Posted:
#26
Truly hope the best for you OP. 
Turing 39 year old at end of month
Posted:
#29
Good thread.. Lots of honest confessions about failures which is not an easy thing to do imo.
Gambling is a vicious cycle that traps all of us some way or the other. What baffles me the most is bettors try to analyze a game with their own set of rules which is so funny to read most of the time. If Team A had a better offensive eff than team B, they will win, Last 4 meetings between them have gone over so this game has to be over, team A is due for win as they have lost last 4 and so on and so forth, the list goes on. Majority of us are clueless how the Line is set and how that number (THE LINE) is formulated. Bookies want us to believe "ADD HOME COURT ADVANTAGE TO POWER RATING DIFFERENTIAL OF THE HOME TEAM" and you have produced the LINE!!,EUREKA!!, which is what we believe and follow and end up losing in thousands if not millions.
I cannot stress enough that if you are clueless on how the LINE is formed, just quit this game right now as you can't fight an invisible enemy who is much more stronger than your imaginations. I am 53 and still learning the science of betting even after 12 years of madness I am involved with. I keep adding data and keep searching for new stat to sharpen my model but still can't be on top of this game. Recent find of FIC (Floor impact Counter) stat has made a big difference to my betting results and i'm focused to delve more into this aspect of my research.
If you wanna bet casual, play with your casual money. If you are serious then you have to have a Model or some kind of system. Bookies know very well that we all love to bet Favorite and Over and LINES are always manipulated keeping that LOVE in mind. Don't get trapped in those manipulations and search for that MAGIC NUMBER you can compare with bookies offered LINE. Not easy task but achievable with hard work and dedications if you have the WILLPOWER to win at this Battle.
KEEP TRYING AND KEEP GETTING BETTER!!
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