Jimmy, I have been following you and Lordzud for years. Finally decided to sign up on covers because of you 2. had a great year last year, and a huge thanks for your insight. Same to Lordzud.
Welcome to the forum!!!
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Quote Originally Posted by maxdubs:
Jimmy, I have been following you and Lordzud for years. Finally decided to sign up on covers because of you 2. had a great year last year, and a huge thanks for your insight. Same to Lordzud.
saban just cut the qb battle down to 2 hurts is out
I'm on the road, but I heard. There is really no decision that would have surprised me. This decision follows the Saban script to a T. The QB uncertainty is why I laid off the game, but this decision is great news for my 1st half UNDER!!!
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Quote Originally Posted by traderjoe13:
saban just cut the qb battle down to 2 hurts is out
I'm on the road, but I heard. There is really no decision that would have surprised me. This decision follows the Saban script to a T. The QB uncertainty is why I laid off the game, but this decision is great news for my 1st half UNDER!!!
Jimmy, I have been following you and Lordzud for years. Finally decided to sign up on covers because of you 2. had a great year last year, and a huge thanks for your insight. Same to Lordzud.
Welcome to the forum!!!
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Quote Originally Posted by maxdubs:
Jimmy, I have been following you and Lordzud for years. Finally decided to sign up on covers because of you 2. had a great year last year, and a huge thanks for your insight. Same to Lordzud.
If my record were 100 & 0, what would be the odds to hit my next wager?
If my record were 0 & 100, what would be the odds to hit my next wager?
Thoughts?
50/50 ?
JDF - just curious, why do you like Tulane? I heard someone talking about Wake should be much improved on offense this year with new OC. Can't even remember who said that.. Not trying to be lazy but working 60 hours+ a week right now so need to lean on a few people for advice.
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Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:
If my record were 100 & 0, what would be the odds to hit my next wager?
If my record were 0 & 100, what would be the odds to hit my next wager?
Thoughts?
50/50 ?
JDF - just curious, why do you like Tulane? I heard someone talking about Wake should be much improved on offense this year with new OC. Can't even remember who said that.. Not trying to be lazy but working 60 hours+ a week right now so need to lean on a few people for advice.
Thanks for your fb Jimmy. What are your thoughts on Mn over Ore St? And does the fact that FIU lost 3 of 4 starting dl scare u at all against Indiana? That game reminds me a lot of cal v Hawaii. Also a lot of interest in rice. Any thoughts there?
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Thanks for your fb Jimmy. What are your thoughts on Mn over Ore St? And does the fact that FIU lost 3 of 4 starting dl scare u at all against Indiana? That game reminds me a lot of cal v Hawaii. Also a lot of interest in rice. Any thoughts there?
This will be very close to my final card, but I may still add one or two.
Thursday Night:
UNC Charlotte @ Louisville -39.5
Tulane +17 @ Wake Forest
Lean: Minnesota -13
Friday Night:
Army +17 @ Temple
Saturday Early Game:
South Alabama @ Mississippi State UNDER 28 (1st Half)
Saturday Afternoon Game:
LSU -9.5 vs. Wisconsin
Texas State @ Ohio UNDER 29 (1st Half)
Saturday Night Games:
Clemson -7.5 vs. Auburn *** Best Bet ***
Auburn Team Total UNDER 28 *** Best Bet ***
USC vs. Alabama UNDER 27 (1st Half) *** Best Bet ***
USC Team Total UNDER 22 *** Best Bet ***
*** Will be looking to make a 2nd half play on Alabama
Leans: Alabama -11, New Mexico State +8
Saturday Late Game:
Northern Illinois @ Wyoming +10
Sunday Night Game:
Notre Dame @ Texas UNDER 30 (1st Half)
Leans: Texas +3.5 & ML
i really like the miss state first half under as well!! dave malinsky had a nice write up on that game over on another capping site postgame i his reasoning abviously with SEC slate starting the following week..Dak gone.... etc but a unknown nugget was that interesting....
"Kane Wommack is the new South Alabama defensive coordinator, and the youngest in the nation at the age of 28. That age might be an issue at another time, but not here, because of a pedigree that matters – his father Dave is a long-time veteran that has been the DC at Mississippi the past four seasons, where Kane served as a grad assistant a couple of years ago.
Ole Miss, of course, is the biggest rival for State. The elder Wommack does not just game plan one week out of every year when facing the Bulldogs, but because of the magnitude of the rivalry likely thinks about the Mullen playbook for much of the off-season. So you can just imagine this scene around a picnic table on one of those hot and humid summer evenings – “Daddy what is the best way for us to game plan against State?” And the elder Wommack twists off a crayfish tail and says“Well son, here are some of the things that have worked for us…”
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Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:
This will be very close to my final card, but I may still add one or two.
Thursday Night:
UNC Charlotte @ Louisville -39.5
Tulane +17 @ Wake Forest
Lean: Minnesota -13
Friday Night:
Army +17 @ Temple
Saturday Early Game:
South Alabama @ Mississippi State UNDER 28 (1st Half)
Saturday Afternoon Game:
LSU -9.5 vs. Wisconsin
Texas State @ Ohio UNDER 29 (1st Half)
Saturday Night Games:
Clemson -7.5 vs. Auburn *** Best Bet ***
Auburn Team Total UNDER 28 *** Best Bet ***
USC vs. Alabama UNDER 27 (1st Half) *** Best Bet ***
USC Team Total UNDER 22 *** Best Bet ***
*** Will be looking to make a 2nd half play on Alabama
Leans: Alabama -11, New Mexico State +8
Saturday Late Game:
Northern Illinois @ Wyoming +10
Sunday Night Game:
Notre Dame @ Texas UNDER 30 (1st Half)
Leans: Texas +3.5 & ML
i really like the miss state first half under as well!! dave malinsky had a nice write up on that game over on another capping site postgame i his reasoning abviously with SEC slate starting the following week..Dak gone.... etc but a unknown nugget was that interesting....
"Kane Wommack is the new South Alabama defensive coordinator, and the youngest in the nation at the age of 28. That age might be an issue at another time, but not here, because of a pedigree that matters – his father Dave is a long-time veteran that has been the DC at Mississippi the past four seasons, where Kane served as a grad assistant a couple of years ago.
Ole Miss, of course, is the biggest rival for State. The elder Wommack does not just game plan one week out of every year when facing the Bulldogs, but because of the magnitude of the rivalry likely thinks about the Mullen playbook for much of the off-season. So you can just imagine this scene around a picnic table on one of those hot and humid summer evenings – “Daddy what is the best way for us to game plan against State?” And the elder Wommack twists off a crayfish tail and says“Well son, here are some of the things that have worked for us…”
i really like the miss state first half under as well!! dave malinsky had a nice write up on that game over on another capping site postgame i his reasoning abviously with SEC slate starting the following week..Dak gone.... etc but a unknown nugget was that interesting....
"Kane Wommack is the new South Alabama defensive coordinator, and the youngest in the nation at the age of 28. That age might be an issue at another time, but not here, because of a pedigree that matters – his father Dave is a long-time veteran that has been the DC at Mississippi the past four seasons, where Kane served as a grad assistant a couple of years ago.
Ole Miss, of course, is the biggest rival for State. The elder Wommack does not just game plan one week out of every year when facing the Bulldogs, but because of the magnitude of the rivalry likely thinks about the Mullen playbook for much of the off-season. So you can just imagine this scene around a picnic table on one of those hot and humid summer evenings – “Daddy what is the best way for us to game plan against State?” And the elder Wommack twists off a crayfish tail and says“Well son, here are some of the things that have worked for us…”
South Alabama is a local school, and I have a friend who is a coach there. I also have a friend who coaches at Alabama, and they are brothers. Anyhow, I was aware that USA's new defensive coordinator Kane Wommack is the son of Ole Miss' DC Dave Wommack. But because I have not posted anything about the USA/Miss State game in this thread, I really appreciate your contribution.
I do like USA +28 as well, but I like the 1st half UNDER more.
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Quote Originally Posted by traderjoe13:
i really like the miss state first half under as well!! dave malinsky had a nice write up on that game over on another capping site postgame i his reasoning abviously with SEC slate starting the following week..Dak gone.... etc but a unknown nugget was that interesting....
"Kane Wommack is the new South Alabama defensive coordinator, and the youngest in the nation at the age of 28. That age might be an issue at another time, but not here, because of a pedigree that matters – his father Dave is a long-time veteran that has been the DC at Mississippi the past four seasons, where Kane served as a grad assistant a couple of years ago.
Ole Miss, of course, is the biggest rival for State. The elder Wommack does not just game plan one week out of every year when facing the Bulldogs, but because of the magnitude of the rivalry likely thinks about the Mullen playbook for much of the off-season. So you can just imagine this scene around a picnic table on one of those hot and humid summer evenings – “Daddy what is the best way for us to game plan against State?” And the elder Wommack twists off a crayfish tail and says“Well son, here are some of the things that have worked for us…”
South Alabama is a local school, and I have a friend who is a coach there. I also have a friend who coaches at Alabama, and they are brothers. Anyhow, I was aware that USA's new defensive coordinator Kane Wommack is the son of Ole Miss' DC Dave Wommack. But because I have not posted anything about the USA/Miss State game in this thread, I really appreciate your contribution.
I do like USA +28 as well, but I like the 1st half UNDER more.
JDF - just curious, why do you like Tulane? I heard someone talking about Wake should be much improved on offense this year with new OC. Can't even remember who said that.. Not trying to be lazy but working 60 hours+ a week right now so need to lean on a few people for advice.
The total I see right now is 43. I think the game will stay under that ridiculously low number. But what I like better is Tulane getting 17 points. If we assume the game total falls on 43, Tulane would only need to score 13 points to cover the spread. The point is, in tight low-scoring games, take the points, especially when you can get 17 of them. In short, if we believe this will be a low-scoring game, as I believe it will be, than it just makes mathematical sense to take the 17 points.
But an almost bigger thing for me is, how is a 3 & 9 Wake Forest team giving 17 points to a 3 & 9 Tulane team? Who in hades are they to be giving 17 points to anyone particularly when they only scored an average of 17.4 ppg last season. Is this real life?
I understand Wake is bringing almost everyone back on offense this season, so certainly they rate to improve quite a bit. I get that. But guess what? Temple is getting almost everyone back on defense. In fact both teams have 16 returning starters.
So I guess what I'm trying to say is that I'm just as high on Tulane as I am Wake Forest. I think it's pretty much a wash for me, and I honestly believe that Tulane has decent shot at winning this game outright. I do like Wake because they're playing at home though.
We have an almost identical case with Army/Temple. I think it will also be low-scoring, so again I'm jumping on the very generous 17 points. And I think Army on the ML would also be a reasonable play.
I'm going to roll with both of the +17s. I think I'll win them both, but at the very worst I go 1 & 1. No way both of those lose. I just don't believe it.
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Quote Originally Posted by acoustix:
50/50 ?
JDF - just curious, why do you like Tulane? I heard someone talking about Wake should be much improved on offense this year with new OC. Can't even remember who said that.. Not trying to be lazy but working 60 hours+ a week right now so need to lean on a few people for advice.
The total I see right now is 43. I think the game will stay under that ridiculously low number. But what I like better is Tulane getting 17 points. If we assume the game total falls on 43, Tulane would only need to score 13 points to cover the spread. The point is, in tight low-scoring games, take the points, especially when you can get 17 of them. In short, if we believe this will be a low-scoring game, as I believe it will be, than it just makes mathematical sense to take the 17 points.
But an almost bigger thing for me is, how is a 3 & 9 Wake Forest team giving 17 points to a 3 & 9 Tulane team? Who in hades are they to be giving 17 points to anyone particularly when they only scored an average of 17.4 ppg last season. Is this real life?
I understand Wake is bringing almost everyone back on offense this season, so certainly they rate to improve quite a bit. I get that. But guess what? Temple is getting almost everyone back on defense. In fact both teams have 16 returning starters.
So I guess what I'm trying to say is that I'm just as high on Tulane as I am Wake Forest. I think it's pretty much a wash for me, and I honestly believe that Tulane has decent shot at winning this game outright. I do like Wake because they're playing at home though.
We have an almost identical case with Army/Temple. I think it will also be low-scoring, so again I'm jumping on the very generous 17 points. And I think Army on the ML would also be a reasonable play.
I'm going to roll with both of the +17s. I think I'll win them both, but at the very worst I go 1 & 1. No way both of those lose. I just don't believe it.
Not really feeling tennesee here anymore already laid 165-150 -20, take app state +20.5 or roll with it? would rather play the app state team total under
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Not really feeling tennesee here anymore already laid 165-150 -20, take app state +20.5 or roll with it? would rather play the app state team total under
Not really feeling tennesee here anymore already laid 165-150 -20, take app state +20.5 or roll with it? would rather play the app state team total under
There is no reason to concede defeat. Let the Tennessee bet play out.
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Quote Originally Posted by Dbreezyy:
Not really feeling tennesee here anymore already laid 165-150 -20, take app state +20.5 or roll with it? would rather play the app state team total under
There is no reason to concede defeat. Let the Tennessee bet play out.
Thanks for your fb Jimmy. What are your thoughts on Mn over Ore St? And does the fact that FIU lost 3 of 4 starting dl scare u at all against Indiana? That game reminds me a lot of cal v Hawaii. Also a lot of interest in rice. Any thoughts there?
I lean Minnesota minus the points, but it's not going to go any further than a lean for me. I think Minnesota will try to out-physical OSU, but that's usually not successful recipe for covering DD lines.
Everything scares me about the Indiana/FIU game, including the weather. This is not a game I'll be on unless it is played in a monsoon or something.
I have not really capped the Rice/WKU game. OVER seems like the play though.
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Quote Originally Posted by hammeratl:
Thanks for your fb Jimmy. What are your thoughts on Mn over Ore St? And does the fact that FIU lost 3 of 4 starting dl scare u at all against Indiana? That game reminds me a lot of cal v Hawaii. Also a lot of interest in rice. Any thoughts there?
I lean Minnesota minus the points, but it's not going to go any further than a lean for me. I think Minnesota will try to out-physical OSU, but that's usually not successful recipe for covering DD lines.
Everything scares me about the Indiana/FIU game, including the weather. This is not a game I'll be on unless it is played in a monsoon or something.
I have not really capped the Rice/WKU game. OVER seems like the play though.
I'm not really sure what you are asking? Are you suggesting that taking LSU in the 2nd half is preferential to taking them for the game?
I'm pretty confident in my LSU -9.5 play. I really don't think there is a team more game-1 ready than LSU. They are basically returning everyone on both sides of the ball, and have a made a significant upgrade at defensive coordinator. Kevin Steele = very bad. Dave Aranda = very good. Kevin Steele now being Auburn's defensive coordinator is yet another reason why I LOVE Clemson so much.
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Quote Originally Posted by Dbreezyy:
Rather just play lsu 2nd half?
I'm not really sure what you are asking? Are you suggesting that taking LSU in the 2nd half is preferential to taking them for the game?
I'm pretty confident in my LSU -9.5 play. I really don't think there is a team more game-1 ready than LSU. They are basically returning everyone on both sides of the ball, and have a made a significant upgrade at defensive coordinator. Kevin Steele = very bad. Dave Aranda = very good. Kevin Steele now being Auburn's defensive coordinator is yet another reason why I LOVE Clemson so much.
Jimmy What about Wyoming makes u think they can keep n Illinois from winning by double digits?
When Craig Bohl was hired away from North Dakota St, Wyoming was running the spread and throwing it all over the yard. Bohl, however, runs a pro-style system that utilizes TEs and FBs. Needless to say, Wyoming did not even remotely have the personnel to run the offensive system that Bohl won multiple national championships with at North Dakota State. Now he's finally starting to get some experienced personnel that he needs to effectively run his smash-mouth, pro-style attack.
There are four teams that return 18 starters this season: Kent State, LSU, Louisville and Wyoming, and I'm on three of these teams in week 1. See a pattern here?
Even though Wyoming still rates to be one of the weaker teams in the Mountain West, I still have a ton of confidence that Craig Bohl will turn Wyoming into a perennial conference contender, and this team is definitely trending up. This season may be a situation this season where Wyoming is a much improved team, but that improvement is not necessarily reflected in their record.
Offensively Bohl will try to shorten the game, and try to out-physical NIU at the point-of-attack. My concern in this game is Wyoming's defense who, although experienced, is pretty light in the azz. Can Wyoming's defense get enough stops to keep this game competitive? I think they will.
One reason I believe that is War Memorial Stadium is the highest college venue in the country sitting at an elevation of 7,220 feet above sea level. The altitude will absolutely be a factor.
I'll take my chances with a well-coached team that appears to be on the rise, getting DD points at a home venue that is likely to cause the opponent some issues. Wyoming may even be able to pull a shocker here.
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Quote Originally Posted by Quayeverett:
Jimmy What about Wyoming makes u think they can keep n Illinois from winning by double digits?
When Craig Bohl was hired away from North Dakota St, Wyoming was running the spread and throwing it all over the yard. Bohl, however, runs a pro-style system that utilizes TEs and FBs. Needless to say, Wyoming did not even remotely have the personnel to run the offensive system that Bohl won multiple national championships with at North Dakota State. Now he's finally starting to get some experienced personnel that he needs to effectively run his smash-mouth, pro-style attack.
There are four teams that return 18 starters this season: Kent State, LSU, Louisville and Wyoming, and I'm on three of these teams in week 1. See a pattern here?
Even though Wyoming still rates to be one of the weaker teams in the Mountain West, I still have a ton of confidence that Craig Bohl will turn Wyoming into a perennial conference contender, and this team is definitely trending up. This season may be a situation this season where Wyoming is a much improved team, but that improvement is not necessarily reflected in their record.
Offensively Bohl will try to shorten the game, and try to out-physical NIU at the point-of-attack. My concern in this game is Wyoming's defense who, although experienced, is pretty light in the azz. Can Wyoming's defense get enough stops to keep this game competitive? I think they will.
One reason I believe that is War Memorial Stadium is the highest college venue in the country sitting at an elevation of 7,220 feet above sea level. The altitude will absolutely be a factor.
I'll take my chances with a well-coached team that appears to be on the rise, getting DD points at a home venue that is likely to cause the opponent some issues. Wyoming may even be able to pull a shocker here.
Thanks for posting your plays buddy. Will be tailing. All except clemson don't disagree on clemson but am a huge auburn fan.win or lose you are a class act buddy.
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Thanks for posting your plays buddy. Will be tailing. All except clemson don't disagree on clemson but am a huge auburn fan.win or lose you are a class act buddy.
Thanks for posting your plays buddy. Will be tailing. All except clemson don't disagree on clemson but am a huge auburn fan.win or lose you are a class act buddy.
What are your thoughts on the Clemson/Auburn game?
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Quote Originally Posted by barbco:
Thanks for posting your plays buddy. Will be tailing. All except clemson don't disagree on clemson but am a huge auburn fan.win or lose you are a class act buddy.
What are your thoughts on the Clemson/Auburn game?
his reasoning abviously with SEC slate starting the following week..Dak gone.... etc but a unknown nugget was that interesting....
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