I try to post my plays Friday night under the heading "FREAK PICS." I wasn't able to do so last week, and of course I had a sick weekend. I just hope to keep the account heading in the right direction this weekend.
I try to post my plays Friday night under the heading "FREAK PICS." I wasn't able to do so last week, and of course I had a sick weekend. I just hope to keep the account heading in the right direction this weekend.
I always laugh when I hear that statement about the linesmakers being good. Yes, they set the lines well and generate decent action, but they don't care-in most cases-who wins, and definitely don't know who is going to win. Setting lines has nothing to do with picking winners at a high percentage, it's just power rankings and a little overall perception thrown in and a little adjusting from there. I can sit down on a Sunday night and hit every pro line exactly or within a half point for the following week and it has nothing to do with predicting the winners. Many here can do the same, it's not that tough for anybody that's been around football for any time at all. Maybe people that can do it are a little better at handicapping winners, but it's really not anything special and neither are the guys that set the lines. Whie it isn't easy, sports betting is by far the easiest thing in Vegas (or wherever) to beat and is a better return on investment than the stock market in my opinion.
I wouldn't agree that sports betting is a better return on investment than the stock market but I would have to agree that sports betting is by far the easiest thing in Vegas to beat if you do it the correct way.
My reason is when you hit the black jack table, it's 50/50 with the house having a bit more mental advantage because they have more money than you do. They don't care about busting or if they loose to you, they can get it back from other Joe. But in sports betting, they actually show you what they have via the spread and/or total. It's your job to look at it, digest it, study it or do whatever ritual you normally to cap the game and make a bet. You see it forehand the lines for a week, you can look at it from whatever angle you want and make your selection. I think that alone would give a bettor his/her the edge. Of course it's also very difficult to come out a winner because sometimes people over analyze the match up or letting different perspectives to mess up their mind. Remember, each game there is 12 different ways to bet from 1st half, 2nd half and game. Just pick one, don't have to try to win all 12 ways or better yet, you have the option to skip it and move on to the next one. In black jack, you will have to surrender half of your money after you see your cards.
I always laugh when I hear that statement about the linesmakers being good. Yes, they set the lines well and generate decent action, but they don't care-in most cases-who wins, and definitely don't know who is going to win. Setting lines has nothing to do with picking winners at a high percentage, it's just power rankings and a little overall perception thrown in and a little adjusting from there. I can sit down on a Sunday night and hit every pro line exactly or within a half point for the following week and it has nothing to do with predicting the winners. Many here can do the same, it's not that tough for anybody that's been around football for any time at all. Maybe people that can do it are a little better at handicapping winners, but it's really not anything special and neither are the guys that set the lines. Whie it isn't easy, sports betting is by far the easiest thing in Vegas (or wherever) to beat and is a better return on investment than the stock market in my opinion.
I wouldn't agree that sports betting is a better return on investment than the stock market but I would have to agree that sports betting is by far the easiest thing in Vegas to beat if you do it the correct way.
My reason is when you hit the black jack table, it's 50/50 with the house having a bit more mental advantage because they have more money than you do. They don't care about busting or if they loose to you, they can get it back from other Joe. But in sports betting, they actually show you what they have via the spread and/or total. It's your job to look at it, digest it, study it or do whatever ritual you normally to cap the game and make a bet. You see it forehand the lines for a week, you can look at it from whatever angle you want and make your selection. I think that alone would give a bettor his/her the edge. Of course it's also very difficult to come out a winner because sometimes people over analyze the match up or letting different perspectives to mess up their mind. Remember, each game there is 12 different ways to bet from 1st half, 2nd half and game. Just pick one, don't have to try to win all 12 ways or better yet, you have the option to skip it and move on to the next one. In black jack, you will have to surrender half of your money after you see your cards.
west to east in the baylor game.. i think baylor is a run only team, can't really pass.. uconn shuts down the run (which they're already good at), thats ball game
west to east in the baylor game.. i think baylor is a run only team, can't really pass.. uconn shuts down the run (which they're already good at), thats ball game
I wouldn't agree that sports betting is a better return on investment than the stock market but I would have to agree that sports betting is by far the easiest thing in Vegas to beat if you do it the correct way.
My reason is when you hit the black jack table, it's 50/50 with the house having a bit more mental advantage because they have more money than you do. They don't care about busting or if they loose to you, they can get it back from other Joe. But in sports betting, they actually show you what they have via the spread and/or total. It's your job to look at it, digest it, study it or do whatever ritual you normally to cap the game and make a bet. You see it forehand the lines for a week, you can look at it from whatever angle you want and make your selection. I think that alone would give a bettor his/her the edge. Of course it's also very difficult to come out a winner because sometimes people over analyze the match up or letting different perspectives to mess up their mind. Remember, each game there is 12 different ways to bet from 1st half, 2nd half and game. Just pick one, don't have to try to win all 12 ways or better yet, you have the option to skip it and move on to the next one. In black jack, you will have to surrender half of your money after you see your cards.
Wish is could surrender when Louisville was up by 3 TD's.
I wouldn't agree that sports betting is a better return on investment than the stock market but I would have to agree that sports betting is by far the easiest thing in Vegas to beat if you do it the correct way.
My reason is when you hit the black jack table, it's 50/50 with the house having a bit more mental advantage because they have more money than you do. They don't care about busting or if they loose to you, they can get it back from other Joe. But in sports betting, they actually show you what they have via the spread and/or total. It's your job to look at it, digest it, study it or do whatever ritual you normally to cap the game and make a bet. You see it forehand the lines for a week, you can look at it from whatever angle you want and make your selection. I think that alone would give a bettor his/her the edge. Of course it's also very difficult to come out a winner because sometimes people over analyze the match up or letting different perspectives to mess up their mind. Remember, each game there is 12 different ways to bet from 1st half, 2nd half and game. Just pick one, don't have to try to win all 12 ways or better yet, you have the option to skip it and move on to the next one. In black jack, you will have to surrender half of your money after you see your cards.
Wish is could surrender when Louisville was up by 3 TD's.
Wish is could surrender when Louisville was up by 3 TD's.
You could have surrendered some and hedge out at halftime when they were down by 7...
Oahu,
Baylor is a decent passing team but only against soft defense like Washington St. Saw how they passed all over Washington ST at home. U Conn is a good team at home with that D so I expect U Conn to win this one easily but as of now, it's a no play for me. The reason is we have 2 dogs winning it SU already, the 3rd one is tomorrow night. We have the home team clearly the better team, playing at home under the light, and "should" cover easily. But I'm concerned that people are chasing the favorite to cover at least 1 game wil keep pounding it and that's not something I want to be on the same side with. May be I'll just take a break and wait till halfitme or better yet, wait till Sat morning.
Wish is could surrender when Louisville was up by 3 TD's.
You could have surrendered some and hedge out at halftime when they were down by 7...
Oahu,
Baylor is a decent passing team but only against soft defense like Washington St. Saw how they passed all over Washington ST at home. U Conn is a good team at home with that D so I expect U Conn to win this one easily but as of now, it's a no play for me. The reason is we have 2 dogs winning it SU already, the 3rd one is tomorrow night. We have the home team clearly the better team, playing at home under the light, and "should" cover easily. But I'm concerned that people are chasing the favorite to cover at least 1 game wil keep pounding it and that's not something I want to be on the same side with. May be I'll just take a break and wait till halfitme or better yet, wait till Sat morning.
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