week 2

10-4-2 season-to-date

1)  A favorite of less than 13 points in September that will be an underdog their next two games.......492-711-30 ATS (-2.7), 40.9%....average line -5.83, average score...26.1-22.9......VERSUS Kennesaw State, UAB, Wake Forest, Northwestern

I am using Massey's power ratings and using 2.5 points for home field.

Query text.....F and line > -13 and n:D and nn:D and month=9 

2)  A September underdog of less than 13 points who will be a favorite their next two games.....791-504-23 ATS (+2.9), 61.1%...average line....+5.53, average score....23.7-26.4.......ON AZ, FAU, Duke, Georgia Tech, North Dakota State, Ohio State (if an underdog), USF

Query text........D and line<13 and n:F and nn:F and month=9 

Play:  

a)  Ohio State pik

FBS away teams with a line between -4 and +4, who will be at least 20 point favorites their next two games have gone 32-14 ATS, including 15-8 ATS in September, covering by an average of 6.46 points/game......ON Buckeyes

@Indigo999

 You almost cleared the board last week plays 

Good luck.

@Indigo999

 Buckeyes 

A couple of updates.....the North Dakota Bison are now favorites, after originally projected to be underdogs versus Air Force.  

Away favorites of less than 10 points in September that will be favored their next two games with less rush attempts in that game have only gone 57-112-2 ATS, 33.7%.

I like NDSU, however the data in this matchup will get me off of the Bison.

Preseason line projections had Georgia Tech as 8 point home dogs to Tennessee.....after their game one performance, they are now 13.5 point underdogs instead.  That falls outside of the line parameters I like to use, so I won't consider them as a possible team to back.

Michigan has strong indicators on them this week versus the Sooners....will weigh up if I have the stomach to take the Wolverines....teams at home after a game that they should have lost tend to underperform.

Play:

b)  Arizona +7'.....Arizona falls into my strongest parameters that has averaged covering the pointspread by over 4 points/game over the past 30 years.  I like fading teams that have lost a championship the season before.....BYU lost the  B12 title game to Texas Tech last season.

Plays:

a)  Ohio State pik 

b)  Arizona +7' 

c)  South Florida +3'

d)  UCLA -11'

e)  Michigan +5'....yes, sure, this one can come back to bite me, but home dogs with these particular parameters have had a  hit rate of 70% in the past.

f)  North Dakota State -3'

g)  Memphis +7'

h)  Georgia State +9' 

may have some totals later in the week

I am overseas and have limited action at normal prices....if someone has an online or bitcoin book they can recommend let me know.

Good luck sir! 

Wish you continued success

SBG Global might work for you. I've used them for over 20 years with no problem. Bitcoin payouts.

Thanks for your work!

RT2

https://www.sbgglobal.eu

@Indigo999

   Best of Luck bro....

Bought out of UCLA and Georgia State plays....

Plays:

a)  Ohio State pik 

b)  Arizona +7' 

c)  South Florida +3'

e)  Michigan +5'

f)  North Dakota State -3'

g)  Memphis +7'

Adding 

i)  ULM +10

h)  Georgia State +9' .....CANCELLED

d)  UCLA -11'......CANCELLED

Good luck Indigo.  

Plays:

a)  Ohio State pik 

b)  Arizona +7' 

c)  South Florida +3'

e)  Michigan +5'

f)  North Dakota State -3'

g)  Memphis +7'

i)  ULM +10

Adding:

j)  Central Florida +7

k)  Central Florida UNDER 57'

h)  Georgia State +9' .....CANCELLED

d)  UCLA -11'......CANCELLED

3)  An underdog in weeks 0, 1 or 2, playing in game number 1 or 2 only,  who won less than 6 games last season (only away or neutral site underdogs, NOT a home underdog) of less than 13 points, since 2015......136-87-7 ATS (+1.9) 61.3%, 75-147-2 o/u (-4.7), 33.8%.....if the team in question is playing in their second game, they've won around 45% of the time straight up.....which includes ULM (won four games last season) and UCF (won five last year).

Plays

Adding:

l)  Rutgers .5 unit moneyline +125, -5 unit +3

______________________

a)  Ohio State pik 

b)  Arizona +7' 

c)  South Florida +3'

e)  Michigan +5'

f)  North Dakota State -3'

g)  Memphis +7'

i)  ULM +10

j)  Central Florida +7

k)  Central Florida UNDER 57'

Good luck on Rutgers I agree on them 

I have not finalized my plays yet

Should be a good week for dogs.  Favorites dominated last week

Adding:

l)  Rutgers .5 unit moneyline +125, -5 unit +3........loser......the Rutgers qb kept throwing the ball to the wrong team.

______________________

a)  Ohio State pik 

b)  Arizona +7' 

c)  South Florida +3'........................winner.....scores on 4th and 6 on 4th down with less than a minute left

e)  Michigan +5'..............................winner

f)  North Dakota State -3'

g)  Memphis +7'

i)  ULM +10

j)  Central Florida +7

k)  Central Florida UNDER 57'

Looks tasty so far 

Looking strong!

a)  Ohio State pik...........................loser, that one hurt.

b)  Arizona +7' ..............................loser

c)  South Florida +3'........................winner.....scores on 4th and 6 on 4th down with less than a minute left

e)  Michigan +5'..............................winner

f)  North Dakota State -3'

g)  Memphis +7'...........................loser

i)  ULM +10.................................winner

j)  Central Florida +7....................winner

k)  Central Florida UNDER 57'........winner

If NDSU hangs on, it'll be a 6-4 week in college football, putting me at 16-8-2 on the season.