All Forums | College Football

Mice HAWAII BOWL SMU-FRESNO "HANG LOOSE"

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 6653
Posts: 66
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2005
Posts: 2700
Posted: #26
9-10 wins teams favored in bowl games against 6 wins teams were upset every time since 2008 and they are 0-11 ATS in last 11 games.
Can SMU upset Fresno ? I say yes.

6 wins dogs of 7 points or more in bowl games covered 9 of last 11 games, winning outright 7 times.
6 wins teams always want to prove that they belong to the postseason.

Teams with 11 ATS wins during regular season lost 3 of 4 bowl games and went 1-3 ATS.
Not surprising, as lines in Bowl games are inflated on those money teams during the regular season.

Bowl game dogs of 5 or more points and less than 15 points covered all 10 games if they won their final regular season game as underdogs and their opponent won its final game as well.

SMU was underdog in two of their last three bowl games and did very well in that role. 28-6 upset win against Pittsburgh last year and 45-10 dog win against Nevada three years back. Fresno 0-6 ATS as bowl favorites since 1991, losing every one of those games outright. The history is on the SMU side.


SMU +12.5 & ML+375
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2010
Posts: 10787
Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by Swervee:

Very compelling argument, you got me sitting on the fence after all my research pointed to a Fresno State beatdown.  This game comes down to whether you put more emphasis on trends or statistics.  Whatever your emphasis when looking at these games, I think it is a safe bet to go with the over in this game.    

SMU/Fresno St  60 1/2 Over........ I'm also thinking of going w/ Fresno

Good Luck Everyone!!!   
Swervee gl with your Total. I may cite a few general trends but i reference to 18 specific Bowl angles that have been updated over years. The system weighs stats, conference data, team data, these angles, etc. and was developed by the same math professor/sports enthusiast that devised the High School Playoff System used in many mid-west states. NOT based on trends at all  
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2010
Posts: 10787
Posted: #28
Lar12 what would we have done without 'em

mws--BWS thanks guys I stand corrected guess I overweighed their final season Tulsa game. BWS bet wisely 

Brent,  Millie and family have a great Xmas and know Kruger RIPs 

metallica--Mac--jackhockey--MCMama--CalB--DoubleUp--CMOD--forkball--Jimmy thx all you guys and gal and BOL everyone else

RandyResort, all the other good guys, and even all the haters...and everyone else in this entire world have a Merry Xmas and HANG LOOSE
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 5253
Posted: #29
Floppy discs????  Jesus Christ that's old, mine had sh*t like Gauntlet and Spy Hunter on them. good luck today
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 1199
Posted: #30
Fresno State will pick at least 2 times this evening.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2011
Posts: 1362
Posted: #31
What you think about the over Mice? Fresno coaching screwed me on the Boise game but I guess first year coaches can do that to you (poor clock management). Being from Hawaii, I know coach Jones will run the points up as much as he can till very late in the 4th. Fresno is the stronger team on paper. Think Over is a safer play.. What do you think? Thanks in advance and Happy Holidays Mice!
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 1199
Posted: #32
Pick off Gillbert
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2010
Posts: 10787
Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by drewsmooth:

Fresno State will pick at least 2 times this evening.
whats your point. Im not betting any props on Gilbert or Carr INTs

Lance Logan and Floppy disks

Hapun I'm not touching the Total. I will NEVER play a total when BOTH teams are on the same side of high TO's.  They can lead to a ton of points, or just as easily, kill a ton of points.  FSU is +17 and SMU +12 those are scarey.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 134
Posted: #34
Hey Op did they move Aloha Stadium?  Last time I checked it was on the island of Oahu.  That's not the big island. The big island is called Hawai'i. Officially. Just saying. I lived out there for 2 years and so many haoles call Oahu the big island bc it is most populated but it's not very big.  The big island is bigger than all other islands combined. Just a little Hawaiian geography. Just sayin :). GL all go Fresno state in a Lua-out!  
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2006
Posts: 765
Posted: #35
If Fresno comes out as it usually does in the first half of games SMU will never recover and Fresno rolls BIG...

I see Fresno 45 and SMU 28
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 204
Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by WhiteMice:

Dude there are not many cappers on here that look at more stats than I do.  I still have shoeboxes full of floppy-disks full of ncaa football stats.  I also know they got rolled in stats vs Tulsa in Chp Game, so what, they're playing here and Tulsa isn't.  Did I say how they scored the points, no. They put up 72 points, case closed, thats what I said. Don't read more into it and try to say that I said something otherwise. Bet Fresno if you like them, you won't hurt my feelings at all. It's your money

Keeping it old school with the floppy-disk!
GL on your play tonight! 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2008
Posts: 1058
Posted: #37
Why not just tease FST -6 and over 54 or Smu +18 and over 54, Both could win.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 201
Posted: #38
GL
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2012
Posts: 2871
Posted: #39
BOL  WhiteMice, Mustangs
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2008
Posts: 26036
Posted: #40
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 11114
Posted: #41
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2010
Posts: 10787
Posted: #42

Quote Originally Posted by Warlord:

Why not just tease FST -6 and over 54 or Smu +18 and over 54, Both could win.
Why? Old time bigtime bookie from the Bronx taught me years ago...that bookies love Teaser players more than anything. Theres a reason for that

 

Preze--dovjak--KIS--stonecold--Leroy thanks all you guys GL and MerryX

 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2010
Posts: 10787
Posted: #43

Quote Originally Posted by TRISTANS:

If Fresno comes out as it usually does in the first half of games SMU will never recover and Fresno rolls BIG...

I see Fresno 45 and SMU 28

the biggest word in a bettor's logic.  If all the games were played the same and If we knew before kickoff who was showing up and If we knew the outcome, then none of us would ever lose a game  

As Nick Saban says every game comes down to about 6 key plays. Just think how much we'd win If we knew which ones

 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2008
Posts: 17565
Posted: #44
Merry  Christmas Walter J

may your stocking be full of cheese
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2007
Posts: 160
Posted: #45
Solid. On SMU as well. Lets cash
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2010
Posts: 10787
Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by outlaw96:

Merry  Christmas Walter J

may your stocking be full of cheese
I will drink to that Boss. Merriest of Xmas's to you

Grandpa gl and go 'stangs  and HANG LOOSE

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2007
Posts: 2387
Posted: #47
MICE, BOL & MERRY XMAS BROTHA
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2011
Posts: 22762
Posted: #48
Good Luck
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2010
Posts: 10787
Posted: #49

Quote Originally Posted by rydahJ05:

MICE, BOL & MERRY XMAS BROTHA
likewise Rydah bol

        and

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

HANG LOOSE

 
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2010
Posts: 10787
Posted: #50
think we just time warped AAY gl and Merry X
All Forums | College Football
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.