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    All Forums | College Football

    Saturday - Cappers Paradise

    shibbets
    Joe-boy
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    shibbets
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    Posted: Nov. 23, 2019 - 11:56 AM ET #1

    Northwestern  +16 -110 <1 unit>

    Tanner Morgan is playing and the line has jumped big time. Minnesota off a loss but is your head in it this week? You just lost your chance in the playoffs and now have to GET UP for Northwestern? I think they sneak by with a win today and then get up and beat wisconsin next week then will face OSU in the conference championship game. These kids are sad, pissed off, thinking no chance for the playoffs, embarrassed, DREAMS CRUSHED. Tanner Morgan was on concussion protocol, they may take it easy to save him for the last two games here. They can not afford losing him with Wisconsin and potential OSU coming up. 

     

    Northwestern’s offense has been slowly picking it up the last 2 weeks. We understand their passing offense is horrendous, but they can run the ball and play defense. Their schedule has been tough this year and they have had numerous injuries, but today this will be their last home game vs a ranked team and we believe the defense will get up for this game. If Northwestern can get to 10-15 points, we believe they cover the spread. This defense held Wisconsin to 24, MSU to 31, Nebraska to 13, Iowa to 20 and Purdue to 24. They know how to show up. NW has won 3 of their last 4 vs Minnesota, we dont believe they will win this time around with all their flaws, but this defense is battle tested and should be able to keep it close. It won't be an easy one here guys, this will be ugly, and the back door should be open. Lets go! Good luck!

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    Northwestern  +16 -110 <1 unit>

    Tanner Morgan is playing and the line has jumped big time. Minnesota off a loss but is your head in it this week? You just lost your chance in the playoffs and now have to GET UP for Northwestern? I think they sneak by with a win today and then get up and beat wisconsin next week then will face OSU in the conference championship game. These kids are sad, pissed off, thinking no chance for the playoffs, embarrassed, DREAMS CRUSHED. Tanner Morgan was on concussion protocol, they may take it easy to save him for the last two games here. They can not afford losing him with Wisconsin and potential OSU coming up. 

     

    Northwestern’s offense has been slowly picking it up the last 2 weeks. We understand their passing offense is horrendous, but they can run the ball and play defense. Their schedule has been tough this year and they have had numerous injuries, but today this will be their last home game vs a ranked team and we believe the defense will get up for this game. If Northwestern can get to 10-15 points, we believe they cover the spread. This defense held Wisconsin to 24, MSU to 31, Nebraska to 13, Iowa to 20 and Purdue to 24. They know how to show up. NW has won 3 of their last 4 vs Minnesota, we dont believe they will win this time around with all their flaws, but this defense is battle tested and should be able to keep it close. It won't be an easy one here guys, this will be ugly, and the back door should be open. Lets go! Good luck!

     
    shibbets
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    Posted: Nov. 23, 2019 - 2:17 PM ET #2

    Navy -3 -110 <3 units>

    Here we go. Cappers, why are you taking Navy here? They just got trounced by Notre dame, they don't look good. SMU just dropped 59 to East Carolina, how is Navy going to stop them? Lets dig in.

     

    SMU does not have a defense like Notre Dame. They gave up 51 points to ECU, the highest point total for ECU this season. Before that, they gave up 54 to Memphis. Their defense has been regressing, so Navy should be able to matriculate on this defense today. Both SMU and Navy have solid offenses, sitting at the top of the AAC. Buechele is a solid QB with 28 passing touchdowns and leads the 6th most potent offense in the league. However, before last week, Navy’s defense was sitting in the top 20 in both points and yards allowed. They are looking to bounce back today, and Vegas has them favored over a ranked SMU team who has 2 weeks to prepare for this game, why? Navy was just ranked last week and lost their ranking, embarrassed and upset with their loss, they should rebound today. Navy controls the ball well, ranking 14th in time of possession, which will put SMU’s potent offense on the side lines. Navy has a top 40 offense and 13th in scoring, and is going up against SMU’s 91st ranked defense and 103rd ranked scoring defense. This is why Navy is favored and it baffles us that 88% of the bet tickets are on SMU. Recency Bias is in full effect here, don’t fall for what happened last week. Navy is looking forward to this match up, they remember last year, SMU beat them 31-30 and was their first loss in their last 9. They have won 11 of 12 and won 8 straight vs SMU before last year, so revenge is on their minds today. We love Navy in this spot, take it for 3 units. LETS GO!

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    Navy -3 -110 <3 units>

    Here we go. Cappers, why are you taking Navy here? They just got trounced by Notre dame, they don't look good. SMU just dropped 59 to East Carolina, how is Navy going to stop them? Lets dig in.

     

    SMU does not have a defense like Notre Dame. They gave up 51 points to ECU, the highest point total for ECU this season. Before that, they gave up 54 to Memphis. Their defense has been regressing, so Navy should be able to matriculate on this defense today. Both SMU and Navy have solid offenses, sitting at the top of the AAC. Buechele is a solid QB with 28 passing touchdowns and leads the 6th most potent offense in the league. However, before last week, Navy’s defense was sitting in the top 20 in both points and yards allowed. They are looking to bounce back today, and Vegas has them favored over a ranked SMU team who has 2 weeks to prepare for this game, why? Navy was just ranked last week and lost their ranking, embarrassed and upset with their loss, they should rebound today. Navy controls the ball well, ranking 14th in time of possession, which will put SMU’s potent offense on the side lines. Navy has a top 40 offense and 13th in scoring, and is going up against SMU’s 91st ranked defense and 103rd ranked scoring defense. This is why Navy is favored and it baffles us that 88% of the bet tickets are on SMU. Recency Bias is in full effect here, don’t fall for what happened last week. Navy is looking forward to this match up, they remember last year, SMU beat them 31-30 and was their first loss in their last 9. They have won 11 of 12 and won 8 straight vs SMU before last year, so revenge is on their minds today. We love Navy in this spot, take it for 3 units. LETS GO!

     
    shibbets
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    Posted: Nov. 23, 2019 - 2:25 PM ET #3

    Baylor -4 -110 <1 unit> 

    Cappers, why Baylor? They just lost to Oklahoma while leading 28-3, how are they going to get up for this game? All Texas does is cover spreads as a dog under Herman, even last week vs Iowa st, why take Baylor? The funny thing is, Herman as a dog is just 3-3 ATS in their last 6, so that trend is slowly balancing. Lets dig in. 

    Texas is 15th in the nation in passing offense and 68th in rushing offense; 11th in the nation in scoring offense scoring just under 40 pts per game. With this being said, the total is only 57.5 which tells us Baylor is looking to bounce back after being up big against Oklahoma and blowing it in the 4th quarter.The Bears are 38th in passing offense, 44th in rushing offense; ranking 26th in scoring offense with just under 35 points per game.

     

    Texas may be good at passing the ball, but they have been shredded by the pass all year long. Brewer is going to tear up Texas today at home in a get right spot. Texas is letting opposing teams average over 300 yards passing per game this season. They have let 21 TDs  through the air take place this season. On the other end, Texas shouldnt be able to drive it down Baylor so easily. Baylor's starting D line has 15.5 sacks, which is more than what Texas has racked up in 10 games. The Bears have 33 sacks which lead the Big 12 and is one of the best against the run. This could be a bad match up for Texas, and sitting at 6-4 in a lost season, we dont believe Texas gets up today. Take the Bears for 1 unit today, lets go!

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    Baylor -4 -110 <1 unit> 

    Cappers, why Baylor? They just lost to Oklahoma while leading 28-3, how are they going to get up for this game? All Texas does is cover spreads as a dog under Herman, even last week vs Iowa st, why take Baylor? The funny thing is, Herman as a dog is just 3-3 ATS in their last 6, so that trend is slowly balancing. Lets dig in. 

    Texas is 15th in the nation in passing offense and 68th in rushing offense; 11th in the nation in scoring offense scoring just under 40 pts per game. With this being said, the total is only 57.5 which tells us Baylor is looking to bounce back after being up big against Oklahoma and blowing it in the 4th quarter.The Bears are 38th in passing offense, 44th in rushing offense; ranking 26th in scoring offense with just under 35 points per game.

     

    Texas may be good at passing the ball, but they have been shredded by the pass all year long. Brewer is going to tear up Texas today at home in a get right spot. Texas is letting opposing teams average over 300 yards passing per game this season. They have let 21 TDs  through the air take place this season. On the other end, Texas shouldnt be able to drive it down Baylor so easily. Baylor's starting D line has 15.5 sacks, which is more than what Texas has racked up in 10 games. The Bears have 33 sacks which lead the Big 12 and is one of the best against the run. This could be a bad match up for Texas, and sitting at 6-4 in a lost season, we dont believe Texas gets up today. Take the Bears for 1 unit today, lets go!

     
    Joe-boy
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    Posted: Nov. 23, 2019 - 3:20 PM ET #4

    Baylor
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    Baylor
     
    shibbets
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    Posted: Nov. 23, 2019 - 6:23 PM ET #5

    Fresno St. -13.5 -115 <2 units>

    This game is interesting… Nevada recently had a huge win in a big upset victory over an SDSU team that at the time was undefeated. SDSU was a 17 point favorite and lost outright.  How did SDSU follow up this loss? They beat a Fresno St. team that was within a fg spread. If Nevada beat SDSU SU, and SDSU beat Fresno St straight up one would think the spread would be relatively closer right? The books still don't respect Nevada. Why else would a 6-4 team be a 14 point dog to a 4-6 team? 

     

    Jorge Reyna isn't going up against SDSU's defense tonight and likely won't be having to deal with trying to overcome 3 interceptions. The fact that Nevada has won 2 straight and Fresno St has been struggling combined with a 13-14 point line is simply too much to ignore. Nevada is coming in off a bye, but defeating at the time #24 ranked SDSU was a huge high for Nevada and had some home cooking while they were off. We oftentimes have noticed that a bye week following up a huge win is usually not a good for teams. In addition, their WR Kalev Fossom just announced he is done playing and their backup QB withdrew from the football program this last Wednesday to move closer to his family. There are distractions taking place for Nevada. We dont believe Nevada comes to play tonight. This is the perfect bounce back blow out game for Fresno St. Nevada has been letting up over 32 points per game this season and their offense has been anemic, not scoring more than 21 in 5 of their last 6 games. Nevada locked up a bowl game and Fresno needs to win in fashion the rest of the way for bowl eligibility. Nevada doesn't have a pass rush at all, so Fresno should be able to matriculate drives here. The RLM is screaming at us going from 13 to 14 at many books with the market taking Nevada. Fresno is going to handle in this spot. Take them for 2 units. Lets go!

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    Fresno St. -13.5 -115 <2 units>

    This game is interesting… Nevada recently had a huge win in a big upset victory over an SDSU team that at the time was undefeated. SDSU was a 17 point favorite and lost outright.  How did SDSU follow up this loss? They beat a Fresno St. team that was within a fg spread. If Nevada beat SDSU SU, and SDSU beat Fresno St straight up one would think the spread would be relatively closer right? The books still don't respect Nevada. Why else would a 6-4 team be a 14 point dog to a 4-6 team? 

     

    Jorge Reyna isn't going up against SDSU's defense tonight and likely won't be having to deal with trying to overcome 3 interceptions. The fact that Nevada has won 2 straight and Fresno St has been struggling combined with a 13-14 point line is simply too much to ignore. Nevada is coming in off a bye, but defeating at the time #24 ranked SDSU was a huge high for Nevada and had some home cooking while they were off. We oftentimes have noticed that a bye week following up a huge win is usually not a good for teams. In addition, their WR Kalev Fossom just announced he is done playing and their backup QB withdrew from the football program this last Wednesday to move closer to his family. There are distractions taking place for Nevada. We dont believe Nevada comes to play tonight. This is the perfect bounce back blow out game for Fresno St. Nevada has been letting up over 32 points per game this season and their offense has been anemic, not scoring more than 21 in 5 of their last 6 games. Nevada locked up a bowl game and Fresno needs to win in fashion the rest of the way for bowl eligibility. Nevada doesn't have a pass rush at all, so Fresno should be able to matriculate drives here. The RLM is screaming at us going from 13 to 14 at many books with the market taking Nevada. Fresno is going to handle in this spot. Take them for 2 units. Lets go!

     
    SURFSUP
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    Posted: Nov. 23, 2019 - 11:23 PM ET #6

    How's Fresno State doing? 

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    How's Fresno State doing? 

     
     
    SURFSUP
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    Posted: Nov. 23, 2019 - 11:27 PM ET #7

    They should beat and cover vs Nevada

    Reply

    They should beat and cover vs Nevada

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