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my new moneyline parlay strategy hitting 90%...hope i don't gt banned by my book... :)

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Posted: #51
Interesting...
 
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Posted: #52
Yeah I need a diiferent account..Many of Bigger Money Lines aren't even available when teams are -14+.....BOL
 
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Posted: #53
i like what you got working..  i sometimes even stretch it to 5 or 6 teamers, just because the payout is better w/ no juice involved..  I already have 2 parlays pending  -  9 teamer that pays 2 to 1 & 6 teamer that is +145..

i know Iowa is on the road, but my gophers are sooo bad, that they should deserve a look if you were trying to make this a 5 teamer.

GL & congrats on finding something that works   keep MM tho & don't get greedy to quickly, a bad week could come out of nowhere, so make sure you have money on reserve for this..  GL man 
 
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Posted: #54
Hey bro hope it works.... Been gettin my ass kicked playin big $$ lines... At beginning of season took him for 8000 first 4 weeks and these last 2 lost it all... Like ur system alil beta but I suggest go wit the home teams to boost that % up... What's ur record usin that
 
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Posted: #55
I've been doing this every week as well. I pick anywhere from 4-10 teams and just parlay the ML. Easy money.
 
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Posted: #56
Quote Originally Posted by jdawg07:

this wk:

$1000 to win $810

fsu -1000

mich -550

tex tech -560

ok st -550''

 

Let's dooo this!!!



Do you realize that a six point teaser of just the ok st and tt game would pay better?  If you just teased those two you wouldn;t have to worry about getting moosed on one of the other plays.  Dumb to do this with 7.5 pt favs...  14 pt faves I will agree with.
 
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Posted: #57
in all fairness, i bet ur play.  As I was clicking accept I realized why it was bad idea.  I promise one of these will screw us and it will probably be purdue upsetting michigan
 
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Posted: #58
baylor can definitely upset ok state... ok states defense is terrible and with RG III as the qb he will find a way to keep it close 
 
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Posted: #59
Quote Originally Posted by MrDegenerate:

153 for 200 means you're laying -131 juice per parlay.

x - 1.31y = 0
x + y = 1
x = 1.31y

y = x/1.31

x + (1/1.31)x = 1

This means you have to hit this parlay 56.7% of the time to make money in the long run.

Now you have 4 games. x^4 = 0.567

This means each game should be 86.7% likely to hit on average or 1 in 7.5. I think you may be on to something. Big favorites just don't lose enough in college to make this play a losing play

In fact, big favorites have been covering enough this year to make even 4-team parlays profitable.





Your math =
 
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Posted: #60

Quote Originally Posted by Woodd2:

baylor can definitely upset ok state... ok states defense is terrible and with RG III as the qb he will find a way to keep it close 

 

Why Oklahoma State will cover: OSU’s offense is third in yards, second in pass yards and second in scoring nationally. Baylor’s defense is in the bottom-third in every major category. The favorite is 11-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.

  • Favorite is 11-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
  • Home team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
  • Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
  • Bears are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Oklahoma State.


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    Posted: #61

    Quote Originally Posted by gmoritz625:

    in all fairness, i bet ur play.  As I was clicking accept I realized why it was bad idea.  I promise one of these will screw us and it will probably be purdue upsetting michigan

    Robinson will make plenty of big plays and lead the Wolverines to a double-digit victory.

    Expect college football's biggest stadium to be rocking as usual.

  • Home team is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
  • Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Michigan.

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    Posted: #62
    I used this strategy this summer betting on baseball ML parlays. I would consistently do 2 teamer MLs. Absolutely killed baseball this summer with ML parlays. Doubt many people will believe me but I started with $200 and cashed out $20,000.
     
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    Posted: #63

    Add in ND ml for better payout. ND will not lose to Navy at home.

    If you got balls, then add Tx AM ml. Mizzou is terrible on the road. GL

     
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    Posted: #64

    I take your parlay but I'm so afraid of ok state. The defense of this team is a joke. And baylor has a great offense
     
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    Posted: #65
    I guess a 14 pt favorite has never been upset before... Ur strategy will never hold up but BOL
     
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    Posted: #66

    Quote Originally Posted by udbeatmaker1288:

    I guess a 14 pt favorite has never been upset before... Ur strategy will never hold up but BOL

     

    so far this year, looks like only one -14 pt hm fav has lost

     
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    Posted: #67

    Quote Originally Posted by flo38:


    I take your parlay but I'm so afraid of ok state. The defense of this team is a joke. And baylor has a great offense

     

    baylor D is MUCH worse than ok st 

     
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    Posted: #68
    Quote Originally Posted by jdawg07:

    this wk:

    $1000 to win $810

    fsu -1000

    mich -550

    tex tech -560

    ok st -550''

     

    Let's dooo this!!!

     

    1/2 way there....

     
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    Posted: #69
    Hey jdawg I hit 2 more out of 3.


    Here is the first one:

    Win    8 Team Parlay
    Win    10/29/11 12:00pm  College Extra Football  307 Lehigh -625* vs Colgate
    Win    10/29/11 12:00pm  College Extra Football  315 Albany -1050* vs Wagner
    Win    10/29/11 1:00pm  College Extra Football  327 Campbell -1050* vs Davidson
    Win    10/29/11 1:00pm  College Extra Football  336 Youngstown State -535* vs Western Illinois
    Win    10/29/11 1:30pm  College Extra Football  342 Wofford -1475* vs Elon
    Win    10/29/11 2:00pm  College Extra Football  347 Bethune-Cookman -1050* vs North Carolina Central
    Win    10/29/11 3:30pm  College Extra Football  373 Maine -1050* vs Villanova
    Win    10/29/11 6:00pm  College Extra Football  400 Harvard -1410* vs Dartmouth
     
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    Posted: #70
    Here is my second one:


    Win    5 Team Parlay
    Win    10/29/11 9:00am  International Basketball  1058 Levharti Chomutov -635* vs BK Inter Bratislava
    Win    10/29/11 10:00am  International Basketball  1075 Svendborg Rabbits -445* vs Horsholm
    Win    10/29/11 1:00pm  International Basketball  1188 Crvena Zvezda Beograd -980* vs Zlatorog Lasko
    Win    10/29/11 3:00pm  International Basketball  1211 Maccabi Electra Tel-aviv -900* vs KK Partizan MT:S
    Win    10/29/11 2:00pm  International Basketball  1222 Cajasol -465* vs Assignia Manresa
     
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    Posted: #71
    Here is my third one::


    Loss    11 Team Parlay
    Win    10/29/11 12:00pm  College Football  122 Florida State -1100* vs NC State
    Loss    10/29/11 3:30pm  College Football  125 Iowa -650* vs Minnesota U
    Win    10/29/11 12:00pm  College Football  132 Michigan -550* vs Purdue
    Win    10/29/11 12:30pm  College Football  135 Virginia Tech -650* vs Duke
    Win    10/29/11 3:30pm  College Football  158 East Carolina -900* vs Tulane
    Loss    10/29/11 7:00pm  College Football  162 Texas Tech -580* vs Iowa State
    Win    10/29/11 3:30pm  College Football  166 Notre Dame -1400* vs Navy
    Win    10/29/11 3:30pm  College Football  190 Oklahoma State -570* vs Baylor
    Win    10/29/11 8:00pm  College Football  197 Nevada -600* vs New Mexico State
    Loss    10/29/11 10:00pm  College Football  200 San Diego State -1050* vs Wyoming
    Win    10/29/11 7:00pm  College Football  204 Arkansas State -900* vs North Texas

     
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    Posted: #72
    What's the play this weekend?  The following are all ~14 point home favorites... anyones U don't particularly like to win stragiht up?

    MIami OH vs Akron

    WVU vs Lou

    Miami vs Duke

    Florida vs Vandy

    Iowa State vs Kansas

    Oklahoma vs TX A&M
     
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    Posted: #73
    Rule #1: Take the spread or parlay the spreads. If you don't  trust the team to cover the spread, then you shouldn't put so much money on them winning the game. I see too much risk here and not enough value. Also I think most of the time, if your team wins, they cover the spread as well....
     
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    Posted: #74
    If you just tease the games or take 2 spreads, it will pay much more and much lesser risk for a better payout
     
     
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    Posted: #75
    Quote Originally Posted by thedon88:

    What's the play this weekend?  The following are all ~14 point home favorites... anyones U don't particularly like to win stragiht up?

    MIami OH vs Akron

    WVU vs Lou

    Miami vs Duke

    Florida vs Vandy

    Iowa State vs Kansas

    Oklahoma vs TX A&M

    besides miami ohio i dont like any of these. All potential upsets 
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