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NCAAF games im betting......

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Posts: 44

Ahambone111

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 5339

Posted: Sep. 28, 2007 - 5:12 PM ET #26

How come you're on CAL?

I love my Pac-10 FB, so that's undoubtedly the #1 game on my list to watch this weekend. To bet a side though, is another story entirely. I'm just wondering how you came to conclusion that CAL is the right side on Saturday, what with this being a "revenge" game for Oregon, at Autzen, and with (who I believe is) the better QB. Is your thinking along the lines that CAL's running game will keep them in this one?

Helmut

Banned

Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 13287

Posted: Sep. 28, 2007 - 5:12 PM ET #27

Illinois has way more speed and better skill athletes on offense. Michigan was able to move the ball with using a very generic attack. The Illini will open it up here. I don't think we necessarily can assume that PSU is a real good team as they whip 3 really shitty teams and lost to a Michigan team using the back up QB that did not have an impressive win prior to PSU. Asking Morrelli to win a big game is playing with fire even when laying a short number.

swenny88

Prospect

Joined: Aug, 2007

Posts: 50

Posted: Sep. 28, 2007 - 5:14 PM ET #28

Thanks for your response Van. You make some very good points about their offense in big games. I was and still am on the fence about this game. I was leaning toward FSU, but you made me reconsider. I will probably stay away from this game. I don't really like being on the opposite side of games that you are on.

You confirmed my thoughts on Penn St and I like the fact that you, Rush, and nropp all like Cental Mich. I will be playing that game now. Thanks for your input.

molly17

Prospect

Joined: Apr, 2007

Posts: 131

Posted: Sep. 28, 2007 - 5:16 PM ET #29

On Central Michigan

GmoNavarro

Rookie

Joined: Feb, 2007

Posts: 849

Posted: Sep. 28, 2007 - 5:16 PM ET #30

Hey Vanzack:

Whats your record in your 2 units plays from past seasons??

GL....

starwink

Banned

Joined: Apr, 2005

Posts: 24201

Posted: Sep. 28, 2007 - 6:11 PM ET #31

Good Luck Van. I really like your Tulsa pick. UAB is pathetic.

They need a good Uncle Lou pep talk!

oddsbuster

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 20924

Posted: Sep. 28, 2007 - 7:09 PM ET #32

VANZACK NICE PICKS CAN YOU EXPLAIN THIS DR, BOB GUY CAUSE I REALLY NEED TO KNOW.... WHEN I LOOKED AT THE BOARD BALL ST. COVERING THE 16.5 OVER BUF LOKKED GOLDEN AND NOW THE LINE HAS MOVED DOWN TO 13 (12.5 ON SOME) WHAT IS GOING ON THEIR BALL ST. HAS KILLED BUF THE ONLY 3 TIMES THEY HAVE WON AND LAST YEAR BALL ST. DROPPED 55 ON EM... THESE ARE PRETTY MUCH THE SAME TEAMS AS LAST YEAR HAS BUF GOTTEN THAT MUCH.... PLEASE CLUE ME IN ON THIS DR. BOB GUY...

jp1lsu

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2004

Posts: 3796

Posted: Sep. 28, 2007 - 7:35 PM ET #33

Oddsbuster,

Dr. Bob's picks have been posted in a number of threads this week. Garfather has them in his underdog lines post.

He is a tout that has a huge customer base. His picks come out on Thursday around 6pm and the lines light up like a pin ball machine for the next hour. DR Bob was only 31% right last week.

As for Ball St. I like the team a lot. I took them the last 3 weeks 3-0 in those weeks, but I'm off them this week. My lean is still on Ball St. Buff is just hard to gauge for me right now.

Dosan23

Rookie

Joined: Mar, 2007

Posts: 928

Posted: Sep. 29, 2007 - 8:56 AM ET #34

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

It is Illinois, but I understand what you are saying.

Illinois has to be able to run the ball. They have won because they run the ball. I just dont see them being able to run against PSU. Illini have run with ease against Cuse, W Ill, Mizzou, and Indiana, but they face a real defense this week and I just see them as being powerless if they get behind and are unable to run. The key to this game is PSU stopping the run and the mobile QB's at Illinois, but my bet is based on them doing it.

As far as PSU offense goes, they will get enough to win.

I see a comfortable 27 - 10 type of win for PSU.

Oh, and it doesnt hurt that PSU lost last week either. They wont overlook this game.

What makes you think Penn St will be able to out-yard Illinois when they couldn't even do that at home last year? 358 yards to 184 last year with QB's throwing for about the same amount..Mendenhall ripped up Penn St last year for 161 yards on just 14 carries. If it wasn't for a 6 yard fumble return for a TD, along with a safety and a kickoff return for a TD Penn St would have lost straight up last year. This year they are not playing at home, I think Illinois gets the straight up win.

dad

Banned

Joined: Aug, 2005

Posts: 13944

Posted: Sep. 29, 2007 - 9:08 AM ET #35

good point about the illini having to run the ball, makes alot of sense...agree with the play the more i think about it...thk for the response

Dosan23

Rookie

Joined: Mar, 2007

Posts: 928

Posted: Sep. 29, 2007 - 9:14 AM ET #36

Quote Originally Posted by dad:

good point about the illini having to run the ball, makes alot of sense...agree with the play the more i think about it...thk for the response

actually no id doesn't make sense....Penn has played flaint, buff, and ND...yea no wonder their rush D looks good...went to Michigan last week and Hart ran all over them. Granted Mendenhall is no Hart, but he did perform pretty well vs Penn last year rushing for over 10 yards a carry...and this year he's avg 7 y/rush...pretty damn good..if Illini can cut down on TO's at home they win outright

jtvikes92

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2002

Posts: 411

Posted: Sep. 29, 2007 - 10:07 AM ET #37

Good lookin card, good luck

MuEagles79

Veteran

Joined: Apr, 2006

Posts: 3286

Posted: Sep. 29, 2007 - 10:31 AM ET #38

I do have to agree with Dosan...then again, who has Illinois played this year.

I really think the line is shady....honestly, wouldn't you still be Penn State at 6-7 if that is what it came out at....almost 80% of the wagerline bettors are on the Nittany Lions

re: Alabama....can the score more than 10 points against the Florida State Defense? FSU's offense won't have to move the ball far when their defense gives them a short field once and maybe twice. Getting the Noles under 3 points is the wiser take here Van. If it was above 3, I would be on the other side.

acf5026

Veteran

Joined: Aug, 2005

Posts: 1736

Posted: Sep. 29, 2007 - 11:34 AM ET #39

Hart did not run all over the PSU defense last week. While they did not have a great game against the run I believe Hart averaged 3.4 yards a carry.

chichisteve

Prospect

Joined: Jul, 2006

Posts: 466

Posted: Sep. 29, 2007 - 11:48 AM ET #40

I am all over Buffalo-I usually don't bet bad teams but I cannot pass up the line value, also classic let down spot after having NEB beat and not getting it done. Also on Bama-simply a better team than FL ST-at least definitely more up side.

goinggone

Captain

Joined: Apr, 2006

Posts: 8634

Posted: Sep. 29, 2007 - 11:59 AM ET #41

Quote Originally Posted by chichisteve:

I am all over Buffalo-I usually don't bet bad teams but I cannot pass up the line value, also classic let down spot after having NEB beat and not getting it done. Also on Bama-simply a better team than FL ST-at least definitely more up side.

Bama has better Coaching staff........

SportsJudge

Banned

Joined: Mar, 2007

Posts: 172

Posted: Sep. 29, 2007 - 12:04 PM ET #42

FSU will be another game of the year for me once Army rolls. Bama has no defense and Weatherford is gonna look real good against them. FSU has to much speed for Bama in my opinion, best of luck on the rest of your games today.