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#1
Week 5: 4-7, -5.05 units
YTD: 34-34-1, -5.73 units
Week 5 w/WA lines: 4-6, -3.95 units
YTD w/WA lines: 26-28-1, -5.52 units
Some thoughts:
- Yet another miserable week, and I'm almost back to where I was after Week 1. That's two straight ugly showings after it appeared I had righted the ship, and I'm dumbfounded as to how I can be struggling this much despite putting in a ton of time this summer and capping each week.
- Sad thing is, this past Saturday was almost much, MUCH worse. I had eight leans on Wednesday night, and those ended up going 1-7; I managed to drop four losers from that list and started to consider my only four eventual winners later in the week. Perhaps it's somewhat encouraging that I took what would've been an absolute bloodbath and turned it into a lesser bloodbath, but nonetheless, still wondering what in the hell is going on.
- I'm clearly lost on Ohio State; that's twice now I've had big plays on games of theirs and come nowhere near hitting. I can still appreciate the premise behind that bet (and Kirk Cousins and the MSU offense did everything they could to keep tOSU in the game), but my god, the Bucks were absolutely pathetic offensively. Considering my bigger plays have fared no better than my average plays thus far, I'll likely stick to flat betting for awhile until I can get in a groove.
- I typically pride myself on avoiding bets where people claim team A will steamroll team B for no legitimate reason, but fell for it this past week with South Carolina. I'm not sure if it's because I saw a lot of Auburn love or what, but I was convinced the Cocks would pound the hell out of Chizik's crew for 60 minutes. I may lose bets by wider margins over the course of the season, but that will without question go down as one of the worst I've made.
- Some frustrating turns in a couple games where I felt my side should have come in and didn't (Cuse, UCLA), but also a few miraculous wins where my team rallied late to win it for me (Arky, North Texas). Iowa State was a horrendous bet, while Washington and Ole Miss were clearly the two best.
- Should have known better than to defend ML parlays and teasers a few weeks ago. 0-3 with them since I did, hitting all but one side in each. Guess they aren't really running much worse than my other plays, but you still hate watching them miss after arguing they can be profitable.
- Really feel like I have no choice but to limit plays to some extent until things get better. That means cards with no more than 7-8 plays, and likely no sides that are involved in multiple wagers. Really just want to get back in the + by the end of the month and make a big push in November/bowl season as the end of the year is usually a strong stretch for me.
Week 5 w/WA lines: 4-6, -3.95 units
YTD w/WA lines: 26-28-1, -5.52 units
Some thoughts:
- Yet another miserable week, and I'm almost back to where I was after Week 1. That's two straight ugly showings after it appeared I had righted the ship, and I'm dumbfounded as to how I can be struggling this much despite putting in a ton of time this summer and capping each week.
- Sad thing is, this past Saturday was almost much, MUCH worse. I had eight leans on Wednesday night, and those ended up going 1-7; I managed to drop four losers from that list and started to consider my only four eventual winners later in the week. Perhaps it's somewhat encouraging that I took what would've been an absolute bloodbath and turned it into a lesser bloodbath, but nonetheless, still wondering what in the hell is going on.
- I'm clearly lost on Ohio State; that's twice now I've had big plays on games of theirs and come nowhere near hitting. I can still appreciate the premise behind that bet (and Kirk Cousins and the MSU offense did everything they could to keep tOSU in the game), but my god, the Bucks were absolutely pathetic offensively. Considering my bigger plays have fared no better than my average plays thus far, I'll likely stick to flat betting for awhile until I can get in a groove.
- I typically pride myself on avoiding bets where people claim team A will steamroll team B for no legitimate reason, but fell for it this past week with South Carolina. I'm not sure if it's because I saw a lot of Auburn love or what, but I was convinced the Cocks would pound the hell out of Chizik's crew for 60 minutes. I may lose bets by wider margins over the course of the season, but that will without question go down as one of the worst I've made.
- Some frustrating turns in a couple games where I felt my side should have come in and didn't (Cuse, UCLA), but also a few miraculous wins where my team rallied late to win it for me (Arky, North Texas). Iowa State was a horrendous bet, while Washington and Ole Miss were clearly the two best.
- Should have known better than to defend ML parlays and teasers a few weeks ago. 0-3 with them since I did, hitting all but one side in each. Guess they aren't really running much worse than my other plays, but you still hate watching them miss after arguing they can be profitable.
- Really feel like I have no choice but to limit plays to some extent until things get better. That means cards with no more than 7-8 plays, and likely no sides that are involved in multiple wagers. Really just want to get back in the + by the end of the month and make a big push in November/bowl season as the end of the year is usually a strong stretch for me.
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