NCAA wk 5

vankiep

bamabets  thanks for the intel - glad to hear our research staff had a decent take on what was going on....Can't wait for the game -- GL this wk

Auburn 20 San Jose St (54)

Megalocks line 17

Sagarin 17

Line looks about right maybe a touch high - new QB White had a decent game last wk in his first start vs Miss St - Auburn was outgained but outrushed Miss St 201-56 we are thinking that a win here followed by a bye may get them going in the right direction....Miss St is tougher than a $4 steak this year so that loss was no disgrace....SJ St got it all together last wk RB Ervin ran for 300 YARDS and 3 TD yes against Fresno but nice game and Gray looked good at QB finally did not use multiple QBs....SJ a living breathing team so do not think Auburn can just roll their helmets out there a kill them....Not a big fan of this game.

Summary. no leanage.

mega

Ya we also thought it would sit around 52 but our numbers in the PROPRIETARY MEGALOCKS SUPERCOMPUTER tell us that this bad boy is more likely to be in the 40s than the 50s. Then again - we took it in the HOO-HOO last week in the Florida game on the under

mega

mega, long time reader first time poster! had that tennesse florida under in a tease with your penn state pick and lost by half a point (teased 48 to 54.5)  worst part was my brother in law bet the same thing just about 20 minutes later and he got it at 56.5 so he won  anyways like always great picks, I am headed to vegas this Saturday so any extra insight would be great  maybe some pac 12 request line with asu and ucla or Oregon Colorado! thanks, good luck buddy

 thx buddy - have fun in Vegas ...........UCLA looks good this yr. I mentioned a couple of thoughts on Oregon earlier in the thread do not think that game is gonna hit my radar the ultimate DO NOT TEASE game Colorado could win SU or Oregon by 24 we have no idea but we will look at ASU/UCLA..

Ole Miss 7 Florida (51.5)

Megalocks line 8

Sagarin 9

Another SEC dogfight Florida has to suck it up and keep fighting after that battle with Tennessee and take on Ole Miss....QB really stepped up and the D while getting run on pretty well did come up with a big forced fumble to turn the game around....Appear to be well coached and not a team we ever like to bet against....Ole Miss probably a bit fresher coming into this one - a closer game than we would have thought vs Vandy but Vandy has done a nice job defensively vs WKU Georgia and Ole Miss all things considered.....Chad Kelly has been ridiculous at least statistically so far for Ole Miss 64% 9 td 1 int and a rod-stiffening 12.3/attempt despite playing Alabama and Vandy D - scored 70s both games against teams with bad defenses so once again we expect points to be harder to come by....Line looks about right total maybe a tad low but need to look at that some more.

Summary. No lean on side. Need to check out total in more detail.

mega

Quote Originally Posted by chad77:

MEGA, 1st off let me say you sir are a BAWSE!!

I'm a huge Bammer so of course I'm partial here  but I think Saban will put a pistol in Kiffins mouth and tell him "run the F**KIN ball or I will pull the trigger".. Lol... Bo is available, and he's a Fournette type physicality (notice I did not say he was LF) but Saban won't trust him in pass blocking! He will be a Beast in the meat of this schedule, but I don't think he sees the field Saturday.. Could be wrong though? What you will see is a TON of Henry between the tackles and Drake off the edge and screens.. Kiffin needs to call the game of his life here.. Coker has been getting better each game and now they understand what his strength is, even though he has a big arm, the deep ball is not agreeing with him and the WRs.. But the 10-20yrd routes are perfect! I see Bama pounding and P/A to a lot of sideline "safe" routes to drive the field.. But Saban knows this game will be won or lost with his Defense.. I expect to see a lot of bodies in the box and around the LOS.. I think UGA will try to hit their backs on swing passes outta the backfield, so Bama will play close to the line and try to stop that quickly.. The problem with this Bama defense is tackling in the secondary.. The safeties have missed tons of tackles and it killed em against Ole Miss..  Lambert is the key to this game! If he plays well, then UGA wins.. If he don't, Bama wins.. I honestly believe the under is a great wager and will be on it 1st half and full game.. And if Bama can get to +3, I will be on it with ya bro ! 

thanks man  again glad to see we got our info pretty spot on - now as far as our prediction - who knows ...Georgia is a heck of a team too....Really should be a great game. Have fun watching buddy GL this wk

Texas AM 7 Miss St (60)

Megalocks line 7

Sagarin 4.27

This is another line that looks about right to us...T AM had trouble stopping the run and running the ball but took advantage of Ark mistakes to win in OT....Miss St has been a nice surprise to us - probably not to others - but we made a mistake with their power rating and have had to adjust - like we have said - they showed us a lot vs LSU and gutted out a win on the road vs Auburn. Not sure about the total both teams can MATRICULATE but Miss St D underrated - excellent in the RZ so far - and on the season allowed 16 21 13 9 pts.

Summary - no leanage.

mega

NOTE - typo in our Auburn write-up - Auburn outrushed and outgained Miss St.

update

Plays

NIU -2.5 (STEAM coming in on C Michigan we do not likey likey)

Waiting On

Alabama (want +3)

Table of contents - Write-Ups. To add to your viewing pleasure

NIU / C Michigan

Thursday / Friday games

SEC games

UP NEXTUCLA / Arizona St and Big 10

one of the best....keep it rolling buddy BOL

thanks so much everyone !!

Big ERN !! GL this wk buddy and fix that hair man

Nos  BOL

Boomer  thx

UGA520 - Good point on the Colt Brennan days; High powered offense combined with island point shaving; the good old days. .....Chubb is freaking awesome  enjoy the game my man - Will have a potential Bama bet offset by wearing my Georgia sweat during the game

Spottie - you are right any So Flo total that high gets our attention...So hard to play under in a Memphis game they are so explosive and balanced on offense and their pass D is bad - fortunately So Flo does not have a very good air attack. GL if you take any action on that one.

Mjones - seems like an automatic under  as you guys know any NCAA total that low has us curled up afraid in the fetal position that is such a low number for an NCAA game but would never talk anyone off it we are just not man enough to go under - will be writing up that game later. GL this wk

SST - WHOA. At the Clemson game. So awesome Gotta get there someday. Be our official "Crowd Will Be Rocking Guy" and remember that on the opening kickoff we will be pouring a beer into our Clemson frosty mug.....Don't be "Prove It Guy" on that Tex Tech gameWe personally find those super high totals so hard to handicap I mean what is the right number - 84? 99 ? 89 ? 104? Crazy. We just watch laugh at the tackling and enjoy GL