Str8 Picks, i want this more than vegas wants your Dough
FootBall FriDay!
UCF -1'
Kent st. -9' Gift
ML TCU+ECU
then put that whole thang on Ohio st ML
Point Play 1:
UCF over Baylor, revenge spot, long time coming
UCF and Baylor enter Friday night's game with matching 4-3 records, but they win in different ways: Baylor has the better defense, allowing only 16.1 points, 340.1 yards, and 104.1 rushing yards per game, while UCF allows 23.0 points, 357.7 yards, and 118.0 rushing yards; however, UCF owns the more important turnover advantage at plus-5, compared with Baylor's plus-2, and the Knights have not lost at home, going 4-0 at the Bounce House. Baylor's argument starts with its run defense, which allows only 2.9 yards per carry, and its ability to make opponents settle for field goals, allowing touchdowns on just eight of 20 red-zone trips. The Bears also produce more offense at 425.0 yards per game, led by a passing attack averaging 278.9, compared with UCF's 370.3 total yards and 207.0 passing yards; if Baylor protects quarterback DJ Lagway and avoids penalties, it can use its short passing game to attack a UCF secondary allowing 239.7 yards per game. UCF's case rests on the categories we usually favor: the Knights protect the football better, create more takeaways, and still defend the run well enough to make Baylor one-dimensional. UCF also scores on 26 of 28 red-zone trips, a 92.9% rate, while Baylor has scored on only 23 of 30, or 76.7%, and converted just half of those trips into touchdowns. Third-down offense is even at 39.3%, so the game may be decided by which team finishes drives and avoids mistakes. Baylor has lost two straight, including a 25-24 loss to Kansas in which three kicks were blocked, while UCF is coming off a double-overtime victory over BYU. Baylor's defense should keep the score close, but UCF's home record, superior turnover margin, cleaner penalty numbers, and red-zone efficiency give the Knights more reliable ways to win. Final Scre: UCF 27, Baylor 23.
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
21-11-1 YTD 65.6%
Nice over 56' Okst /Colo LW, i made lots of $$$
Str8 Picks, i want this more than vegas wants your Dough
FootBall FriDay!
UCF -1'
Kent st. -9' Gift
ML TCU+ECU
then put that whole thang on Ohio st ML
Point Play 1:
UCF over Baylor, revenge spot, long time coming
UCF and Baylor enter Friday night's game with matching 4-3 records, but they win in different ways: Baylor has the better defense, allowing only 16.1 points, 340.1 yards, and 104.1 rushing yards per game, while UCF allows 23.0 points, 357.7 yards, and 118.0 rushing yards; however, UCF owns the more important turnover advantage at plus-5, compared with Baylor's plus-2, and the Knights have not lost at home, going 4-0 at the Bounce House. Baylor's argument starts with its run defense, which allows only 2.9 yards per carry, and its ability to make opponents settle for field goals, allowing touchdowns on just eight of 20 red-zone trips. The Bears also produce more offense at 425.0 yards per game, led by a passing attack averaging 278.9, compared with UCF's 370.3 total yards and 207.0 passing yards; if Baylor protects quarterback DJ Lagway and avoids penalties, it can use its short passing game to attack a UCF secondary allowing 239.7 yards per game. UCF's case rests on the categories we usually favor: the Knights protect the football better, create more takeaways, and still defend the run well enough to make Baylor one-dimensional. UCF also scores on 26 of 28 red-zone trips, a 92.9% rate, while Baylor has scored on only 23 of 30, or 76.7%, and converted just half of those trips into touchdowns. Third-down offense is even at 39.3%, so the game may be decided by which team finishes drives and avoids mistakes. Baylor has lost two straight, including a 25-24 loss to Kansas in which three kicks were blocked, while UCF is coming off a double-overtime victory over BYU. Baylor's defense should keep the score close, but UCF's home record, superior turnover margin, cleaner penalty numbers, and red-zone efficiency give the Knights more reliable ways to win. Final Scre: UCF 27, Baylor 23.
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