NCAA FOOTBALL. 151

Missouri should have lost to Troy  

weather for the miss st game will be 84 no chance of rain i think this goes over.....Missouri is avg 39.6 pts a game and giving up 17 and Missouri st is avg 47 pts a game while giving up 20 pts a game, Missouri did beat kansas 38-21 but that game was close till the 3rd qtr when Kansas gave up 14 points on back to back turnovers early in the 3rd qtr, kansas fumbled on 1st play giving missouri a 34 yd drive to make it 21-14 then on the next offensive play they threw a INT which lead to a 12 yd drive for a td, so what was a 14-14 halftime lead went to 28-14 in a matter of a few minutes, which really was a huge letdown for kansas , then last game they beat Troy 27-17 in a game they could have lost....they were down 10-0 to troy in 1st qtr, Missouri tied it at 10 but then again the other team self imploded to help Missouri as Troy threw a INT which lead to a 18 yd touchdown, and then again on the very next play for Troy after the kickoff they fumble and give missouri a 13 yd 1 play drive for a TD so on back to back weeks Missouri had the other team give up very short field td's on like back to back plays that is very rare, then to be on the right side of it on back to back weeks when the game is tied is even crazier, i am liking Miss st even more i see why this line has went up, Troys defense really shut them down , 4 punts and a fg in the 2nd half and if not for those 2 very easy td's Missouri loses at home to TROY , always important to go through the play by play of games to see who really controlled the game or who really caught huge breaks
I do think Miss st gets over 40 , im surprised Missouri is ranked as high as they are i mean the last 2 games the other team lost the game, they didnt win it
gl

Good find RUM > hard to ignore stats trending for both 

Really good write ups RUM. Thanks. I just posted my favorite ML parlay of Georgia, Alabama, and following your Miss ST as the third piece of the ML parlay. 

@CabernetTrey

@CabernetTrey

 hope it comes through, just think Missouri has gotten really lucky last couple of games, anything is possible but Miss st has played 2 road games where they have pretty much had their way, they struggled early at S Car, but eventually got things going, and now at home its going to be on the Head coach to keep these guys focused here, they won at home 62-13 over ULM and ULM is not a bad team, only thing is this coach has to keep them from thinking about next week vs Alabama, it should not be hard since Missouri comes in as the higher ranked team, so they should be thinking about this game only but ya just never know, this is a huge game for both when you think about it because both teams have huge games next week that they will be underdogs in, and both are 3-0 but the loser of this game most likely will be 3-2 after next week, i think Miss st will be able to score on just about anyone this year so i expect some higher scoring games in their games this year, but Miss st i feel has so much more going in this game, if they can win this one they do have Alabama at home next week and that will be a huge game if both are 4-0 and after that Miss st goes to LSU...lol what a schedule  if this coach can keep these guys believing who knows? Missouri has shown they can be vulnerable, i really do think Troy could have won that game, maybe they were looking ahead but it wasnt them Troy got the lead and then gave it away, and Troys defense did a good job...Troy had 18 1st downs to 13 for Missouri, Troy held Missouri to 230 total yards of offense, Missouri was just 2/11 on 3rd down while Troy was 7/17 and Troy had the ball for 37 mins to just 22 for Missouri , no way they should have lost that game, Troy does not have the offense that Miss st has, thats why i expect a lot of points from Miss st , again if Miss st can not have turnovers they shoud cover this by at least 7...all you can do is look at past games to handicap and if this coach does a good job of keeping them focused on this game i think they will be fine, because Missouri knows how they won the last 2 games, they are going to need turnovers if things play out like i hope  this could be a 43-24 type of game but??????  

just had a huge write up on the liberty/CCU game that i erased again damnit   pisses me off when i do that   neither team playing well in my opinion  Liberty lost to JMU and then could have lost to Gardner Webb , CCU lost 31-24 at WV but game was not that close, they gave up 281 yds rushing to WV but they did throw for over 300, then they blew the lead last week vs Delaware, losing 22-14  neither team is scoring a lot to be honest, Hardrock has this at Liberty -1.5  49.5  it opened as CCU as a favorite of 1.5  and i think it did get to Liberty -2.5 so some back and forth money here, some good and bad trends for both here, but the Under has many good trends and maybe should be good unless some easy scores happen, maybe some late money on CCU  i do not trust Liberty, JMU won that game easier than the score with liberty scoring in 4th to make it 20-13 and then the way they played GW its a tuff game  ...Lean CCU  Lean Under and i hate unders..lol

• Hot: Chanticleers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Hot: Chanticleers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Hot: Chanticleers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. CUSA.
• Cold: Chanticleers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Cold: Flames are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cold: Flames are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

• Hot: Over is 6-0 in Flames last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Hot: Under is 4-0 in Chanticleers last 4 non-conference games.
• Hot: Under is 4-0 in Chanticleers last 4 games overall.
• Hot: Under is 4-0 in Flames last 4 vs. S-Belt.
• Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Flames last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Hot: Under is 7-1 in Flames last 8 non-conference games.

hardrock CCU+2.5 -115  50.5 -115   this should be the running game of Liberty vs the Passing of CCU   again home dog looks good here , with the under and thats hard for me to even say..lol  

man i am liking a few overs this week  the Okla st/WV game i think should go over the 59.5 or 60 number  

Teaser this week 3 team 7 point  +115 

Tennessee +10.5/Okla st +8.5/Louisville -6.5  like all 3 str up but tennessee has dropped too much to get on now in my opinion  but love this teaser 

CCU +2.5  -115 

Under 50.5 -115

since i went and did a write up even though shorter i am going to play them as plays   

gl everyone 

Never betting an under again...God i hate unders.   I never would bet an under....always known for overs.  I need my head examined.   And now Liberty goes right down and scores

This is going over. Over 30.5 liberty looked good live

Refs call holding every time there is a decent game.   Under.  

Coastal calls a timeout down 10 1 minute left  or liberty just takes a knee and the under wins....then coastal let's them score......there's no way they. Didn't let them score on purpose. No one was there on that whole. Side of the field....GOD I HATE FUCKING UNDERS.  THEN. YOU. HAVE THIS. WHERE IT SHOULDA WON BUT THEY MADE SURE IT DIDNT. ...they didnt call timeout the play before guy runs for 7 yards then they do....very strange

0-2 in college. 25-21.   Win. Nfl play with atlanta to go 16-5 @  won my prop parlay for 151.00. 

Half pt loss on under. Should bought up a point.   Do well.  In nfl. Fuck unders

That time out made zero sense.  What was the point.  Then after they get the ball back they call a run play to run the clock out ?

Oh goodness.  Got it on basically last possession….   

1-2 night for sure, thank you Falcons. Hated that last series also. And hate unders. College will get better hopefully. THanks

yes that was very odd what CCU did...they didnt call time out clock runs from 1:40 to 1:07 after a run they call timeout???  cannot win game   no chance  but i have seen odder shit another bad loss  had like 6 this year   they never go our way for some reason   see when stuff like that happens  it takes all the handicapping out of it...i hate unders  but i seen one last night and actually bet it.....then you have that happen   i cannot handicap that that type of stuff will happen  just cant  game should have ended 27-17  then i lose by a half pt  where was the missed extra point???  lol

i see the total on the Louisville game has went down to 57.5, and i think its because some are expecting a big louisville win , that was my worry, was that Wake Forest maybe would not score enough, i like Louisville -12.5  i think it went up to 13.5  13 i think would be good too but if Louisville wins like 37-13 it could stay under, Louisvilles Offense looks really good  thats why i liked this over, but i think we will need WF to score 20-23 pts 

still pissed about that under last night....almost makes ya not want to handicap and just go with your gut

tonight  Temple +4.5 -115 Hardrock   weather shows its not raining now but will later  i think thats why this is a 4pm start   this qb played well for temple last week  , the total has dropped a pt , hoping temple can score  he had 3 td passes after coming in vs Toledo 

UAB has dropped a little i think you can still get 7 maybe  i wrote about this early in the week

i wrote this at other site 

wondering why the have Navy -7.5 at UAB?? UAB has been playing well enough, and they can throw the ball, and Navy struggles vs the pass , now Navy did have a week off before this game, But UAB is at home, they have been shutting teams down in the 2nd half, we know what Navy does ... needs more looking into but this line just seemed a bit high but there are many more to look at

just found this little ats thing on Navy....they are 0-7 ats as fav's of less then 16 pts with rest......and navy is coming off a off week favored by 7.5 just throwing it out there...last year they beat UAB 38-24 as 20.5 pt fav's ...they hve beaten UAB by 14, 23, and 25 last 3 years ....lots of ways to look at this Navy has their number or UAB is maybe sick of losing to them, UAB went through a total rebuild this year, they played their worst game last week and covered by a half pt, but they didnt do well on 3rd down like they had been, but they did cause big plays that helped them, and had a few that didnt... is Navy as good as they were?? maybe

was able to get UAB at +7   i hate writing about games then not playing them   last night i did same thing but to be honest CCU was up at half, and the Under should have covered  best not to bet so many games, but its what i do   never would suggest following every play  UAB has been playing well in the 2nd half of their games lately  be nice to see them not fall behind  

Navy did have a qb get hurt last week  Woodson he is out, he was their leading rusher this year, 35 carries 296 yds  

Temple has nice drive. 4th and 4 try a run play get stopped. Wtf. 3 points is 3 points damnit

why didnt they kick that? wtf? seriously mind-boggling shit