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    All Forums | Investments

    July Forex

    123 Next Last»
    rick3117
    wallstreetcappers
    popinjay
    bucknuts
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    Search
    Views: 1597
    Posts: 62
    123 Next Last»
     
    rick3117
    rick3117
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    Posted: Jul. 2, 2009 - 3:11 PM ET #1

    Hey guys,  i/m on my honeymoon in the dominican republic and got away for a bit to check covers. 
     
    looks like the forex thread has been dead for a few days now.  
     
    I am about 3000 miles away from my charting software, but I thought I would pop in to say whats up. 
     
    hope you guys havent given up.  im going live again in about 3 weeks, and you guys are a big help.
     
     
     
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Hey guys,  i/m on my honeymoon in the dominican republic and got away for a bit to check covers. 
     
    looks like the forex thread has been dead for a few days now.  
     
    I am about 3000 miles away from my charting software, but I thought I would pop in to say whats up. 
     
    hope you guys havent given up.  im going live again in about 3 weeks, and you guys are a big help.
     
     
     
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jul. 2, 2009 - 8:47 PM ET #2

    Have a great time rick!

    I have been trading as usual but it has been dead and Ive just been keeping to myself.
    Reply
    Have a great time rick!

    I have been trading as usual but it has been dead and Ive just been keeping to myself.
     
    rick3117
    rick3117
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2009 - 6:54 PM ET #3

    short on eur/usd
    short term looking for a quick 30-50 pips

    anyone around
    ??
    Reply
    short on eur/usd
    short term looking for a quick 30-50 pips

    anyone around
    ??
     
    popinjay
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2009 - 10:03 PM ET #4

    nice rick, have a good time there.
     
    i was around most last week, busy near the end so didnt post much, but things should be back to normal now.
     
    have eur/usd being rejected by a resistnace on weekly, breaking through a support on daily and 4hr so im looking for it to come down also.  i have it riding the 61.8 fib level on the 4hr so im gonna see if it breaks down below before i go short
     
     
    Reply
    nice rick, have a good time there.
     
    i was around most last week, busy near the end so didnt post much, but things should be back to normal now.
     
    have eur/usd being rejected by a resistnace on weekly, breaking through a support on daily and 4hr so im looking for it to come down also.  i have it riding the 61.8 fib level on the 4hr so im gonna see if it breaks down below before i go short
     
     
     
    popinjay
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2009 - 10:05 PM ET #5

    i'm beat though so ill probably just wait and see how everything looks tomorrow!
    Reply
    i'm beat though so ill probably just wait and see how everything looks tomorrow!
     
    rick3117
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    Posted: Jul. 6, 2009 - 12:57 AM ET #6

    have to admit I got into this one a bit early,  (down about 36 pips right now)

    will wait til tomorrow (barring any breakouts)

    and hopefully it will start dropping a bit.  
    Reply
    have to admit I got into this one a bit early,  (down about 36 pips right now)

    will wait til tomorrow (barring any breakouts)

    and hopefully it will start dropping a bit.  
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jul. 6, 2009 - 8:55 AM ET #7

    rick,

    If you are short the EU you should be happy this morning.

    It dropped below 1.39 last night and opened at 1.396 or so..
    Reply
    rick,

    If you are short the EU you should be happy this morning.

    It dropped below 1.39 last night and opened at 1.396 or so..
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jul. 6, 2009 - 10:53 AM ET #8

    Comment..

    On a 4 hr and daily chart there are some serious oversold pairs-

    LB.US
    AU.US
    EU.US
    LB.Yen (23 RSI on a 4 hr chart)
    LB.CHF
    AU.Yen
    CHF.Yen (27 RSI)

    Funny thing though, I look at the why under these pair and I think that the US markets can go down more which means these can stay at a low RSI for a longer period of time and the DMI line formation wont happen as quickly, they might fake rally the contra-US pairs and then sell them off again.
    Reply
    Comment..

    On a 4 hr and daily chart there are some serious oversold pairs-

    LB.US
    AU.US
    EU.US
    LB.Yen (23 RSI on a 4 hr chart)
    LB.CHF
    AU.Yen
    CHF.Yen (27 RSI)

    Funny thing though, I look at the why under these pair and I think that the US markets can go down more which means these can stay at a low RSI for a longer period of time and the DMI line formation wont happen as quickly, they might fake rally the contra-US pairs and then sell them off again.
     
    popinjay
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    Posted: Jul. 6, 2009 - 11:21 AM ET #9

    looking as some of the us pairs, they seem to be rallying up to retest the supports they broke last night.  would like to short if they show a clear sell signal below these levels
    Reply
    looking as some of the us pairs, they seem to be rallying up to retest the supports they broke last night.  would like to short if they show a clear sell signal below these levels
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jul. 6, 2009 - 1:54 PM ET #10

    short LB.US at 1.625
    Reply
    short LB.US at 1.625
     
    rick3117
    rick3117
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    Posted: Jul. 6, 2009 - 11:04 PM ET #11

    USD/JPY Long @ 95.33

    Looks like it wants to break out,
    less than 80 pips from its recent low, 
    decent support @ 95.15 ish, 
    i will set my initial limit for   96.59

    stop @ 94.50 





    Reply
    USD/JPY Long @ 95.33

    Looks like it wants to break out,
    less than 80 pips from its recent low, 
    decent support @ 95.15 ish, 
    i will set my initial limit for   96.59

    stop @ 94.50 





     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jul. 6, 2009 - 11:26 PM ET #12

    rick,

    A 5 minute chart looks good, nice little trendline starting, but man the pair has been acting like crap lately.

    All the contra YEN pairs have been hammered-

    EU.Y down 350 pips the last week
    US.Y down about 150 or so
    LB.Y down over 400 pips (was down 150 more earlier today)
    CD.Y down 800 pips since early June
    AU.Y down 200 (was down 300 before the bounce today)
    CHF.Y about the same..

    I dont get it either..I havent seen news about the YEN to make me think it is deserving of this huge move, maybe it is that they arent stuck like Europe and the US in regards to this financial mess..I dunno.

    All Yen pairs are in bear trends for sure..
    Reply
    rick,

    A 5 minute chart looks good, nice little trendline starting, but man the pair has been acting like crap lately.

    All the contra YEN pairs have been hammered-

    EU.Y down 350 pips the last week
    US.Y down about 150 or so
    LB.Y down over 400 pips (was down 150 more earlier today)
    CD.Y down 800 pips since early June
    AU.Y down 200 (was down 300 before the bounce today)
    CHF.Y about the same..

    I dont get it either..I havent seen news about the YEN to make me think it is deserving of this huge move, maybe it is that they arent stuck like Europe and the US in regards to this financial mess..I dunno.

    All Yen pairs are in bear trends for sure..
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2009 - 10:49 AM ET #13

    Out of short at 1.6187

    Looking for a long at 1.6160
    Reply
    Out of short at 1.6187

    Looking for a long at 1.6160
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2009 - 12:53 PM ET #14

    nibbled at 1.612, adding to earlier position.
    Reply
    nibbled at 1.612, adding to earlier position.
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jul. 8, 2009 - 12:12 PM ET #15

    The YEN is on fire..amazing across the board.

    I tried to nab a LB.Yen at 147.50 but missed.

    I dont think I have seen such severe oversold charts on a 4 hour and day in a very long time..maybe ever?
    Reply
    The YEN is on fire..amazing across the board.

    I tried to nab a LB.Yen at 147.50 but missed.

    I dont think I have seen such severe oversold charts on a 4 hour and day in a very long time..maybe ever?
     
    rick3117
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    Posted: Jul. 8, 2009 - 10:07 PM ET #16

    I am wondering if it has anything to do with those elections we heard about a few weeks ago??

    I saw the numbers today and could not believe it. (couldn't act because i am out in the boondocks for Annual Training) actually using the battalion's internet access to post on a gambling forum,  hope they don't mind.

    76 was the prediction

    a few more days like today, and ill believe it.
    Reply
    I am wondering if it has anything to do with those elections we heard about a few weeks ago??

    I saw the numbers today and could not believe it. (couldn't act because i am out in the boondocks for Annual Training) actually using the battalion's internet access to post on a gambling forum,  hope they don't mind.

    76 was the prediction

    a few more days like today, and ill believe it.
     
    bucknuts
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    Posted: Jul. 9, 2009 - 5:09 PM ET #17

    Whats up guys havent been home much here last few weeks.....i think ive made 5 trades in 3 weeks but im ready to get back into it here....got to work tonight but have Fri off
     
    Rick @ Wall you guys talking about JPY getting down to 76.....this was being talked about back in Jan/Feb b4 the push back to 90....i guess its got to touch 76 to complete a pattern 15+ yrs in the making....
     
    Looks like we have had some crosses going through at midnight last few days,of course ill be at work....i dont see anything i like at all right now
    Reply
    Whats up guys havent been home much here last few weeks.....i think ive made 5 trades in 3 weeks but im ready to get back into it here....got to work tonight but have Fri off
     
    Rick @ Wall you guys talking about JPY getting down to 76.....this was being talked about back in Jan/Feb b4 the push back to 90....i guess its got to touch 76 to complete a pattern 15+ yrs in the making....
     
    Looks like we have had some crosses going through at midnight last few days,of course ill be at work....i dont see anything i like at all right now
     
    bucknuts
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    Posted: Jul. 14, 2009 - 8:06 PM ET #18

    Couldnt get in here Sunday didnt trade yesterday.....going to take a shot on Cad here got a bottom bottom....2 lots at 1.1337
    Reply
    Couldnt get in here Sunday didnt trade yesterday.....going to take a shot on Cad here got a bottom bottom....2 lots at 1.1337
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jul. 14, 2009 - 8:42 PM ET #19

    buck,

    The way the market has been trading is totally in step with the US and equity markets, weakness means USD strength, strength means weakness.

    Support and resistance are being hit so fast there is no testing or filling or range trading on the majors.

    A good example is the LB.US, since the 8th it went from 1.60 to 1.63 to 1.605 to 1.63 again..thats 900 pips in 5 trading sessions.

    The LB.Yen has clocked 1400 pips in that same time.

    Relying on trend change so quickly is just plain crazy.
    Reply
    buck,

    The way the market has been trading is totally in step with the US and equity markets, weakness means USD strength, strength means weakness.

    Support and resistance are being hit so fast there is no testing or filling or range trading on the majors.

    A good example is the LB.US, since the 8th it went from 1.60 to 1.63 to 1.605 to 1.63 again..thats 900 pips in 5 trading sessions.

    The LB.Yen has clocked 1400 pips in that same time.

    Relying on trend change so quickly is just plain crazy.
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2009 - 12:54 PM ET #20

    Some serious overbought/oversold scenarios out there..this ramp in three days is just crazy.
    Reply
    Some serious overbought/oversold scenarios out there..this ramp in three days is just crazy.
     
    popinjay
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2009 - 2:04 PM ET #21

    howdy fellas.. im short right now gbp/usd with the stop loss just above the highs at 1.6470
    Reply
    howdy fellas.. im short right now gbp/usd with the stop loss just above the highs at 1.6470
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2009 - 2:13 PM ET #22

    pop,

    Good luck..thats a tight tight stop.

    The higher low, higher highs since the 8th are worrysome, and I think they move the markets into the close to be right here which makes that stop possible to hit.


    Reply
    pop,

    Good luck..thats a tight tight stop.

    The higher low, higher highs since the 8th are worrysome, and I think they move the markets into the close to be right here which makes that stop possible to hit.


     
    popinjay
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2009 - 2:52 PM ET #23

    definitely a scary one with those higher highs, but i feel it fits how i've been trading so i'm ok with it.  if it hits the stop, no problem.
     
    there is this saucer and handle pattern i've seen mentioned with this pair.  the formation has been takign place for the past couple months, and if it can break above ~1.66 then it should go up quite fast according to this pattern
    Reply
    definitely a scary one with those higher highs, but i feel it fits how i've been trading so i'm ok with it.  if it hits the stop, no problem.
     
    there is this saucer and handle pattern i've seen mentioned with this pair.  the formation has been takign place for the past couple months, and if it can break above ~1.66 then it should go up quite fast according to this pattern
     
    wallstreetcappers
    wallstreetcappers
    Covers Linesmen
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2003
    Posts: 58464
    Posted: Jul. 15, 2009 - 3:04 PM ET #24

    Check that pair and the 50 day moving average on a day chart.

    Sucker riding it since it broke up through it on March 30th.

    5 touches and off she goes since then.


    Reply
    Check that pair and the 50 day moving average on a day chart.

    Sucker riding it since it broke up through it on March 30th.

    5 touches and off she goes since then.


     
     
    bucknuts
    bucknuts
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2005
    Posts: 8951
    Posted: Jul. 15, 2009 - 6:25 PM ET #25

    Whats up guys.....not USD/CAD
     
    Getting pounded on that Cad trade...i have bought 2 more lots not dipping in again until i see something in the charts....i shoulda waited EUR @ CHF had a nice crosses just a few hrs after i jumped in CAD.....no biggie i can wait this one out
    Reply
    Whats up guys.....not USD/CAD
     
    Getting pounded on that Cad trade...i have bought 2 more lots not dipping in again until i see something in the charts....i shoulda waited EUR @ CHF had a nice crosses just a few hrs after i jumped in CAD.....no biggie i can wait this one out
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