nowhere today, the June 19's are flat with the stock up nicely.. 

    When you buy out of the money options with little time, you will be absorbing the extra premium for another point before it starts to move.


    take a look at the options today......up a whopping 30%! 

    one thing about options, if the price of the stock goes up and it doesn't reflect in the options for a few days, a surge is inevitable due to the short squeeze and all the shorts covering their fools today. 

    we're almost at the strike price of $19 and I still have three months remaining.....told you fellas this stock is going to surge. 
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2015 - 12:47 PM ET #19

    The only issue I had (and have) is how you played the trade..not the potential of the stock.

    In order to see 30 oil would need to drop down into the 30s without any market drop all inside the next two months.

    The smarter trade is to go in the money and out longer in time. If you are looking for only long shot homerun plays, you wont be trading options very long.
    Reply
    The only issue I had (and have) is how you played the trade..not the potential of the stock.

    In order to see 30 oil would need to drop down into the 30s without any market drop all inside the next two months.

    The smarter trade is to go in the money and out longer in time. If you are looking for only long shot homerun plays, you wont be trading options very long.
     
    mIBMWATSON
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2015 - 2:20 PM ET #20

    Nice upgrade today!!
    Reply
    Nice upgrade today!!
     
     
    rvolpe21
    rvolpe21
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2013
    Posts: 193
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2015 - 10:13 PM ET #21

    is it to late to get in on that do you feel?
    Reply
    is it to late to get in on that do you feel?
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