Jump on these lines early......BURY YOUR BOOKIE!!

I have had a ton of emails in the past few days ever since I released my selections with that exact same concern.  "...why are your lines going the opposite direction?  Doesn't this mean that the perception is the public are pushing the line in the opposite direction?"  One may think that initially, however you have to realize that the average bettor is the uninformed better.  What I mean by this is they bet on emotion, who's more popular, and what a team did the week before.  Take for instance several weeks back I had released Arizona -9 vs UCLA and the line dropped to -7. Arizona won that game 27-14.  The same week I had UNLV -3.5 vs New Mexico as one of my SUPERLOCKS.  The line went all the way down to UNLV -1.  UNLV crushed New Mexico 34-17.   2 weeks ago I had Purdue +3 vs Michigan.  By game time the line went all the way up to +6.  People were pouring it on Michigan.  Purdue ended up beating Michigan 38-36.  My point is just because the line moves in the opposite direction, doesn't mean your on the wrong side.

Thanks Cuba.  I really am liking Midd Tenn also.  I have been looking at game clips of them the last 2 weeks and QB Dwight Dasher is unbelieveable!!  They have a very good running game and have some very fast receivers in D.D. Kyles and Gary Alexander.  UL Monroe struggled last week vs La. Lafayette and the week before against one of the worst teams in the country Western Kentucky.  Mid. Tenn. St has a very good DF forcing 28 turnovers this year.  Their secondary ranks #1 in the conference in pass defense.  I like Middle Tennessee alot here -4.  This will be one of my saturday's SUPERLOCKS.   Midd. Tenn St -4  35-17

Don't follow most of your picks.

Good luck   

You are correct. ECU is 2-15 at home against So. Miss however, there are several reasons I really like East Carolina here. First of all ECU has Dwayne Harris.  He is a definite PRO prospect and explosive on offense, punt and kick returns. So. Miss has a defense full of holes and Dwayne Harris is the type of guy who can beat a team like So. Miss all by himself.  But there's more...ECU has a league leading 12 picks and are tied for 2nd in sacks.  There defense is far superior to that of Southern Miss.  East Carolina has won 4 of their last 5 games allowing an average of only 14 pts/game in those contests. Southern Miss has won 4 of their last 5 but the defense is giving up an average of over 28pts/game in those 5. Also, this is a revenge game for ECU.  Many think that this is a "non-factor" but it is HUGE motivation for a good team playing at home and that team is ECU.  I like East Carolina to win 34-21

Pujols like your thoughts on Middle tenn/  me being from illinois i will gladley take all the points and also put the fightin Illini on my card BOL to you this turky weekend.    GIDDY ON THE

Sometimes we look at a line (such as this one Midd Tenn St-4) and we scratch our head because it is so far off.  We think we are missing something so we go back and look at the matchups (DF vs OF etc) and we still can't figure it out.  We check the injury report and past history (etc.does a team tend to play poorly against a certain team in their stadium year after year).  I have looked at everything here and all I can come up with is....Vegas is WRONG!   Midd Tenn St. plays La Monroe well every year, they have no significant injuries and they are as HOT as any team can be.  I am locked and loaded on Midd Tenn St.  I love their offense and I am as equally impressed in their Dfense.  I will take the Blue Raiders -4 as a TOP PLAY!

gl bro

thanks bro, I think this is going to be a HUGE weekend.  I hope you all BURY YOUR BOOKIE !!!!!!!!!  

Here are my top plays for this Saturday.  It was very difficult to narrow this down so at the end I am going to list the 2 teams that just missed making my top plays list. 

LOCKS                                       SUPERLOCKS

Tulane +17.5                          Middle Tennessee St -4

Texas Tech -21                       Virginia Tech -13

Navy -8                                  Mississippi -7

UCLA +13                              Marshall pk

North Carolina -5.5

**Teams that just missed the top plays list were New Mexico +44 and Boston College -6

Sometimes we're gonna have days like today.  A day where a team like Toledo can muscle back from being down 24-0 to tie up the game only to lose by 2 late touchdowns or a Buffalo team that completely dominates the game by DOUBLING every offensive statistical category, has the ball 3 times 1st and Goal and comes up with 9 points.  I can go on and on.  I can admit though, that I underestimated Auburn and the rivalry they share with the Crimson Tide.  This was the only selection that if I had it to do over again, would not have touched this game.  All the haters can now chime in.  Take your shots  :)