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NCAAF Week 9...

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Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:

What kind of system do you play?

Here are some guidelines that i like, but don't always follow to a T...

If a dog loses by more than 14 points plus the point spread or a favorite loses straight up by more than 10 points, they would be a play the next week. If a dog won straight up by more than 8 points or a favorite won by the point spread plus 14, they would be fade the next week.
 
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Posted: #27

Thanks for sharing this Sims...

So does that mean FIU would technically be the play tonight based on your system?

PS - GREAT call last night on Jax Sims. I had Balt with a teaser and a parlay. Needless to say, that shit really hurt. Hoping to get back on track as these past 2 weeks have been brutal.

GL and best of luck as always brother..

 

 
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Posted: #28
nope, if i'm not mistaken...troy was a 7 pt fav last game and lost by 28.  fiu was a 4 pt. dog and lost by 18, which is right on the border of a play.  troy is a much stronger play (according the system, which i only use as a guideline).
 
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Posted: #29
tuesday:

Troy +6.5 (-105) 2u
Troy (+235) 1u
 
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Posted: #30
Interesting take, Sims. Seems like those teams would have inherent line value after missing the previous spread by that much. Makes sense.
 
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Posted: #31

Thanks for your insight Sims...

Will be rolling with you tonight brother

 
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Posted: #32
alright avrgsr, let's hope troy bounces back.
 
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Posted: #33
adding:

Iowa State +15 (-110) 3u
UNC -7 (-110) 2u
 
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Posted: #34
 
 
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Posted: #35

Great call today buddy..

Keep up the good work mah man.

Truly appreciate everything you do for us here. Back at it tomorrow..

 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by sims_key:

tuesday:
Troy +6.5 (-105) 2u 
Troy (+235) 1u 


week 9: 1-1 +1.00 unit
 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by avrgsr:

Great call today buddy..

Keep up the good work mah man.

Truly appreciate everything you do for us here. Back at it tomorrow..



no prob man.  glad you won.
 
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Posted: #38
 
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Posted: #39
Huskers and huskies!!!
 
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Posted: #40
 
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Posted: #41
wednesday:

Pittsburgh -10 (-105) 2u
 
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Posted: #42
lean to the under tonite, but haven't decided to make a play on it yet.
 
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Posted: #43
wednesday:

Pittsburgh -10 (-105) 2u

7 pt.-teaser (ties win) Pittsburgh -3 & u49 (-130) 2u 
 
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Posted: #44

Another day....Another great call from mah man SIMS!!

Locked in Pitt this morning but decided to layoff of the teaser due to Monday's Balt debacle....let's get em again tomorrow brother.

Keep up the good work buddy. Let's keep this baby movin!!

 
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Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by sims_key:

NCAAF YTD: 97-86 (52%) +6.10 units

pending for Alabama/LSU game (posted in week 8 thread)...only 4u play of year so far:

Alabama -3 (-120) 4u



so many great spots this week, a ton of 3u plays for me...

week 9:

Virginia +15 (-110) 2u
Florida State -21 (-110) 2u
Nebraska -5 (-110) 3u
Michigan -14 (-120) 3u
Illinois +6 (-110) 2u
West Virginia -7 (-120) 3u
Louisville -4 (-110) 3u
Notre Dame -18 (-110) 2u
UCLA +5 (-110) 2u
Oklahoma -13.5 (-110) 3u
Baylor +17 (-110) 3u
Wisconsin -9 (-110) 3u
Washington -7 (-120) 3u

Georgia Tech +???

LIke all the plays except ND. Navy will play them tough and should be able to move the ball imo. Havent bet them yet, but if the line creeps up to 21 I may have to bite as ND has a letdown and slight lookahead to their roadie vs WF.

Also bet on Clemson. GTs offense may wake up a bit, but the Clemson offense hasnt been close to being stopped (VT did an ok job and still got beat by 20+)

 

gl this weekend

 
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Posted: #46
Nice line on the Bama game...I believe GOY line is now 5.  GL this weekend.
 
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Posted: #47
Card looking good


 
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Posted: #48
thanks guys...frustrated with the 2 late pointless scores to kill my teaser.


 
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Posted: #49
not happy with how this week has gone...2 tough losses and 2 easy wins...for a small gain.

week 9: 2-2 +0.40 unit

thursday:

Virginia +15 (-110) 2u (as posted in post #1)


i would definitely play them at +14 (-105) right now.
 
 
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Posted: #50
adding:

10.5 pt teaser: Virginia +24.5 & Rice +38 & Rice/Houston o60 (-120) 2u
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