week 3

16-8-2 season to date.

My Gophers took it on the chin....looking like another 7-5 season for them.

Ohio State snatched defeat from the jaws of victory...one of those inexplicable defeats that every sports gambler experiences.

On the other hand, we got two fortunate victories when both Central and South Florida got very late touchdowns to cover in one instance and win/cover in another.....we're very grateful for those.....

If one can win 55% of those either/or results, you've got a chance on having a good betting season.

Plays:

1)  SMU +2

2)  North Texas +3

3)  East Carolina +3

4)  North Carolina State +3'

5)  Duke -9'

6)  Colorado +3' 

Good luck Indigo.  

Best wishes this week. 

Love your picks BOL

Virginia, Pittsburgh and Texas Tech fall into a very favorable situation......BUT, Virginia's game with West Virginia is at evidently at a neutral site, which lessens their success rate signficantly....I am not playing them.  

Pittsburgh and and Texas Tech are playing non-Saturday games, which hasn't translated into point spread success.  I am not playing either.

SMU is involved in a game between two ranked opponents, those games have typically favored the home team, so I AM CANCELLING SMU.  

According to VSIN, 99% of the money is on NC State and for that reason I AM CANCELLING MY NC STATE PLAY.

Updated plays:

Plays:

1)  North Texas +3

2)  East Carolina +3

3)  Duke -9'

4)  Colorado +3' 

5)  Nevada -3'.....Nevada is in a good situation and has revenge for a home loss last season.

6)  Coastal Carolina +4'

North Carolina State +3'.......CANCELLED

SMU +2.......CANCELLED

a)  Teams in a sequence of home favorite win, away favorite loss and then home non-con favorites of over 10 points have gone 37-13 ATS, covering by an average of over 7 points/game, and 50-0 straight up, winning by an average of 30 points/game in September.....two teams qualify this week,....Oregon and Oklahoma

Query text.....pp:HFW and p:AFL and HF and month=9 and line<-10 and not C 

Plays:

Adding....

7)  Florida -2'

________________________

6)  North Texas +3

5)  East Carolina +3

4)  Colorado +3'

3)  Nevada -3'

2)  Duke -9'

1)  Coastal Carolina +4'

With you on Duke. Might play it myself! BOL Indigo! 

3-4 day.....19-12 season-to-date

North Texas has no defense.

Florida looked awesome on offense with a great running attack......they'll be in play as underdogs this season.

Stanford looked slow and vanilla.

ACC and B12 look exactly alike,...interesting games, lots of O...should be underdog leagues when conference games kick in.

The Big 10 continues to be the most boring conference to watch.

Fades....Clemson, Texas, Kansas, Minnesota, Vandy, Nevada, Wyoming, Alabama as favorites, Florida State, Stanford.

Play on.....Florida, James Madison, Duke, North Carolina, UCLA, NDSU, New Mexico, West Virginia, 

Teams that are favorites that will be underdogs their next two games.....Arkansas, Baylor, Georgia State, Kentucky, Mississippi State, Oregon State (maybe),....cover 42% of the time.

, 

Underdogs that will be favored their next two games......Western Michigan, Illinois, Tennessee.....covers around 60% of the time as underdogs of less than 13 points.