FIU at Arkansas State Writeup

I know I'm not one of the highly regarded posters here on Covers, but I have a strong feeling on this game tonight and I'd like to share my writeup with the good people on this forum.

As much as this is a huge game for Florida International as they have already lost a conference game, and as much as I like Mario Cristobal as a coach and respect how he has turned around the FIU program, I think the Red Wolves of Arkansas State have a clear advantage in this game. Defensively, Arkansas State has standout players at d-back and free safety, and should do a nice job limiting the passing game and some of the big-play threats FIU has. Ark State has also not allowed an individual rusher to go over 100 yards against them, which bodes well for them slowing down Kendrick Rhodes and Darriet Perry. I wouldn't be surprised to see a few big plays from FIU's offense, but I think, especially given FIU's lack of success of third down, they will have trouble sustaining consistent offensive production throughout the game. On the flip side of this game, I see an FIU defense who has given up lots of yards in the passing game, is missing their senior free safety, going up against the Arky State team that is averaging over 300 yards through the air. I believe this is the matchup that is the difference in the game. Finally, Arkansas State's crowd should be rocking as they are fired up about the 2-0 start in conference (winning both on the road, including a win over perennial powerhouse Troy) and the prospects of winning the conference. Furthermore, Arkansas State has played the tougher schedule having faced Illinois and Virginia Tech, which seems to substantiate the stats that indicate that Ark State is a better football team. Best of luck everyone. Thoughts and comments welcome.

Arkansas State -3

Thanks for the input fellas. I will try to post some more writeups for the weekend as time permits.   

Balco- I'm not sure that Ark State will completely stop FIU's passing game, but I don't think they can match Ark State's passing output, given the weakness of FIU's secondary.

That's an interesting angle ATL. Thanks for pointing that out.

It is great when people can post reasoning behind their plays, but some people don't have time to write up every game they bet. Calm down man

First Torreny3 thanks for your time to do a writeup and share your angles on the game. 

1133 not everyone here has to time to do writeup and just like to post their picks...if you don't like it just don't go to their tread.....funny from a guy only has 37 posts....

Hey if they can hold va tech to 26, I like the under here. I like it way under actually. Usually a few points tacked onto a national televised game.

I am sort of impressed with Ark State not getting blown up by ILL or Va tech. They might have not beaten any1 but those 2 scores arent exactly horrible.  I mean damn they are 5-1 ATS whats the deal with not beaten anybody? These teams usually dont play anybody, and both are kinda nobodys

LoL

I'm sorry did I post a "confidence pick" last night. I did have the Fins, and lost, by the way. However, don't forget the 100 yard pick six by Revis is potentially a 14 point swing, which would mean Dolphins cover. Not saying I was on the right side, just saying. Either way, I like this game, and my analysis is above. Follow or fade.

Everyone else, thanks for your input. Best of luck to you.

What are "top 10 FIU team experts"? Are they more knowledgeable about FIU than any other team?