*EdgeHunter Buffalo VS Ball St. | Took One on the Chin, Let's Bounce Back!*

Overall Record Posted (25-16) — 60.98%

NFL (7-7) — 50.00%

NCAAF (18-9) — 66.67%

Huge Target (10-3) — 76.92%

Keep your heads-up guys and gals! We just warming up. 

Let's cut right to the chase:

Buffalo Bulls -1.5 (Huge Target)

Buffalo First Half -1.5 (small target)

WHY?? Yes, YES please feel free to read! 

The biggest edge I see is their rushing attack going up against a Ball State defense that's been struggling all season. Buffalo RB Messiah Burch has rushed for 901 yards and 5 touchdowns, including 801 yards over his last six games. That's an average of 133.5 yards per game during that stretch. Now he's facing a Ball State defense allowing nearly 180 rushing yards per game. I really like that matchup!

Defensively, Buffalo has the clearest edge, allowing 26 points and 374 yards per game, compared to Ball State giving up 34.8 points and 426 yards. That's nearly a 9-point difference! Buffalo's defensive front has also been stepping up, recording 10 sacks over its last three games, including five against Miami Ohio.

Another advantage I like is the coaching. Pete Lembo previously coached Ball State , so he's very familiar with that program. His Buffalo teams are 9-2 in MAC road games, and the Bulls come into this matchup riding a four-game winning streak.

Buffalo also has the stronger playmakers, better defense, and more favorable matchup in the trenches. Ball State has been competitive lately, but I believe Buffalo has more ways to win this football game.

Another Edge that really caught my attention was how these two teams performed against their shared opponents this season.

Toledo: Buffalo went on the road and won by 15 points, while Ball State lost by 15 at home.

Bowling Green: Buffalo won by 7 at home, while Ball State managed a 1-point victory on the road.

UMass: Buffalo won by 7 at home, while Ball State lost by 1 on the road.

Now here's what stands out to me. Against those same three opponents, Buffalo went 3-0 with a +29 scoring margin, while Ball State went 1-2 with a -15 margin.

That's a 44-point difference in combined scoring margin! <--Ball ST TONIGHT

Of course, home-field advantage plays a factor, but Buffalo has clearly produced the better overall results against the same competition. That's another reason I like the Bulls in this matchup!

I'm riding with the Buffalo Bulls tonight! HAPPY VETERANS DAY EVERYONE! I SERVED 12 Years in the Army! SALUTE! 

@EdgeHunterGuru

 Thank you for your service and sacrifice

I forgot to mention, Ball St Offensive Line is banged up. 

@Packagawea

 Thank you for your kind words!

but the line is only 1.5

Happy Veterans day. I did 8 in the Navy. BOL 

@EdgeHunterGuru

 I agree on this assessment go buffalo 

@KasperNV

 Thank you for your service as well!!  

@EdgeHunterGuru

Let'sgo!   

Very helpful write-up.

@countrycrock

 All the line is doing is playing in my favor. 

Ugh, I forgot to update my record fully. Here is the up-to-date stats. 

Overall Record Posted (25-16) — 60.98%

NFL (7-7) — 50.00%

NCAAF (18-9) — 66.67%

Huge Target (11-4) — 73.33%

Thank You for your service

My Brother was in the Army and while serving in Germany in 1980 he died in a car accident. I was 18 at the time, cant believe how many years have gone by.

Good luck with buffalo tonight. Win or lose they look like the right side. Now it comes down to needing buffalo to play the way they look on paper with no mistakes

Thank you for your service brother! Myself and family thank you and all veterans for the protection of our freedoms and the ultimate sacrifice you all selflessly accept. 

Thank you for the play and I’m rocking with you as usual!! Good luck to us all and go Buffalo. I’m just playing the ML and possibly I’m sprinkling some on the over.. My gut says it’s a higher scoring game.. 

Best of luck tonight and tailing you 100%. Thank you for a dozen years of service!

@cd329

Man, I’m really sorry to hear about your brother. I can’t imagine how tough that must have been, especially at such a young age. Much respect to him for his service, and thank you for sharing that with me.

As for Buffalo, I agree with you completely. On paper, I believe we’re on the right side. Now it’s just a matter of them executing and limiting mistakes. Win or lose, I feel good about the matchup. Let’s hope they take care of business tonight, brother!

@Titans1111

 BOL to us tonight!

@jazzee

 Appreciate the follow! 

let go   thank you

@EdgeHunterGuru

@anewout

 Not a good reason but due to line movement I bought it to +1.5

Weather Delay 

buffalo -3 BALL STATE

What kind of degenerate gambles on Wednesday night MACtion football?  This game in Muncie is gonna be uglier than George Costanza in a speedo, and I am here for every filthy second of it.

This is not some cute, competitive, Hallmark movie. This is Buffalo walking into Scheumann Stadium like Kramer busting through Jerry's door, pants half-down, ready to ravage a Ball State defense that couldn't stop a nosebleed, let alone a football team.

Let's start with the smoking gun, the common opponent that tells you everything you need to know like a Scooby-Doo unmasking at the end of the episode.

Buffalo went INTO Toledo and spanked the Rockets 23-8 on Oct. 10. Not just beat them. Dominated them. Held that high-flying offense to EIGHT stinking points. That's Elmer Fudd hunting wabbits with a bazooka.

A week earlier, what did Ball State do against those same Rockets? Got bent over the hood at home and lost 39-24. Toledo dropped 39 on them like they were a bunch of horny teenagers in a Porky's shower scene. Same opponent. A 30-point swing in defensive performance. 

And it gets dirtier. Buffalo is 6-3, riding a four-game win streak, and just survived a 34-31 shootout with Miami (OH) where Jason Wright went full Bugs Bunny on acid: 358 passing yards, 2 passing TDs, 2 rushing TDs, 2 picks. The man is sloppy, he's wild, he's 49.4% completion which is uglier than Fred Flintstone's feet, but he makes plays. And Chance Morrow? 12 catches, 199 yards, 2 TDs last week. 

Meanwhile Ball State is 3-6 and coming off the most heartbreaking, ball-shriveling loss of the season: 31-30 in OT to UMass because kicker Brody Boehm shanked an extra point wider than Rosie O'Donnell's... well, you get it. The Cardinals are emotionally castrated.  UMASS blows...you don't lose to UMASS and deserve to beat anyone.

Now look at the filthy numbers, because stats don't lie like your ex-girlfriend:

Ball State's defense is a straight-up porn star with no gag reflex: 127th in total defense (426.4 ypg), 132nd in scoring defense (34.8 ppg), 119th against the pass, 115th against the run. Buffalo's rushing attack is 52nd in the country at 167.7 ypg behind Messiah Burch (901 yards, 5.5 per pop). That's Wile E. Coyote vs. the Road Runner, except the Coyote actually catches him and does unspeakable things.

Red zone? Ball State allows scores on 90.9% of trips, 118th in FBS. Buffalo scores on 86.5% of its trips. That's like leaving your hot, drunk wife alone with the pool boy. Something's getting scored.

Penalties? Ball State is a yellow-flag orgy: 127th in the country at 73.3 penalty yards per game, 10 flags for 95 yards last week alone. Buffalo? A disciplined 48.3 yards, 42nd. Ball State beats itself more often than a lonely teenager with a Playboy and a locked bathroom door.

Coach Pete Lembo knows every dirty secret in that stadium. He coached there five years. He knows where the bodies are buried.

Final score? Buffalo 27, Ball State 20. The Bulls win, they cover the 3, and Ball State goes home to cry into its Cheerios like Charlie Brown after Lucy pulls the football away again.

Reminds me of the Ohio V Miami OH game last night where tonight Buffalo doesn’t even have a pulse. They probably go into halftime down 2-3 scores. Have to hope there are adjustments at halftime if they keep losing the line of scrimmage this bad it won’t be close