The line is low due to what I call the "Spurrier effect". Many bettors will bet SC just thinking he will find the old magic, or unveil some secret trick plays. The difference now is SOS doesn't have the horses he has at Florida, and he is particularly lacking in offensive talent this year. No QB leader, and no breakaway backs. Despite a solid defense, UGA will blow this one open. I follow all CFB closely, but especially the SEC, this is one you should bet heavy for the following reasons:
1. Inept SC offense against a talented UGA defense will give the Dawgs good field position all day. Stafford, Moreno, and the best receivers UGA has ever had will move the ball from short field positions. SC's linebackers weigh 270 and 265, think they can handle Georgia's speedy backs, tight end, or slot receivers in coverage? Total mismatch. UGA is 8 for 8 in the red zone....all TDs, admittedly aginst weaker defenses. But they can beat you so many ways this year
2. SC's best receiver, Mckinley, left the Vandy game with a hamstring pull and will not be at full speed, if he plays at all. No deep threat in passing, and no breakaway threats at RB means UGA can crowd the line. SC will have under 200 yards offense unless they move it against Georgia's walkons late. SC's offensive line is almost as weak as the two QBs Spurrier is deciding between.
3. Revenge game for Georgia. The upset loss last year may have cost UGA a shot against Ohip State and they are embarassed about it. No way they overlook SC even after Vandy's win last Thursday night.
This series has traditionally been a low scoring, tight game because SC has so many Georgia HS players and they consider it a big game. That is another reason the line is understated. SC will lay it all out again as they try to save their year, but they are just outclassed on both sides of the ball. The only edge SC has (except home field) is with Succup as their kicker versus UGA's freshman playing his first road game, but that will not be nearly enough. Time of possession will wear the SC defense down as the game progresses I see this one: UGA 34 SC 10 with UGA's starters out in the 4th Qtr. getting ready for ASU in Tempe the next week..
The line is low due to what I call the "Spurrier effect". Many bettors will bet SC just thinking he will find the old magic, or unveil some secret trick plays. The difference now is SOS doesn't have the horses he has at Florida, and he is particularly lacking in offensive talent this year. No QB leader, and no breakaway backs. Despite a solid defense, UGA will blow this one open. I follow all CFB closely, but especially the SEC, this is one you should bet heavy for the following reasons:
1. Inept SC offense against a talented UGA defense will give the Dawgs good field position all day. Stafford, Moreno, and the best receivers UGA has ever had will move the ball from short field positions. SC's linebackers weigh 270 and 265, think they can handle Georgia's speedy backs, tight end, or slot receivers in coverage? Total mismatch. UGA is 8 for 8 in the red zone....all TDs, admittedly aginst weaker defenses. But they can beat you so many ways this year
2. SC's best receiver, Mckinley, left the Vandy game with a hamstring pull and will not be at full speed, if he plays at all. No deep threat in passing, and no breakaway threats at RB means UGA can crowd the line. SC will have under 200 yards offense unless they move it against Georgia's walkons late. SC's offensive line is almost as weak as the two QBs Spurrier is deciding between.
3. Revenge game for Georgia. The upset loss last year may have cost UGA a shot against Ohip State and they are embarassed about it. No way they overlook SC even after Vandy's win last Thursday night.
This series has traditionally been a low scoring, tight game because SC has so many Georgia HS players and they consider it a big game. That is another reason the line is understated. SC will lay it all out again as they try to save their year, but they are just outclassed on both sides of the ball. The only edge SC has (except home field) is with Succup as their kicker versus UGA's freshman playing his first road game, but that will not be nearly enough. Time of possession will wear the SC defense down as the game progresses I see this one: UGA 34 SC 10 with UGA's starters out in the 4th Qtr. getting ready for ASU in Tempe the next week..
Agree Sharp, in addition to the SOS effect, many bettors put a lot of emphasis on historical trends. I pay attention to those, but do not place as much priority on them as some. Could be close early, but SC defense will be spending a lot of time in the hot afternoon sun as the offense has many 3 and outs. I think the reason the line hasn't moved much is due to these reasons, not an objective analysis. The SC offensive line is terrible, even if you had a strong QB. Those two reasons, the loss of McKinley, and not having a breakaway back is too much for the defensice unit too overcome. 3 TDs+
Agree Sharp, in addition to the SOS effect, many bettors put a lot of emphasis on historical trends. I pay attention to those, but do not place as much priority on them as some. Could be close early, but SC defense will be spending a lot of time in the hot afternoon sun as the offense has many 3 and outs. I think the reason the line hasn't moved much is due to these reasons, not an objective analysis. The SC offensive line is terrible, even if you had a strong QB. Those two reasons, the loss of McKinley, and not having a breakaway back is too much for the defensice unit too overcome. 3 TDs+
i agree with Sharp about this line... too many people reading into it... i think Vegas expects a lot of wise guys to be on SC as an SEC home dog... its usually a good spot... so don't read too much more than that into the line... SC did knock off Georgia last year afterall...
i agree with Sharp about this line... too many people reading into it... i think Vegas expects a lot of wise guys to be on SC as an SEC home dog... its usually a good spot... so don't read too much more than that into the line... SC did knock off Georgia last year afterall...
Freak, good that you can put aside your obvious dislike for UGA and see this game as the strong play it is. Bad for bettors to get too emotionally involved in their picks. That said, you are ignoring the indisputable facts about UGA's record. Even if your stomach is turning you certainly must see that Georgia has averaged over ten wins per year under Richt (including just 8 his first season), and finished in the Top 10 five of the last six years. That hardly qualifies as not living up to the hype, or underachieving.
And you can get used to it again next year as they return about 18 starters, plus get the two starting tackles back they lost earlier this season to injuries. You may not like it, but they have a better chance next season to win the SEC, even if Moreno goes pro early, as the schedule is slightly easier with home advantage against Auburn, LSU, ASU, and SC. Good luck to the Cats, the defense looks pretty solid this season. To state it again, Dawgs roll by 3 TDs+ on Saturday.
Freak, good that you can put aside your obvious dislike for UGA and see this game as the strong play it is. Bad for bettors to get too emotionally involved in their picks. That said, you are ignoring the indisputable facts about UGA's record. Even if your stomach is turning you certainly must see that Georgia has averaged over ten wins per year under Richt (including just 8 his first season), and finished in the Top 10 five of the last six years. That hardly qualifies as not living up to the hype, or underachieving.
And you can get used to it again next year as they return about 18 starters, plus get the two starting tackles back they lost earlier this season to injuries. You may not like it, but they have a better chance next season to win the SEC, even if Moreno goes pro early, as the schedule is slightly easier with home advantage against Auburn, LSU, ASU, and SC. Good luck to the Cats, the defense looks pretty solid this season. To state it again, Dawgs roll by 3 TDs+ on Saturday.

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