nostradamus week 10

lou, phark -

GC - yeah that's one way to look at it I guess, on the other hand WSU was outgained 551-319 against Oreg St on semi-home the week, played well against the ducks though...feel like Cal has pretty solid edge passing defense 8.5 yppa allowed by WSU vs 6.9 for Cal and had 194 yds against Cal in LY matchup at home, good to see WSU much improved over past few though, GL

buldawg - key is probably Ohio rushing defense since owls do there damage on the ground, pretty solid at 3.3 ypc allowed so should be fairly tight and might lean slightly to points if 3.5 or more, BOL

oahu - thanks bro, same to you BOL

NIU and over worked out pretty well plus small parlay not counted here with same...might as well throw it on another small degenerate teaser tonight...Ohio +10.5/u53.5 (0.35u)

considering reducing UGA and Tenn plays

I like the under 2nite Nos

UGA having every legit rb out might hurt

BOL this week Nos  

Nos,

I always check out your plays and usually follow most of them. I have to disagree with you on TX/TX Tech though. Tech was in a big letdown mode last week after their upset of OU. I know some people in Lubbock and the coaches saw it coming, but they are focused on this game. Tech was still high of their win and couldn't wait to play TX this week. This is usually not a blow out and TX has only beat Tech by more than 14 once in the past 5 years. TX is also very overated, as they haven't really played well against the 2 good teams on their sked so far. OU and OK St showed that you can throw on TX and Tech will do that all day. This will be a close game and i wouldn't be surprised to see Tech pull the upset. 

Just my thoughts, but don't but the TX hype. They are not that great.

HR, train, the1 - GL fellas

D147- yeah we'll stick with them...might reduce it some, probably not...looks like it will be Harton mostly and maybe mix in Smith or Boykins for a sweep once in awhile

crimson - appreciate it, no problem...Mich St 45-13, Nebraska 43-23, Houston 42-24, Arizona St 30-17, ND 33-20, Oregon 41-31, BOL

saint - thanks man, yeah anything is possible with that TT team, looks like its 14.5 some places now...pretty big swing from 9.5 earlier...almost makes you want to take a shot at the middle, we don't mess much with those though, GL

reducing Tenn to small wager 0.5u....too many unknowns with new QB....offset is at +20.5 so longshot at 20 for the middle, we're not that lucky though

adding

So Caro-Ark under 53 (0.75u)....like SC pass defense 135ypg to slow down Arky passing game...24-20

LSU +12/under 48.5 (teaser) (0.75u)...LSU not many DD losses over the years, should hang around...23-18

other small plays - MiaOH -14 (0.5), FSU-BC under 52.5/USC-14 (teaser) (0.5)

updated week 10

Oklahoma 13.5 (2.5u)
Oklahoma St -20.5 (2.5u)
Georgia -33.5 (1.5u)
Texas -9.5 (1.5u)
Cal -8.5 (1.25u)
Hawaii -4.5 (1.25u)
Arizona -3
Mizzou +1 (0.75u)
Oregon St +21 (0.75u)
Troy +7 (hook) (0.75u)
So Caro-Ark under 53 (0.75u)
LSU +12/under 48.5 (teaser) (0.75u)

others - Tenn -19.5 (0.5u), MiaOH -14 (0.5u), USC -14/FSU-BC u52.5 (0.5u), NIU +15/o60.5 (0.35u), Ohio +10.5/u53.5 (0.35u)

Nos,

Scared my Georgia Bulldawgs don't cover this much of a spread...gonna lay only half unit on them. Hope they do though. Liking Arkansas and Baylor. Still undecided over the big LSU/ALA game but lean to the under as well. Good luck this week!

Evil E

bustin - yeah went a little overboard there....not thinking it's high scoring so figured rare teaser might work...LSU always a favorite teaser team over the years...unfortunately they never catch pts now BOL BP hopefully VB agrees on a couple this week

riza, double - GL fellas

evil - yeah could be tough without a running back...maybe UGA airs i out for awhile...haven't laid this much wood with UGA since the opener against ULL a couple years ago, hopefully they can matchup here, BOL bud

reducing Troy wager to 0.5u....took shot with Proctor doubtful earlier...now probable so play not against strong imo, still like Troy to hang around against shaky middies passing defense...adding one more small play to wrap things up....Wake Forest under 21.5 (0.25u)...ND pass defense 6.3 yppa is pretty solid and WF offense slowing down past few weeks, time to check out some matchups for next week, GL all

final week 10

Oklahoma 13.5 (2.5u)
Oklahoma St -20.5 (2.5u)
Georgia -33.5 (1.5u)
Texas -9.5 (1.5u)
Cal -8.5 (1.25u)
Hawaii -4.5 (1.25u)
Arizona -3
Mizzou +1 (0.75u)
Oregon St +21 (0.75u)
So Caro-Arky under 53 (0.75u)
LSU +12/under 48.5 (teaser) (0.75u)

others - Tenn -19.5 (0.5), Troy +7 (0.5), MiaOH -14 (0.5u), USC -14/FSU-BC u52.5 (0.5), NIU +15/o60.5 (0.35), Ohio +10.5/u53.5 (0.35), Wake Forest u21.5 team (0.25).....towards W/L if net +/- 0.75