I may be crazy...but I'm starting to feel a bottom is near...

no idea why, but yesterday afternoon watching cnbc/fox business with neil cavuto (who is great)

i dont think ive ever seen so much fear and strangely enough, as one of the lead bears on this board im actually starting to not feel so bearish

ill be looking for capitulation soon, something like 10b shares traded in a day...an drastic intraday V bottom and successful retest of those lows

i will buy one company, TGT. barring total system failure, TGT will double in 3 years following the capitulation

-am i crazy?
-anyone else not as bearish as they were a month ago?

At last report, the Man in the Bunker was getting optimistic.

 For myself, I cannot see it.But I do not need to spot a precise bottom.

 Anytime I feel the glimmer of optimism, I manage to spot an oaf like Hoyer, Frank or Pelosi, and realize that they are supposedly the ones charged with figuring out the very problem they helped create (and did not recognize months into the meltdown).

  I hope you are right.

 The only positive sign is falling oil prices.That is it.
And that is not enough.

maybe its confirmed...have some trader friends who are running screens on the widest held hedge fund owned stocks to find who will rebound the hardest when we do

also, next door (office) another resident bear is feeling a bit chipper today as well

strange times

I think that roughly 7900 was the bottom

i lived this 8 years ago with the nasdaq...margin call selling begat more margin call selling and so on

some day it will end...then we will have massive buying by longs forcing shorts to cover and push up 10-15% in 1-2 days

no joke...its coming

d2 - a bottom is not a number...its a feeling, or someone willing to stick their head out from the sand and not have it chopped off in 30 minutes

others will follow

To me the bottom might be if they sell this market down again to the lows today, open it sharply lower and run it positive.

Or today if they run it positive after being down almost 700.

agreed rink...the trend is down

no bottom yet, but i rally is coming. i also expect hundreds of banks and companies to go under

get the bad capital out, consolidate and move forward