QB Problems

So I have 3 elite QBs heading into the first week of playoffs and I have no clue who to start. It's a ppp league with bonus points for 50+ yard TD passes now here's the problem...... Matt Ryan vs Carolina, Andrew Luck vs Tennessee or Tom Brady vs Houston. Who do I start?
Thanks for the help

Terrible problem to have, eh?

All 3 games are expecting some weather with Brady expecting to play in wet, gusty conditions. The other two games look similar: possible rain, but less wind.

Most rankings have Luck ranked higher than Brady and Ryan this week. Luck has performed well at home and the Titans have given up some good games to QB's and don't have an elite secondary or pass rush.

Texans have given up some big yardage to elite QB's this year and I am not convinced Johnathan Joseph will be 100% and will play the entire game, which hurts the Texans. Texans do have a good pass rush and Belichick may want to control the game via the run. If the weather was good, I think this game would be a shootout, and it still might be. 

Panthers are not an elite defense, but actually tend to keep the opposing QB to moderate games and have a decent secondary. Ryan had a real good game against them earlier this year, but that doesn't necessarily guarantee a good game this time - plus he's had some poor outings recently.

I have to decide between Ryan and Brady and am going with Brady. Good luck.

Thanks for the help. I believe all 3 of them will have good games. I'm just trying to figure out which one is gonna get that long td pass for the bonus points

Brady luck Ryan 

Has to be Brady

Has to be Brady

Thanks guys. I went with Brady

Forecast is calling for a little bit of rain but nothing that Mr. Bundchen can't handle.